Chepstow Racecourse Template (Monday 30 August 2021)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

 The Racing Horse offers our powerful Racecourse Template for Chepstow on Bank Holiday Monday 30 August 2021. There are 5 Handicaps and 1 Novice Race. The ground is expected to be good, good to firm in places.

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE

Chepstow FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo:   24-67  for 36% (-12.00)    4-11  for 36%  (+1.13)
3yo:   26-50  for 52%  (+1.37)   48-143 for 34% (-14.67)
4yo+:   1-4   for 25%  (-2.13)   71-210 for 34%  (+6.62)
Total: 51-121 for 42% (-12.76)  123-364 for 34%  (-6.93)

TOP 6 TRAINERS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years)
David Evans (9%):     26 wins from 216 for 12% (-29.01)  +3%
Ralph Beckett (17%):  17 wins from  55 for 31% (+16.26) +15%
E J Houghton (12%):   16 wins from  73 for 22%  (-1.93) +10%
Mick Channon (11%):   15 wins from 100 for 15% (+11.88)  +4%
Tony Carroll (10%):   15 wins from 129 for 12% (-16.50)  +2%
Andrew Balding (15%): 14 wins from  72 for 19% (-14.54)  +4%

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years)
Rossa Ryan:      30 wins from 143 for 21% (+44.15)
David Probert:   25 wins from 197 for 13% (-36.62)
Luke Morris:     21 wins from 134 for 16% (-17.47)
Tom Marquand:    15 wins from  98 for 15% (-15.08)
Callum Shepherd: 14 wins from  76 for 18% (+36.75)

TOP 5 OWNERS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years)
Hamdan Al Maktoum:       7 wins from 41 for 17% (-15.18)
Ronald & Candida Davies: 5 wins from 13 for 38% (+31.00)
G B Hignett:             5 wins from 18 for 28%  (+7.25)
Pete Smith:              5 wins from 18 for 28% (+38.75)
M Tidball & B Millman:   4 wins from  7 for 57%  (+6.50)

HOT TRAINERS 31/07/2021 to 30/08/2021
B Millman: 11-46  for 23.9% (+9.26) 2 runners
A Balding: 25-132 for 18.9% (-6.58) 1 runner

COLD LIST TRAINERS with runners today
M Usher:    27 (36 days) 1 runner
M Attwater: 26 (19 days) 1 runner
R Harris:   19 (18 days) 1 runner
J Portman:  17 (15 days) 1 runner
M Channon:  19  (5 days) 2 runners

HOT JOCKEYS 31/07/2021 to 30/08/2021
David Probert: 28-117 for 23.9% (-3.59) 6 rides
Ross Coakley:   5-31  for 16.1% (+6.00) 2 rides

COLD LIST JOCKEYS with rides today
Sam Hitchcott:  64 (103 days) 1 ride
Emma Taff:      50
Imogen Mathias: 38
Aled Beech:     33  (47 days) 1 ride
Charles Bishop: 30  (19 days) 2 rides

FIXTURES
Monday 30 August 2021
Thursday 9 September 2021
    • COURSE: Left handed, undulating. An oval-shaped track, about two miles in extent, with a run-in of five furlongs. While not an out-and-out galloping course, owing to the pronounced undulations, the track puts the emphasis on stamina almost regardless of ground. All races up to a mile are run on the straight course.
    • FAVOURITES IN NON-HANDICAPS: Best performing category albeit from a smaller sample are 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps which show 26 winners from 50 runners for a big 52% strike rate and a level stake profit to SP of +1.37. 
    • FAVOURITES IN HANDICAPS: Winning favourites in handicaps fare far better than the national average. Winning favourites in both categories over the past 5 years show 174-485 for 36% (-19.69).
    • TRAINERS: Strange that top trainer at the course David Evans only has one runner. Hot trainer Rod Millman has 2 runners so all three are worth a look.
    • SEAN WOODS: Back from racing in Hong Kong, Woods two entries catch the eye, this is his first runners at Chepstow. Woods has a string of around 30 juveniles bought with the purpose of restoring the trainer to the heights he achieved during a 10-year stint in Britain when he saddled over 250 winners including Group 1 success. He is currently 8-61 for 13%. After a massive renovation he is racing out of Jeremy Noseda's old stable.
    • JOCKEYS: Hot jockey David Probert has six rides at the track. For winners Chepstow is his number one track showing 25-197 for 13% so 2% above his national average. Hollie Doyle has 4 rides and 9-59 for 15%, she has a national average of 14%. One imagines a couple of winners coming from those 10 rides?

PERTINENCE

2.15
NEXT SECOND (R Charlton) trainer 24% at course, jockey Thomas Greatrex 37% on winning favourites and won this race last year

2.50
SWISSAL ( J G O'Shea) trainer has won last 2 runnings
TAWAAFOQ (A Wintle) C&D winner under Hollie Doyle two runs back. Adrian Wintle shows profit of £51.45 when one runner at meeting.
GILT EDGE (C Mason) beaten favourite last time out

3.25
DIAMOND COTTAGE (M Saunders) beaten favourite last time out, now 0-20, cheek piece first time
RIGHT ACTION (D Evans) weighted to win 75 > 67, ridden by David Probert
PORT NOIR (R Stephens) beaten favourite last time out, trainer shows profit of £47.45 when one runner at meeting
BOUNTY PURSUIT (M Blake) weighted to win 70 > 64, trainer shows profit of £40.45 when one runner at meeting

4.00
FOXY FEMME (J Gallagher) trainer shows profit of £76.69 when one runner at meeting

4.35
PAVLODAR (C Cox) would have won last time but for traffic. Hector Crouch is 37% on winning favourites

5.05
BOLLY BULLET (J G O'Shea) beaten favourite last time out. Ridden by Hollie Doyle

JASON WEAVER on CHEPSTOW 

Chepstow takes a fair bit of getting. Because it’s so up hill and down dale, stamina has to come into play and it’s also worth noting that the straight is quite long, meaning that some horses start to race a lot earlier than is ideal. If you’re on one that wants to make the running, for example, you’ll often get a few keen to take you on earlier than you might like, so patience is vital for a jockey. Long-striding horses can often go well on the straight track but, as it’s quite stiff, they definitely need to get home

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE has 32 meetings annually, both flat and jump racing, please visit their website for more details. 

Clerk of the course: Libby O'Flaherty 

Racecourse Telephone: 01291 622 260 and Fax: 01291 627 061 

Email: info@chepstow-racecourse.co.uk 

Address: Chepstow Racecourse, Chepstow, Monmouthshire, NP16 6BE 

Road: 1m NW of town on A466 Monmouth road. M48 (Junction 2) 

Rail: 1m, Chepstow Station (from Newport).

Parking is FREE

Children aged 17 & under go FREE. 

Disabled toilet, parking and designated viewing area.

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CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATES are offered FREE of CHARGE to those going to Chepstow Races! For further details please contact: paulmoon@theracinghorse.co.uk

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose

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