September 16th, 2021
The Racing Horse offers our powerful Goodwood Racecourse Template for Friday 30 July 2021 where we have all the PERTINENT numbers.
The going is now good, good to soft in places
GOODWOOD FAVOURITES (5 years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo: 38-97 for 39% (-3.36) 8-20 for 40% (+6.21) 3yo: 30-75 for 40% (-4.86) 40-140 for 29% (-15.53) 4yo+: 28-52 for 54% (+15.73) 62-163 for 38% (+35.92) Total: 96-224 for 43% (+7.51) 110-323 for 34% (+26.60) TOP 5 TRAINERS at Goodwood last 5 years Mark Johnston (16%): 37 wins from 276 for 13% (-78.57) Andrew Balding (15%): 27 wins from 184 for 15% (-48.72) William Haggas (23%): 24 wins from 120 for 20% (+1.19) Richard Hannon (12%): 20 wins from 259 for 8% (-91.83) John Gosden (24%): 19 wins from 92 for 21% (-21.66) TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Goodwood last 5 years Oisin Murphy: 39 wins from 240 for 16% (-51.11) Jim Crowley: 33 wins from 174 for 19% (-48.56) Harry Bentley: 26 wins from 148 for 18% (+47.88) William Buick: 22 wins from 90 for 24% (-4.05) Silvestre De Sousa: 22 wins from 154 for 14% (-36.31) TOP 5 OWNERS at Goodwood last 5 years Hamdan Al Maktoum: 21-95 for 22% (-23.42) Godolphin: 20-115 for 17% (-46.55) K Abdullah: 14-48 for 29% (+25.44) Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum: 12-83 for 14% (-2.00) Qatar Racing Ltd: 8-40 for 20% (-6.37) Hot trainer 30/06/2021 to 30/07/2021 Charlie Appleby: 13-49 for 26.5% (-8.14) Trainers Cold List R Fahey: 47 G L Moore: 41 D C Griffiths: 33 M Channon: 26 Hot jockey 30/06/2021 to 30/07/2021 Oisin Murphy: 30-119 for 25.2% (+26.30 Jockeys Cold List Nicola Currie: 32 Jason Hart: 23 P J McDonald: 19 Paul Hanagan: 18 Next fixtures Friday 30 July 2021 Saturday 31 July 2021
THE STORY SO FAR...
Two winning favourites on day one, one on day two, and two more for day three makes it 5-22 for 23% so way below the expected average.
Our top 2 trainers Charlie Appleby (4) and Team Gosden (2) have only raced 6 horses on the track so far this week. Mark Johnston (19) and Richard Hannon (15) have raced 34, what does that tell you?
Of the jockeys, we were certain William Buick was the man to follow this week and flagged him up despite not having the rides from Godolphin. He has now scored 5 winners from just 9 rides for 56%. This year on the course he shows 9-21 for 43% and a level stake profit of +22.03. He has one or two nice rides tomorrow. Oisin Murphy has only the one winner and expected him to have more than that...
1.50: SEINESATIONAL (Dr R NEWLAND) stable switch, formerly with W Knight (66/1 9th)
2.25: EL DRAMA (R Varian) Drops from Group 1 to Group 3 (11/1 2nd)
3.00: PATH OF THUNDER (C Appleby) trainer is 27% with horses 7f to 10f, William Buick is 43% at the course this year (5/2 13th)
3.35: BATTAASH (C Hills) beaten favourite last time out. Trainer has won 4 of the last 10 runnings (2/1 7th)
4.10: EUCHEN GLEN (J Goldie) longest traveller 464 miles (11/2 2nd)
4.45: ROBJON (R Hannon) beaten favourite last time out (14/1 3rd)
5.20: MICKYDEE (R Hannon) beaten favourite last time out (40/1 9th)
Please note the percentages in brackets for the Top 5 Trainers at Goodwood show their national averages over the past 5 years.
Comparing current form or course form against that of the national average is our preferred measuring tool, the maths suggests a factual position and not one of bias. Besides, the higher the national average, with respect to the other trainers, the greater chance of success. The higher the trainer's success rate, the more likely the horse is to win.
JASON WEAVER on GOODWOOD
Goodwood’s stewards are surely among the busiest in Britain, as it’s tricky to ride and it’s easy to run into traffic problems, especially on the round course. The bottom turn claims its share of victims, because the ground there runs away from you, while the bend into the home straight is very sharp. You get congestion on the dogleg, too, as normally a fair few are still in contention at that point. On the sprint course, the quickest way home is in a straight line, which means the middle is usually a good spot.
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