Kempton Racecourse Template (Friday 20 August 2021)

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The Racing Horse offers our powerful Racecourse Template for Kempton for Friday 20 August 2021. There is an 8-race card which includes 5 handicaps and 3 novices stakes races. The going is expected to be standard to slow.

Non-handicap                       Handicap
2yo:    127-289 for 44% (-21.76)   31-113   for 27%  (-22.61)
3yo:    120-261 for 46% (-13.43)   161-521  for 31%  (-52.72)
4yo+:    47-102 for 46%  (+4.06)   248-804  for 31%  (-53.55)
Total:  294-652 for 45% (-31.14)   440-1438 for 31% (-128.89)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for current year
Andrew Balding: 9 wins from 30 for 30% (+45.72)
Roger Varian:   8 wins from 22 for 36%  (+1.37)
J & T Gosden:   8 wins from 25 for 32%  (-0.89)
Mark Johnston:  8 wins from 34 for 24% (+19.57)
Richard Hannon: 8 wins from 46 for 17% (-14.00)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for past 5 years
John Gosden:      76 wins from 302 for 25%  (-32.34)
Richard Hannon:   62 wins from 596 for 10% (-155.81)
Roger Varian:     55 wins from 250 for 22%  (-23.48)
Andrew Balding:   54 wins from 338 for 16%  (+36.03)
Archie Watson:    51 wins from 242 for 21%  (-19.02)

Charlie Appleby:  41 wins from 107 for 38% (-14.92)
Saeed bin Suroor: 30 wins from 135 for 22% (-23.80)
Total:            71 wins from 242 for 29% (-38.72)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for current year
Hollie Doyle:      20 wins from 115 for 17% (-19.47)
David Probert:     13 wins from  95 for 14% (+22.22)
Richard Kingscote: 12 wins from  93 for 13% (-41.09)
Oisin Murphy:      11 wins from  34 for 32%  (-0.55)
Daniel Muscutt:    10 wins from  55 for 18%  (+3.69)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for past 5 years
Oisin Murphy: 107 wins from 591 for 18%  (-79.40)
Adam Kirby:    75 wins from 602 for 12% (-216.91)
Luke Morris:   75 wins from 835 for  9% (-151.37)
Tom Marquand:  69 wins from 655 for 11%  (-69.19)
David Probert: 68 wins from 704 for 10% (-129.64) 

TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton for past 5 years
Godolphin:          78-275 for 28% (-44.06)
Hamdan Al Maktoum:  51-229 for 22% (+30.16)
K Abdullah:         28-118 for 24%  (-3.50)
King Power Racing:  25-113 for 22%  (+2.81)
Cheveley Park Stud: 16-124 for 13% (-29.87)

HOT TRAINERS 21/07/2021 to 20/08/2021
Saeed bin Suroor: 10-34 for 29.4% (-0.75)
R Varian:         21-80 for 26.2% (-2.98)
C Appleby:        12-47 for 25.5% (-2.63)
J & T Gosden:     15-60 for 25.0% (-0.61)

TRAINERS COLD LIST
E Dunlop: 36  (28 days) 2 runners
S Pearce: 35 (132 days) 2 runners
S Dow:    25 (24 days)  1 runner
M Usher:  20 (27 days)  1 runner
S Kirk:   19 (36 days)  3 runners

HOT JOCKEYS 21/07/2021 to 20/08/2021
Cieren Fallon: 15-68 for 22.1%  (+31.91)
Jack Mitchell: 15-88 for 17.0% (+153.91)

JOCKEYS COLD LIST
Sam Hitchcott:  57 (133 days) 3 rides
Royston French: 48  (77 days) 1 ride
George Downing: 39  (94 days) 1 ride
Tom Queally:    30  (28 days) 2 rides
  • COURSE: Kempton is a flat, oval-shaped course with two loops. The inner circuit, used for races over five, nine and ten furlongs is sharp and has a finishing straight of just under two furlongs, favouring the speedy, handy type, particularly over the minimum trip. The turn on the outer course is more sweeping and the straight is almost three furlongs, making for a more straightforward test. Over both five and six furlongs, there is a relatively short run to the first bend.
  • NON-HANDICAP FAVOURITES: Kempton is a good course for winning favourites in non-handicaps, where they record a 45% strike rate. Best category is those 4yo+ in non-handicaps 47-102 for 46% (+4.06).
  • HANDICAP FAVOURITES: Over the past 5 years we have a big sample for handicap favourites, they show 440-1438 for 31% (-128.89)
  • TRAINERS: The best trainers dominate at this course. Tomorrow we have five trainers with runners and they will have winners, they include: J & T Gosden (4), Saeed bin Suroor (2), Charlie Appleby (1), Roger Varian (1) and Andrew Balding (1).
  • JOCKEYS: With the exception of Rob Havlin and Adam Kirby all the top jockeys will be at York and Salisbury, so our thought processes must factor/recognise this point.
  • OWNERS: Godolphin reign supreme at Kempton and have fantastic figures at the course. A combination of Charlie Appleby & Saeed bin Surror has recorded 71-242 for 29% over the past 5 years. Tomorrow they have 3 runners at the course.

PERTINENCE

1.00
AILISH T (D O'Meara) longest traveller 269 miles
INDIAN GURU (R Hannon) drops from Class 4 to Class 6
MYTHICAL STAR (R Hughes) drops from Class 4 to Class 6

1.30
NATASHA (J & T Gosden) jockey Rob Havlin 41% on favourites
NATIONAL DANCE (C Appleby) trainer 38% at Kempton since 2017

2.05
HANAFY (D Holland) formerly with M Hunt
TIO MIO (D Loughnane) formerly with A Watson, trainer shows £13.25 profit with horses after a break
MO'ASSESS (Saeed bin Suroor) hot trainer 10-34 for 29.4% (-0.75) and 22% at the course

2.35
WALDLOWE (R Varian) beaten favourite last time out
MEADOW SPRITE (H Morrison) formerly with R Hannon
MOUNT MARCY (J & T Gosden) trainer 32% at course this year
THE TURPINATOR (M Tregoning) formerly with D Elsworth, C&D winner

3.10
CHIEF OF STAFF (Saeed bin Suroor) hot trainer 10-34 for 29.4% (-0.75) and 22% at the course
TARAVARA (S Pearce) formerly with C Cox. Pat Cosgrave 29% when riding near pace
VINA BAY (S Kirk) C&D winner, drops from Class 2 to Class 4

3.45
MUDLAHHIM (K P De Foy) formerly with Kevin Prendergast
PHUKET POWER (T Dascombe) weighted to win 79 > 72. Trainer shows profit of £66.82 with one runner at meeting

4.20
EVASIVE POWER (R Brisland) beaten favourite last time out
TYGER BAY (C Allen) C&D winner, beaten favourite last time out
CANAGAT (S Dow) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, trainer shows profit of £130.62 when one runner at meeting

4.50
MICKEY DEE (R Hannon) drops from Class 3 to Class 5
WIMPOLE HALL (W Jarvis) weighted to win 74 > 69, trainer shows profit of £34.71 when one runner at meeting

JASON WEAVER on KEMPTON

The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics.

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