PACAFI (24 November 2021)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

PARISENCORE 2.20 Wetherby at 5/4

 Racing TV Black Friday Offer This Friday Novices' Hurdle (Class 4) 2m


Trainer Form: 3-15 for 20%          (10)     
National average: 15%               (10)
Course Strike Rate: 16%             (10)        
RPR: 124                            (10)                          
Optimum Ground: Good                (10)
Distance: 2m                        (10)
Jockey: Danny McMenamin             (10)
National Average: 13%               (10)
Course Strike Rate: 18%             (10) 
Trainer/jockey combination: 13%     (10)
Total:                             (100)
Danger: Rory And Me

Runner-up on second of 2 starts in bumpers and matched that form sent hurdling when filling same spot at Kelso over 16.2f on good ground on return 32 days ago. Likely to do better still with just 3 runs on the clock, so boasts leading claims.

Showed something at home

Parisencore was a €32,000 3yo and the first foal of a French 2m1f hurdle winner, he didn't shape with much obvious encouragement on debut at Ayr on heavy ground but there was enough strength behind him in the betting to suggest he must have been showing more at home. He confirmed the ground was against him on his next two starts where he showed his potential on good ground finishing second on both occasions.

Looks to have one horse to beat who has been off the track for 364 days whilst the Pacafi is ready to run a PB, before moving on. We note the Pacafi had multiple entries this week including races at Newcastle and Ayr, but trainer Nicky Richards has decided on Wetherby.

Trainer form

Nicky Richards has a national average of 15% and his last 14 days show 3-15 for 20% so 5% above. At the course he records 7-43 for 16% over the past 5 years. The combination with jockey Danny McMenamin scores 20-155 for 13% and the jockey records 6-33 for 18%. We think the jockey rides better than his statistics show.


Rory And Me was a winner of 2 of his 3 starts in bumpers in 2019. Failed to score on the level but found only one too good on hurdles debut over C&D a year ago. Off since but a danger player if ready to roll.


   PARISENCORE has the best recent form judged on his promising second in a maiden hurdle at Kelso last month, so he appeals as the most likely winner. Rory And Me hasn't been seen since finishing second in this corresponding race 12 months ago, but would be a big threat if ready to roll, while point-recruit East Street requires a market check.


The 5/4 looks north of value and we would have taken even money. Ready to win.



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