Goodwood Racecourse Template (Saturday 31 July 2021)

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The Racing Horse offers our powerful Goodwood Racecourse Template for Saturday 31 July 2021 where we have all the PERTINENT numbers. 

The going is now soft with showers expected.

GOODWOOD FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                      Handicap
2yo:     40-99 for 40%  (+1.15)    8-21  for 38%  (+5.21)
3yo:     30-77 for 39%  (-6.36)   40-142 for 28% (-17.53)
4yo+:    28-52 for 54% (+15.73)   62-163 for 38% (+35.92)
Total:  98-228 for 43% (+10.01)  110-326 for 34% (+23.60)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Goodwood last 5 years
Mark Johnston (16%):   38 wins from 286 for 13% (-79.57)
Andrew Balding (15%):  29 wins from 190 for 15% (-47.97)
William Haggas (23%):  24 wins from 122 for 20%  (-0.80)
Richard Hannon (12%):  21 wins from 267 for  8% (-86.83)
John Gosden (24%):     19 wins from  92 for 21% (-21.66)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Goodwood last 5 years
Oisin Murphy:       39 wins from 245 for 16% (-56.11)
Jim Crowley:        33 wins from 178 for 19% (-52.56)
Harry Bentley:      26 wins from 148 for 18% (+47.88)
William Buick:      25 wins from  96 for 26% (+10.69)
Silvestre De Sousa: 22 wins from 158 for 14% (-40.31)

TOP 5 OWNERS at Goodwood last 5 years
Hamdan Al Maktoum:              21-95  for 22% (-23.42)
Godolphin:                      20-116 for 17% (-47.55)
K Abdullah:                     14-48  for 29% (+25.44)
Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum: 12-86  for 14%  (-5.00)
Qatar Racing Ltd:                8-41  for 20%  (-7.37)

Hot trainer 30/06/2021 to 31/07/2021
R Charlton: 13-51 for 25.5% (+9.00)

Trainers Cold List
J Portman: 47 (36 days)
M Channon: 34 (15 days)
R Spencer: 23 (47 days)
J Tuite:   21 (32 days)

Hot jockey 1/07/2021 to 31/07/2021
Oisin Murphy: 30-123 for 24.4% (+22.30) 

Jockeys Cold List
Rhys Clutterbuck:  35 (24 days)
Connor Murtagh:    33 (31 days) 
Cam Hardie:        27 (11 days) 
Saffie Osbourne:   23 (25 days)
Sivestre De Sousa: 22 (10 days)

Next fixtures 
Saturday 31 July 2021 

THE STORY SO FAR...

Two winning favourites on day one, one on day two, and two more for day three makes it 5-22 for 23% so way below the expected average.  As expected an upturn of winning favourites was expected and delivered on Friday when 4 of the 7 races were won by favourites at prices of 2/5, 2/1, 4/1 and 11/4. Our collated and betting landscape suggested this was likely to happen.

Who would have thought the Gosdens would not have had a winner at this meeting after 5 days? Of course they have only sent 3 there this week and 0 for today, and this decision cannot be based purely on ground, have they planned a Newmarket and Doncaster assault today? They are currently 0-11 over 7 days and look primed to explode. Amazingly, they have 7 runners today within 2 hours of each other. A win double looks (almost) certain but real chances of a win treble, stop at a winner anyone? It is worth naming them: CHIASMA 2.45N, POET OF LIFE 2.55D, TAQAREER 3.20N, HARROVIAN 3.30D, EXISTENT 3.35N, RANCHERO 4.30N and UBAHHA 4.37D.

Of the jockeys, we were certain William Buick was the man to follow this week and flagged him up despite not having the rides from Godolphin. He has now scored 7 winners from 21 rides for 33% at this week's meeting. His 5-year record at the course shows 26-102 for 25% (+12.69) and today he has 5 rides currently booked and looks to have a golden chance on WONDERFUL TONIGHT 3.05.

By the way, Silvestre De Sousa has not been spotted at Goodwood this week and shows 0-13, but 0-22 generally. He has 3 rides at the course today, will he end 0-25. We do feel we have missed something about his jockey, tomorrow he has just 2 rides and 3 on Monday - what has he done wrong?

PERTINENCE

1.20: DARK SHIFT (C Hills) beaten favourite last time out (6/1 6th)
1.20: RUN TO FREEDOM (H Candy) beaten favourite last time out (17/2 7th)
1.20: RED MIRAGE (M Johnston) trainer has won 3 of the last 10 runnings (22/1 4th)
1.20: JUST FRANK (L Eyre) shows profit of £19.33 to £1 with first time headgear (11/2 5th)

1.55: ABLE KANE (B Millman) beaten favourite last time out (33/1 2nd)
1.55: BE PROUD (J Goldie) longest traveller 464 miles (12/1 5th)
1.55: INDIAN CREEK (M Channon) beaten favourite last time out (16/1 11th)

2.30: URBAN ARTIST (H Morrison) beaten favourite last time out (9/2 2nd)
2.30: PRINCE ALEX (M Bell) formerly with R Beckett (13/2 WINNER)
2.30: AADDEEY (S Crisford) shows profit of £20.50 with one runner at meeting (6/1 4th)
Exacta £47.60  CSF £35.33

3.05: WONDERFUL TONIGHT (D Menuisier) trainer 1-2 at this Goodwood, William Buick rides (4/5 WINNER)

3.40: GREAT AMBASSADOR (E Walker) beaten favourite last time out (8/1 3rd)
3.40: COMMANCHE FALLS (M Dods) travelled 309 miles (10/1 WINNER)
3.40: EJTILAAB (C Fellowes) formerly with I Williams (5/1 0)
3.40: SUMMERGHAND (D O'Meara) drops from Group 1 to Class 2 (18/1 12th)

4.10: DEVASBOYS (M Johnston) trainer has won 2 of last 10 runnings (12/1 4th)
4.10: KILLEARN (C Hills) trainer has won 2 of last 10 runnings (25/1 6th)

4.45: THE WHIPMASTER (G L Moore) beaten favourite last time out (6/1 3rd)
4.45: OVERWRITE (M Johnston) weighted to win 87 > 82 (8/1 6th)

NATIONAL AVERAGE

Please note the percentages in brackets for the Top 5 Trainers at Goodwood show their national averages over the past 5 years.

Comparing current form or course form against that of the national average is our preferred measuring tool, the maths suggests a factual position and not one of bias. Besides, the higher the national average, with respect to the other trainers, the greater chance of success. The higher the trainer's success rate, the more likely the horse is to win.

JASON WEAVER on GOODWOOD

Goodwood’s stewards are surely among the busiest in Britain, as it’s tricky to ride and it’s easy to run into traffic problems, especially on the round course. The bottom turn claims its share of victims, because the ground there runs away from you, while the bend into the home straight is very sharp. You get congestion on the dogleg, too, as normally a fair few are still in contention at that point. On the sprint course, the quickest way home is in a straight line, which means the middle is usually a good spot.

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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