PACAFI (Thursday 18 April 2024)
April 17th, 2024
AYR RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Tuesday 16 November 2021)
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FAVOURITES NON-HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS) HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS) Hurdle: 38-66 for 58% (+6.78) 35-106 for 33% (+7.82) Chase: 7-14 for 50% (-0.35) 36-98 for 37% (+6.40) NHF: 16-38 for 42% (+2.23) 0-0 for - Total: 61-118 for 52% (+8.67) 71-204 for 35% (+14.22) TOP 5 TRAINERS at Ayr last 5 years +/- E N Richards (15%): 33-151 for 22% (-27.03) +7% 4 L Russell (10%): 21-189 for 11% (-22.95) +1% 4 N W Alexander (11%): 18-171 for 11% (+15.08) +0% 5 D McCain (15%): 13-48 for 27% (+1.06) +12% 0 S Thomson (15%): 13-81 for 16% (-27.27) +1% 2 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Ayr last 5 years +/- R Brian Hughes (18%): 44-212 for 21% (-36.07) +3% 7 Derek Fox (10%): 18-142 for 13% (+11.03) +3% 5 Ross Chapman (10%): 16-75 for 21% (+0.97) +11% 0 Henry Brooke (10%): 13-93 for 14% (+6.62) +4% 0 Craig Nichol (10%): 11-82 for 13% (-20.21) +3% 5 TOP 5 OWNERS at Ayr last 5 years +/- E Trevor Hemmings (15%): 7-33 for 21% (-18.08) +6% 0 MacDonald Family (14%): 7-37 for 19% (+12.00) +5% 1 P & C Rooney (15%): 6-19 for 32% (-3.13) +17% 0 J P McManus (12%): 6-21 for 29% (+18.30) +17% 0 T G Leslie (21%): 5-13 for 38% (+0.98) +17% 0 HOT TRAINERS 17/10/2021 to 16/11/2021 +/- E O Murphy (18%): 19-67 for 28.4% (+11.25) +10% 2 R Dobbin (12%): 5-18 for 27.8% (+8.62) +16% 2 D Whillans (11%): 2-9 for 22.2% (+1.33) +11% 2 N Richards (15%): 6-30 for 20.0% (-1.00) +5% 4 TRAINER COLD LIST E S Wilson (0%): 97 1 B Cawley (5%): 63 2 Miss L Perratt (5%): 49 1 I Duncan (6%): 40 3 A B Hamilton (5)%: 31 1 HOT JOCKEYS 17/10/2021 to 16/11/2021 +/- R Brian Hughes (18%): 23-99 for 23.2% (+0.94) +5% 7 Gavin Sheehan (17%): 10-44 for 22.7% (+3.00) +6% 2 JOCKEY COLD LIST R John Kington (3%): 42 1 Alan Doyle (8%): 33 3 Bruce Lynn (11%): 17 1 William Shanahan (3%): 15 1 Tom Midgley (10%): 15 2 FIXTURES Tuesday 16 November 2021 Monday 22 November 2021 Monday 29 November 2021
12.30 1.05 1.40 2.15 2.50 3.23 3.53 |
MICK FITZGERALD - AYR RACECOURSE
Underfoot conditions at Ayr are very important in deciding how you need to ride a race. When it’s very soft, on both the chase and hurdle tracks, you can afford to wait, because the field almost always comes back to you. When it’s quick, on the other hand, you can easily find yourself in trouble if others have got away from you and you’re left with a lot of ground to make up. It’s a fair test, with no bogey fences, but, ideally, you need a horse with both a little bit of toe and a fair amount of stamina. |
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. |
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Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a math-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge. The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit. |
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. |