LINGFIELD RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Friday 7 January 2022)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our LINGFIELD RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Friday 7 January 2022. There is a 7-race card containing 6 handicaps 1 novice race. The going is expected to be standard.

Winning favourites (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo    62-141 for 44%  (+4.21)	  9-42   for 21%  (-16.73)
3yo   118-243 for 49% (-10.07)	122-395  for 31%  (-56.28)
4yo+   67-131 for 51% (+12.23)	242-759  for 32%  (-67.21)
Total 247-515 for 48%  (+6.37)	373-1196 for 31% (-140.22)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at LINGFIELD for 2021                +/-   E
Mark Johnston (15%)   13-78 for 17% (-7.48)         +2%   2  
Archie Watson (17%)   12-54 for 22% (-8.01)         +5%   1 
Stuart Williams (12%) 11-45 for 24% (+9.60)        +12%   1
Gary Moore (14%)      11-65 for 17% (+3.36)         +3%   4
Roger Varian (20%)    10-31 for 32% (-8.91)        +12%   0

TOP 5 TRAINERS at LINGFIELD for past 5 years        +/-   E 
Archie Watson (17%)  60-271 for 22%  (-9.08)        +5%   1
Mark Johnston (15%)  57-300 for 19% (-10.13)        +4%   2
John Gosden (21%)    47-161 for 29%  (+3.27)        +8%   2 
Richard Hannon (12%) 46-330 for 14% (-73.84)        +2%   2
Gary Moore (14%)     33-256 for 13% (-28.56)        -1%   4

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at LINGFIELD for 2021                 +/-   R 
Adam Kirby (15%)        26-106 for 25%  (+24.34)   +10%   0
Richard Kingscote (14%) 22-104 for 21%   (-3.76)    +7%   0
David Probert (11%)     21-132 for 16% (+135.62)    +5%   0
Hollie Doyle (14%)      21-147 for 14%  (-30.15)    +0%   0
Luke Morris (9%)        18-199 for  9%  (-29.57)    +0%   7

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at LINGFIELD for past 5 years         +/-   R
Luke Morris (9%)    74-692 for 11% (-109.98)        +2%   7 
Adam Kirby (15%)    71-429 for 17%  (-98.44)        +2%   0
Hollie Doyle (14%)  71-458 for 16% (-102.36)        +2%   0
David Probert (11%) 62-482 for 13%  (+27.66)        +2%   0
Tom Marquand (14%)  59-385 for 15%  (-24.83)        +1%   4
 
TOP 5 OWNERS at LINGFIELD for past 5 years          +/-   E 
Godolphin (24%)         37-139 for 26% (-28.07)     +2%   0
Hamdan Al Maktoum (21%) 22-85  for 26% (-10.72)     +5%   0
S bin A Maktoum (15%)   17-66  for 26% (+25.67)    +11%   0
J Dalmook Maktoum (19%) 14-46  for 30% (+48.47)    +11%   0
King Power Racing (14%) 14-75  for 19% (-32.17)     +5%   0
 
HOT TRAINERS 08/12/2021 to 07/01/2022               +/-   E
S Hodgson (19%)    4-9  for 44% (+12.25)           +25%   1
W Haggas (22%)     9-21 for 43%  (-0.38)           +21%   2
G L Moore (14%)   18-76 for 24%  (-2.00)           +10%   4
S C Williams (12%) 5-27 for 19%  (-8.87)            +7%   1
P McEntee (10%)    5-28 for 18%  (+1.50)            +8%   2

TRAINERS COLD LIST      E
D C Griffiths (7%) 74   1
L Carter (5%)      64   2
J Long (11%)       58   1
J Bridger (6%)     55   1
Mrs L Mongan (4%)  49   2   

HOT JOCKEYS 08/12/2021 to 07/01/2022                +/-   R
Tom Marquand (14%)  6-29 for 21% (-12.28)           +7%   4
Marco Ghiani (15%) 14-76 for 18% (+33.22)           +3%   4
    
JOCKEYS COLD LIST           E
William Carson (6%)    54   4
Callum Hutchinson (8%) 48   1
George Rooke (7%)      30   1
Trevor Whelan (9%)     20   1

FIXTURES
Friday 7 January 2021
Saturday 8 January 2021

(%): National Average  E: Entries  R: Rides

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Lingfield over the past 5 years show 620-1711 for 36.23% and a level stake lossof -133.85. The strike rate is above the national average and this is because of the fabulous figures of winning favourites in non-handicaps 247-515 for 47.96% (+6.37). Best category is 4yos+ in non-handicaps 67-131 for 51% (+12.23) and though not a big sample it has relevance. Winning favourites in handicaps at Lingfield score at just below the national average with 373-1196 for 31.19% (-133.85).

TRAINERS: Mark Johnston has 2 runners now rebranded and has the favourite in the 3.20 NO FLIES ON ME but that one comes back from a 150-day break and will not attract our stake money. From our leader boards Gary Moore looks the most likely to score a winner.

HOT TRAINER: Of our hot trainers, William Haggas, Stuart Williams and Gary Moore look likely to have winners.

JOCKEYS: This meeting is about 3 jockeys, they are Luke Morris with 7 rides, Tom Marquand 4 and Marco Ghiani 4. From these 15 rides there must be multiple winners.

OWNERS: None of our top owners have a runner.

12.35
SMITH (L Richards) C&D winner and career best 38 days, up 8lbs. William Carson 0-54 rides

1.05
PORFIN (P McEntee) won in the last 7 days
HEADLEY GEORGE (S Dow) trainer shows profit of £93.94 when one runner at meeting, Tom Marquand rides
BOY GEORGE (D F Davis) beaten favourite last time out
AGENT OF FORTUNE (A Carson) C&D winner, weighted to win 76 > 54, Marco Ghiani rides

1.40
STORM ASSET (M Wigham) beaten favourite last time out, first time cheek pieces
DEADLY WEAPON (A Watson) drops from Class 4 to Class 6, trainer 22% at the course since 2018, first time blinkers, Luke Morris rides

2.15
TONE THE BARRONE (S Williams) C&D winner, 10 wins from 24, Marco Ghiani rides and 38% on favourites

2.50
CARYATID (W Haggas) trainer shows profit of £13.57 with horses running after a break
MHAJIM (J &T Gosden) trainer shows profit of £25.75 with debutants
AZAHEER (J & T Gosden) OR 78 & RPR 91 for this Class 5, Jim Crowley rides

3.20
CAFE SYDNEY (A Carroll) weighted to win 59 > 52, Luke Morris rides
IZAR (J Butler) trainer shows profit of £31.00 using first time headgear

3.50
DEVIZES (P Phelan) C&D winner, weighted to win 59 > 56, trainer 0-20 (119 days)

LIBBRETTA (J Long) trainer shows profit of £49.00 when one runner at a meeting

NATIONAL AVERAGE

Please note the percentages in brackets for the Top 5 Trainers at Lingfield show their national averages over the past 5 years. Comparing current form or course form against that of the national average is our preferred measuring tool, the math suggests a factual position and not one of bias. Besides, the higher the national average, with respect to the other trainers, the greater chance of success. The higher the trainer's success rate, the more likely the horse is to win.

JASON WEAVER on LINGFIELD

Lingfield’s 1m 2f all-weather start is a tough one, very draw-dependent. The same is true of the 5f and 6f starts. I always think it’s a track that lends itself to riding in the ‘third wave’. In races over 1m, for example, the first wave will go with maybe 5f left, round the initial turn, while the second wave will kick into the home straight. The third wave - the George Baker wave - usually attacks at the 1f pole and often comes out best. You don’t want to be way out of your ground, but patience can pay.

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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