PACAFI (Thursday 18 April 2024)
April 17th, 2024
Chelmsford RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (3 June 2021)
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Tagged Betting advice, Chelmsford Racecourse, Denis Quinn, Pacafi, Racecourse Templates, Sophie Reed, The Racing Horse
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Chelmsford FAVOURITES (5 years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo: 89-202 for 44% (-9.31) 34-75 for 45% (+24.03) 3yo: 106-219 for 48% (-21.29) 150-441 for 34% (-39.14) 4yo+: 42-100 for 42% (-4.43) 279-808 for 35% (-17.71) Total: 237-521 for 45% (-35.04) 463-1324 for 35% (-32.82) TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chelmsford for current year Mark Johnston: 11 wins from 29 for 38% (+15.53) Stuart Williams: 6 wins from 46 for 13% (-26.39) Michael Appleby: 6 wins from 63 for 10% (-30.95) Richard Hughes: 5 wins from 18 for 28% (+37.50) Henry Spiller: 5 wins from 23 for 22% (+1.57) TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chelmsford for past 5 years Mark Johnston: 71 wins from 422 for 17% (-40.26) Michael Appleby: 62 wins from 546 for 11% (-143.03) John Gosden: 59 wins from 239 for 25% (-42.17) David Simcock: 47 wins from 272 for 17% (-29.90) Stuart Williams: 47 wins from 354 for 13% (-120.52) TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chelmsford for current year Callum Shepherd: 9 wins from 49 for 18% (-9.55) Franny Norton: 7 wins from 21 for 33% (+14.12) Rossa Ryan: 7 wins from 30 for 23% (+17.25) Richard Kingscote: 6 wins from 27 for 22% (+52.37) Robert Havlin: 5 wins from 14 for 36% (+4.87) TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chelmsford for past 5 years Luke Morris: 71 wins from 730 for 10% (-296.14) Oisin Murphy: 62 wins from 293 for 21% (-38.42) Adam Kirby: 55 wins from 302 for 18% (-53.71) Jim Crowley: 47 wins from 188 for 25% (-7.80) Rob Havlin: 46 wins from 279 for 16% (-61.03)
Chelmsford AW show a healthy strike rate for winning favourites across the categories. Best category is 3yos in non-handicaps who win almost one in two races, recently it has been up to 50% but just slipped back a point to 48%. Winning favourites at the course across all 6 categories show 147-357 for 41.2% in the last 12 months. With these favourites easily beating the national averages one needs to be confident when opposing favourites at this course.
Understanding what an OVERROUND is, and the importance of betting with best price guaranteed bookmakers (if possible), should not need explaining. |
Nobody can fault the layout of Chelmsford, because it’s superb, absolutely immaculate, with lovely turns and a good long straight. You’d struggle to find a horse that can’t handle the sweep of the bends and you can ride into them as hard as you can anywhere. Lots of people have noticed there’s been a pace bias, making it hard to come from behind, and that the kickback was severe. That should change now they’re working on resurfacing and, potentially, it’s as good an all-weather venue as you’ll find - Jason Weaver
Every trainer has a career-to-date strike rate which we call the NATIONAL AVERAGE. Be aware of this figure before placing a wager! For example, trainer Denis Quinn runs Star Of St Louis 7.00 and his NA is just 3%, in fact since 2019 it is 0% (0-108), would you even consider backing his runner to win? At Chelmsford he shows 3-88 for 3% (-55.26).Within the same race jockey Sophie Reed rides triple course winner Conkering Hero. She is currently 0-8 so has a national average of 0%.The advice must be to concentrate on two horses in this race:SCUDAMORE v ALEATORIC |
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. |