Chelmsford RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (3 June 2021)

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The Racing Horse offers our Chelmsford RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Thursday 3 June 2021. There is a 7-race card including 5 handicaps.

CHELMSFORD RACECOURSE TEMPLATE

Chelmsford FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                     Handicap
2yo:    89-202 for 44%  (-9.31)   34-75   for 45% (+24.03)
3yo:   106-219 for 48% (-21.29)  150-441  for 34% (-39.14)
4yo+:   42-100 for 42%  (-4.43)  279-808  for 35% (-17.71)
Total: 237-521 for 45% (-35.04)  463-1324 for 35% (-32.82)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chelmsford for current year
Mark Johnston:  11 wins from 29 for 38% (+15.53)
Stuart Williams: 6 wins from 46 for 13% (-26.39)
Michael Appleby: 6 wins from 63 for 10% (-30.95)
Richard Hughes:  5 wins from 18 for 28% (+37.50)
Henry Spiller:   5 wins from 23 for 22%  (+1.57)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chelmsford for past 5 years 
Mark Johnston:   71 wins from 422 for 17%  (-40.26) 
Michael Appleby: 62 wins from 546 for 11% (-143.03) 
John Gosden:     59 wins from 239 for 25%  (-42.17)
David Simcock:   47 wins from 272 for 17%  (-29.90)
Stuart Williams: 47 wins from 354 for 13% (-120.52) 

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chelmsford for current year
Callum Shepherd:   9 wins from 49 for 18%  (-9.55)
Franny Norton:     7 wins from 21 for 33% (+14.12)
Rossa Ryan:        7 wins from 30 for 23% (+17.25)
Richard Kingscote: 6 wins from 27 for 22% (+52.37)
Robert Havlin:     5 wins from 14 for 36%  (+4.87)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chelmsford for past 5 years
Luke Morris:  71 wins from 730 for 10% (-296.14)
Oisin Murphy: 62 wins from 293 for 21%  (-38.42)
Adam Kirby:   55 wins from 302 for 18%  (-53.71)
Jim Crowley:  47 wins from 188 for 25%   (-7.80)
Rob Havlin:   46 wins from 279 for 16%  (-61.03)

Chelmsford AW show a healthy strike rate for winning favourites across the categories. Best category is 3yos in non-handicaps who win almost one in two races, recently it has been up to 50% but just slipped back a point to 48%. Winning favourites at the course across all 6 categories show 147-357 for 41.2% in the last 12 months. With these favourites easily beating the national averages one needs to be confident when opposing favourites at this course.

Understanding what an OVERROUND is, and the importance of betting with best price guaranteed bookmakers (if possible), should not need explaining.
    • Longest traveller tomorrow are two runners for Mark Johnston in PINA COLLADA 5.30 and VENTURA VISION 7.30
    • Godolphin are top owners at the track scoring 114-418 for 27% (-62.38)
    • John Gosden has two entered for the 8.00 in FUTURE & FLAUNT so with a 25% strike rate at the track.
    • Michael Stoute has 2 entered in the same race at 8.00 with MAYTAL & SWOON. He also runs MY SWALLOW 6.30, his strike rate at the course is 26%
    • Trainers on cold list include: D QUINN 108
    • Mrs I G-Leveque 69
    • D Shaw 40
    • A West 34
    • R Brisland 32
    • Jockeys on cold list with rides include: William Carson 56
    • Darragh Keenan 29
    • George Wood 26
    • Josephine Gordon 24
    • Be Be Ex 5.00 (C Dwyer) drops from Class 3 to Class 5
    • Archie Watson has 21% strike rate with sprinters (PURE CHARMER 5.00)
    • Marco Ghiani has a 35% strike rate on favourites (THOMAS DANIELL 5.30)
    • Paul & Oliver Cole profit to £1 when on runner at meeting is £58.25 (IVATHEENGINE 6.00)
    • Marco Botti profit to £1 with horses running after break is £73.60 (VALENTINKA)
    • William Haggas has 23% strike rate at the course since 2017 season (SEA EMPRESS 8.00)
    • The number of GALILEO progeny to win on flat debut stands at 101 (FUTURE 8.00)

Nobody can fault the layout of Chelmsford, because it’s superb, absolutely immaculate, with lovely turns and a good long straight. You’d struggle to find a horse that can’t handle the sweep of the bends and you can ride into them as hard as you can anywhere. Lots of people have noticed there’s been a pace bias, making it hard to come from behind, and that the kickback was severe. That should change now they’re working on resurfacing and, potentially, it’s as good an all-weather venue as you’ll find - Jason Weaver

Every trainer has a career-to-date strike rate which we call the NATIONAL AVERAGE. Be aware of this figure before placing a wager! For example, trainer Denis Quinn runs Star Of St Louis 7.00 and his NA is just 3%, in fact since 2019 it is 0% (0-108), would you even consider backing his runner to win? At Chelmsford he shows 3-88 for 3% (-55.26).
Within the same race jockey Sophie Reed rides triple course winner Conkering Hero. She is currently 0-8 so has a national average of 0%.
The advice must be to concentrate on two horses in this race: 

SCUDAMORE v ALEATORIC


Since re-opening, prominent tactics have proven an advantage, all the more so in fact over sprint trips. It’s a very popular course with trainers as they see it as being very fair to their horses, some very useful horses make their debut here. It is a lot more of a galloping track than Lingfield, Kempton and Wolverhampton with big sweeping bends and it’s generally a very fair place where there isn’t many hard luck stories.Despite being one of the UK’s newest tracks, Chelmsford City racecourse has already had an eventful history. Originally known as Great Leighs when it opened in April 2008 it was the first entirely new racecourse in the UK since Taunton opened in 1927. It has a Polytrack surface and is essentially galloping in nature, having broad, sweeping turns. It is a left-handed track of just over a mile in circumference, with seven-furlong and one-mile races starting on different spurs.
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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