Chepstow Racecourse Template (Friday 9 July 2021)

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The Racing Horse offers our powerful Racecourse Template for Chepstow for Friday 9 July 2021. There is a 6-race card where all races are handicaps so the template take on extra importance! The going is expected to be soft with good to soft in places.

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE

Chepstow FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo:   24-66  for 36% (-11.00)    4-11  for 36%  (+1.13)
3yo:   25-48  for 52%  (+1.46)   42-128 for 33% (-16.21)
4yo+:   1-4   for 25%  (-2.13)   68-196 for 35% (+12.99)
Total: 50-118 for 42% (-11.67)  114-335 for 34%  (-2.09)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years)
David Evans (9%):         20 wins from 199 for 10% (-55.01)
Ralph Beckett (17%):      16 wins from  52 for 33% (+15.76)
E Johnson Houghton (12%): 16 wins from  69 for 23%  (+2.06)
Mick Channon (11%):       14 wins from  96 for 15%  (+5.88)
John O'Shea (8%):         14 wins from 124 for 11%  (-8.30)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years)
Rossa Ryan:      30 wins from 140 for 21% (+47.15)
David Probert:   25 wins from 193 for 13% (-32.62)
Luke Morris:     18 wins from 123 for 15% (-26.22)
Callum Shepherd: 14 wins from  76 for 18% (+36.75)
Tom Marquand:    14 wins from  89 for 16% (-16.08)

TOP 5 OWNERS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years)
Hamdan Al Maktoum:       7 wins from 41 for 17% (-15.18)
Ronald & Candida Davies: 5 wins from 11 for 45% (+33.00)
G B Hignett:             5 wins from 17 for 29%  (+8.25)
Pete Smith:              5 wins from 18 for 28% (+38.75)
M Tidball & B Millman:   4 wins from  5 for 80%  (+8.50)

COLD LIST TRAINERS with runners today
Mrs N Evans: 151
J S Moore:    99
D Shaw:       58
R J Price:    39
A Stronge:    38

COLD LIST JOCKEYS with rides today
Katherine Begley: 47
Sophie Ralston:   45
Laura Coughlan:   23
S Hitchcott:      22
Charles Bishop:   19

FIXTURES
Friday 9 July 2021
Thursday 15 July 2021
Friday 23 July 2021

Best performing category albeit from a smaller sample are 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps which show 25 winners from 48 runners for a big 52% strike rate and a level stake profit to SP of +1.46. Winning favourites in handicaps fare slightly better than the national average. 

Favourites winning at the course in the past 12 months: 72-126 for 57%

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Standout figures

Standout figures from the track (past 5 years) come from Ralph Beckett and Rossa Ryan but neither have runners or rides on Friday. The racing at Chepstow offers the chance of some lesser lights to score but we still imagine top trainer at the track David Evans getting on the scoresheet. He has 3 entered and the second of his three looks particularly interesting: ALMOST AN ANGEL 7.15, CLIFFS OF FREEDOM 7.45 & WINKLEVI 8.15. Top jockey with rides is Charles Bishop: KODIAC ATTACK 6.15, GRANARY QUEEN 7.15, RAFFLES REBEL 7.45 & WINKLEVI 8.15.

Can BELLEVARDE 6.15 end Richard Price's long losing run? If the 7yo mare has recovered from her run at Lingfield on Wednesday, she must have a great chance! Callum Hutchinson takes 7lbs off her back and she has drawn stall 4. Aquadabra for Christopher Mason, can usually be relied upon to run her race and she also enters calculations.

6.15: TOMAHAWK RIDGE 22/1 John Gallagher shows profit of £81.94 to £1 when one runner at meeting
KODIAK ATTACK 9/1 (S Kirk & Charles Bishop) has won off 65 in the last two years, now 55
BELLEVARDE 5/2f Trainer  R Price not had winner since October 2020?

6.45: JOY CHOI 7/4 Malcolm Saunders shows profit of £12.84 to £1 when one runner at meeting

7.15: SUNSET 15/8 Sam Hitchcott rides and currently 0-22

7.45: ELSPETH ROSE 25/1 (Mrs Stella Barclay) 202m.
CLIFFS OF FREEDOM 6/1 has first run for P Evans, formerly with Keith Coleman.

8.15: PORT OR STARBOARD 16/1 has first run for B J Llewellyn, formerly with E O'Neill

8.45: MR EXCELLENCY 5/6 (Mark Johnston) longest traveller 222m.
BASHFUL (Andrew Balding) beaten favourite last time out

NATIONAL AVERAGE
Every trainer has a career-to-date strike rate, this is called a NATIONAL AVERAGE, be aware of this figure before placing a wager - it matters. For example, in the 8.15 race the trainers have the following national averages: Richard Hannon 12%, Rod Millman 11%, David Evans 9%, Bernard Llewellyn 7%, John Flint 6%, J S Moore 4%.

Chepstow takes a fair bit of getting. Because it’s so up hill and down dale, stamina has to come into play and it’s also worth noting that the straight is quite long, meaning that some horses start to race a lot earlier than is ideal. If you’re on one that wants to make the running, for example, you’ll often get a few keen to take you on earlier than you might like, so patience is vital for a jockey. Long-striding horses can often go well on the straight track but, as it’s quite stiff, they definitely need to get home - Jason Weaver

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CHEPSTOW Racecourse Templates are offered FREE of CHARGE to those going to Chepstow Races! Contact: paulmoon@theracinghorse.co.uk

CHEPSTOW has 32 meetings annually, both flat and jump racing, please visit their website for more details.

Clerk of the course: Libby O'Flaherty

Racecourse Telephone: 01291 622 260 and Fax: 01291 627 061

Email: info@chepstow-racecourse.co.uk

Address: Chepstow Racecourse, Chepstow, Monmouthshire, NP16 6BE

Children aged 17 & under go FREE

PARKING IS FREE also.

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Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose

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