PACAFI (19 May 2022)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

VALSAD 1.55 Lingfield at 8/13

Barry Gurr Memorial Novice Stakes (Class 5) 1m3f133y

COMPOSITE RATINGS

Trainer Form: 4-13 for 32%          (10)    
National average: 16%               (10)
Course Strike Rate: 25%             (10)                                     
OR: 92                              (10)  
Distance: 1m4f                      (10)                          
Optimum Ground: Good                (10)
Jockey: Benoit De La Sayette (7)    (10)
National Average: 20%               (10)
Course Strike Rate: NA                   
Trainer/Jockey Combo: NA           
Total:                              (80)
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Danger: Havaila

Improved last time despite race not run to suit

Valsad improved despite not being seen to best effect when second of 4 in maiden at Salisbury over 14f on good to firm ground when not fancied to win (11/2) just 18 days ago, ideally needing stiffer test. With further progress on the cards, he is very hard to oppose. 

Contenders

The Michael Stoute-trained Havaila drops down in class following a disappointing fourth-placed run at Salisbury on his debut behind Vaslad and it is hard to see that form being turned around with Benoit De La Sayette taking off 7lb. Olympic Dream could improve off the back of his run at Newbury but will need to get on terms with the Pacafi.

 Timeform

   VALSAD found further progress despite not being seen to best effect when finishing runner-up at Salisbury earlier this month and, with improvement on the cards, he can open his account. Havaila was a couple of places behind the selection that day and, with Sir Michael Stoute's charge sure to have derived plenty from that initial outing, he rates as the obvious danger.

Value

The 8/13 was just short of the 4/6 we wanted but our Pacafi must be so hard to beat given his last time out form and the 7lbs Benoit De La Sayette takes off. We do not like using the phrase 'penalty kick' but a percentage ride should be enough!

Valsad traded at a low of 1.30 and Betfair SP of 8.00 when losing last time, a race in which it raced towards the rear.

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PACAFI RESULTS for 2022

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