Chelmsford Racecourse Template (Thursday 26 August 2021)

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The Racing Horse offers our Chelmsford RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Thursday 26 August 2021. There is a 7-race card including 4 Handicaps, I Classified Stakes, 1 Maiden and 1 Novice Stakes. Today we have 6 of our finest riding at the course and will be seriously seeking the honours!

WHAT are RACECOURSE TEMPLATES?

Chelmsford FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                     Handicap
2yo:    93-211 for 44% (-11.46)   36-77   for 47% (+30.53)
3yo:   110-226 for 49% (-21.42)  155-463  for 33% (-48.26)
4yo+:   45-106 for 42%  (-4.00)  288-829  for 35% (-13.83)
Total: 248-543 for 46% (-36.88)  479-1369 for 35% (-31.56)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chelmsford for current year
Mark Johnston (15%):   14 wins from 53 for 26%  (+2.03) +11%
Richard Hughes (13%):  10 wins from 35 for 29% (+55.83) +16%
Michael Appleby (11%):  8 wins from 76 for 11% (-40.49)  +0%
Roger Varian (20%):     7 wins from 18 for 39%  (-0.19) +19%
Henry Spiller (8%):     7 wins from 32 for 22%  (+0.57) +14%

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chelmsford for past 5 years 
Mark Johnston (16%):    74 wins from 446 for 17%  (-53.76) +1% 
Michael Appleby (11%):  64 wins from 559 for 11% (-152.57) +0% 
John Gosden (24%):      59 wins from 239 for 25%  (-42.17) +1%
Stuart Williams (12%):  48 wins from 366 for 13% (-129.02) +1%
David Simcock (13%):    47 wins from 284 for 17%  (-41.90) +4%

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chelmsford for current year
Ray Dawson:      11 wins from 32 for 34% (+23.84)
Callum Shepherd: 10 wins from 74 for 14% (-29.55)
Franny Norton:    8 wins from 32 for 25%  (+8.62)
Rossa Ryan:       7 wins from 34 for 21% (+13.25)
Cieren Fallon:    7 wins from 35 for 20% (+21.58)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chelmsford for past 5 years
Luke Morris:  73 wins from 743 for 10% (-271.64)
Oisin Murphy: 63 wins from 297 for 21%  (-40.75)
Adam Kirby:   55 wins from 302 for 18%  (-53.71)
Jim Crowley:  49 wins from 194 for 25%   (-6.60)
Rob Havlin:   47 wins from 293 for 16%  (-63.03)

TOP 5 OWNERS at Chelmsford for past 5 years
Godolphin:          74-283 for 26% (-60.66)
Hamdan Al Maktoum:  46-206 for 22% (-24.64)
Cheveley Park Stud: 23-103 for 22% (-12.34)
Juma Dalmook:       22-77  for 29% (+13.49)
K Abdullah:         18-70  for 26%  (-1.07)

Hot Trainers 27/07/2021 to 26/08/2021
J & T Gosden: 17-69 for 24.6% (+0.21) 1 runner
H Palmer:     13-54 for 24.1% (-1.26) 1 runner

Trainer Cold List
C Wallis:     73 (146 days)   1 runner
S Dow:        29  (31 days)   1 runner
M Attwater:   20  (16 days)   1 runner
T Gretton:    19 no Flat wins 1 runner
Mrs L Mongan: 16  (76 days)   1 runner

Hot Jockeys 27/07/21 to 26/08/2021
Oisin Murphy:  38-144 for 26.4%  (-1.97) 5 rides
William Buick: 32-148 for 21.6% (+20.49) 6 rides
Tom Marquand:  28-134 for 20.9%  (-2.89) 6 rides

Jockeys Cold List
Callum Shepherd: 40  (15 days) 4 rides
Joey Haynes:     36  (27 days) 1 ride
Jefferson Smith: 35 (744 days) 1 ride
William Carson:  22  (17 days) 3 rides
Jack Duern:      18 (last win Apr19)

FIXTURES
Thursday 26 August 2021
Thursday 2 September 2021
Thursday 9 September 2021
Sunday 12 September 2021
Thursday 16 September 2021
  • COURSE: Chelmsford City has a Polytrack surface and essentially galloping in nature, having broad, sweeping turns. It is a left-handed track of just over a mile in circumference, with seven-furlong and one-mile races starting in different spurs.
  • FAVOURITES: Chelmsford is a great course for winning favourites but shows a loss to level stakes in 5 of the 6 categories. In the last 5 years winning favourites show 727-1912 for 38% (-68.44) so well above the national average.
  • BEST CATEGORY FAVOURITES: Best category is 3yos in non-handicaps who win almost one in two races, recently it has been up to 50% but just slipped back to 48%. Favourites in non-handicaps at this course perform well at 46%.
  • WORST CATEGORY FAVOURITES: Worst category are 3yo favourites in handicaps but at 34% easily beat the national average.
  • TRAINERS: Once again Mark Johnston is the longest travelling trainer (231 miles) and tomorrow sends 4 to the course.
  • JOCKEYS: Another chance to enjoy the William Buick (6 rides), Oisin Murphy (5 rides) and Tom Marquand (6 rides) show. We like to watch these jockeys on the AW and witness their tactical acumen. It is our belief they will ride the first 5 of the 7 winners between them. For the record Hollie Doyle has 5 rides, James Doyle has 3. Rob Havlin rides the Pacafi.
  • OWNERS: Godolphin plunder the track and register a strike rate of 26%. They have no runners tomorrow.

PERTINENCE

1.45
UNDER OATH (A Balding) Oisin Murphy has 35% strike rate on favourites and 21% at the course
KINGDOM GIRL (W Knight) drops from Class 2 to Class 4

2.20
BONNIE LAD (R Hughes) trainer has 21% strike rate at course since 2017
MINT JULEP (D Simcock) drops from Class 4 to Class 6
POWER ON (J Butler) weighted to win 67 > 60

2.55
THUNDER FLASH (I Williams) beaten favourite last time out out, William Buick has 38% strike rate on favourites
WADACRE GOGO (M Johnston) beaten favourite last time out, Oisin Murphy 21% at course

3.30
TOUSSAROK (M Johnston) Oisin Murphy 21% strike rate at course

4.00
THE VEGAS RAIDER (M Bell) beaten favourite last time out, William Buick 38% on favourites
DAMNED ELUSIVE (A Balding) Oisin Murphy 21% at course
GOOD SOUL (H Palmer) hot trainer, James Doyle 24% at course

4.32
AT A PINCH (J & T Gosden) beaten favourite last time out, PACAFI status.

5.05
PRECIOUS PLUM (C Wallis) beaten favourite last time out, weighted to win 61 > 49, William Buick rides
TILSWORTH ROSE (J R Jenkins) C&D winner, beat Precious Plum last time, Tom Marquand rides

NATIONAL AVERAGE

Please note the percentages in brackets for the Top 5 Trainers at Chelmsford show their national averages over the past 5 years.

Comparing current form or course form against that of the national average is our preferred measuring tool, the math suggests a factual position and not one of bias. Besides, the higher the national average, with respect to the other trainers, the greater chance of success. The higher the trainer's success rate, the more likely the horse is to win.

JASON WEAVER - CHELMSFORD RACECOURSE

Nobody can fault the layout of Chelmsford, because it’s superb, absolutely immaculate, with lovely turns and a good long straight. You’d struggle to find a horse that can’t handle the sweep of the bends and you can ride into them as hard as you can anywhere. Lots of people have noticed there’s been a pace bias, making it hard to come from behind, and that the kickback was severe. That should change now they’re working on resurfacing and, potentially, it’s as good an all-weather venue as you’ll find.

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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