Bath Races, CPA & The Kaiser Chiefs

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The Racing Horse wishes David Tanswell and his staff at CPA a fabulous day out. We know how much David is looking forward to taking his staff to Bath Races then see the fabulous Kaiser Chiefs after racing. He takes this opportunity to thank his staff:

"THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR ALL YOUR HARD WORK, HAVE A GREAT DAY AND GOOD LUCK!"

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We hope the weather stays fine. We have posted early but for those with mobiles please save the above link, because we will add information tomorrow morning or early afternoon..

Our powerful Bath Racecourse Template for Friday 30 July 2021 includes five Handicaps, one Maiden and one Novice race starting at 5.25. We have all the pertinent numbers! The going is currently good to firm and good in places.

WHAT are RACECOURSE TEMPLATES?

 

BATH FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                      Handicap
2yo:     32-75 for 43%  (-5.97)   10-21  for 48%  (+7.63)
3yo:     31-67 for 46% (-10.85)   67-180 for 37% (-19.36)
4yo+:     7-14 for 50%  (+5.91)   85-275 for 31% (-20.90)
Total:  70-156 for 45% (-10.91)  162-476 for 34% (-32.64)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at BATH last 5 years
Tony Carroll (10%):   27 wins from 203 for 13% (-48.57)  
Mark Johnston (16%):  23 wins from  93 for 25%  (-4.00)  
Clive Cox (14%):      22 wins from  98 for 22%  (+7.75) 
Ronald Harris (11%):  22 wins from 163 for 13% (-12.70)  
Richard Hannon (12%): 20 wins from 141 for 14% (-58.01)  

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Bath last 5 years
Franny Norton: 23 wins from 121 for 19% (-32.25)
Tom Marquand:  21 wins from 145 for 14% (+11.29)
Luke Morris:   20 wins from 148 for 14% (-71.51)
Adam Kirby:    19 wins from  69 for 28% (+12.82)
David Egan:    19 wins from  93 for 20% (-11.04)

TOP 5 OWNERS at Bath last 5 years
Hamdan Al Maktoum:         16-48 for 33%  (-3.58)
Ridge House Stables:       11-74 for 15%  (+6.37)
M S Teversham:             10-28 for 36% (+18.95)
Premier Conservatory Roofs: 6-24 for 25%  (-6.16)
Clipper Logistics:          5-10 for 50%  (+1.90)

Hot Trainer 30/06/21 to 30/07/21
R Charlton: 13-47 for 27.7% (+11.00)

Trainers Cold List
Mrs N Evans: 158
Suzi Best:    99
G Harris:     56
J Portman:    44
G Brown:      34
M Channon:    26

Hot Jockey 30/06/21 to 30/07/21
Daniel Muscutt: 10-63 for 15.9% (+17.70)

Jockeys Cold List
Faye McManoman:   48
Sam Hitchcott:    33
Laura Coughlan:   32
George Downing:   32
Rhys Clutterbuck: 30

Next fixtures 
Friday 30 July 2021
Wednesday 4 August 2021
Saturday 14 August 2021
Wednesday 18 August 2021

PACAFI DOUBLE at BATH tonight?

The top 5 trainers at Bath over the past 5 years score higher at the course than their national average, and in the case of Mark Johnston (+9%) and Clive Cox (+8%) much higher, so their entries are always worth a first look. Johnston has no entries at Bath on Friday but Clive Cox runs FERNANDO RAH and he is a Pacafi at 11/10 and looks the best bet on the card, though we think the Queen's horse TYNWALD will win also!

TRAINERS of INTEREST

Tony Carroll sends 9 runners to Bath as we go to post, and given his good form he will probably expect a winner. Trainers sending just one runner to course during Goodwood week include, William Haggas, Andrew Balding, Roger Charlton and Kevin Philippart De Foy.

The COURSE

Bath races are usually run at a true gallop and, sometimes, horses start getting a bit too competitive a long way out. The sharp home turn makes it almost a specialist’s track and you see plenty of runners struggling around it. But, if you’re on one that rails and is fleet of foot, that bend can be a good point to grab an advantage, by turning the taps on while others are having trouble. The finish is quite stiff, so you need to get home, but you would love to be on a front-runner that handles the ups and downs.

PERTINENCE

5.25: HOLBACHE (A Carroll) beaten favourite last time out. Trainer shows a profit of £21.75 with winning favourites (4/1 3rd)
5.25: MAJOR FORCE (J Portman) currently 0-44 and jockey 0-32, but trainer is 9-45 for 20% (+3.25) at the course (NR)

6.00: FLASH BETTY (M Channon) beaten favourite last time out (5/1 4th)
6.00: RUN RABBIT RUN (S Durack) formerly with F Brennan. 11 runners and 140 days since flat winner (20/1 7th)

6.00: LUCKY SHAKE (S & E Crisford) beaten favourite last time out (5/1 3rd)

6.35: LANIKA (G Brown) formerly with S Kirk (6/1 6th)
6.35: TEMUR KHAN (T Carroll) trainer shows profit of £30.27 in first time headgear (8/1 5th)

7.05: TYNWALD (R Hughes) course and distance winner last month. Owned by the Queen, next best bet on the card, now - PACAFI STATUS (4/5 WINNER)

7.40: BABINDI (W Haggas) beaten favourite last time out. Trainer has 25% strike rate with horses 10f+ and 23% with horses mid season (5/4 WINNER)
7.40: WHOLELOTAFUN (J S Moore) weighted to win 71 > 65 (13/2 3rd)

8.10: GINGER JAM (N Tinkler) longest traveller 217 miles (2/1 3rd)
8.10: FERNANDO RAH (C Cox) trainer scores 8% above his national average at Bath, best bet on the card - PACAFI STATUS (Evens WINNER)

8.40: BLUEBELL TIME (M Saunders) beaten favourite last time out (7/2 WINNER)
8.40: WILEY POST (A Carroll) weighted to win 74 > 62. Trainer shows £20.10 profit to £1 with horses running over a shorter trip first time (9/1 5th)
8.40:TAWAAFOQ (A Wintle) trainer shows profit of £60.45 to £1 when one runner at meeting (3/1 6th)

NATIONAL AVERAGE

Please note the percentages in brackets for the Top 5 Trainers at Goodwood show their national averages over the past 5 years.

Comparing current form or course form against that of the national average is our preferred measuring tool, the maths suggests a factual position and not one of bias. Besides, the higher the national average, with respect to the other trainers, the greater chance of success. The higher the trainer's success rate, the more likely the horse is to win.

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Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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