The Racing Horse offers our KEMPTON AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Wednesday 12 February 2025. There is a 9-race card containing 8 Handicaps, and a Maiden Stake Races. The Polytrack is expected to ride standard to slow.

Winning favourites (last 5 years)
Non-handicaps                     Handicaps
2yo    99-260	38%    -45.24	  38-90	     42%    +12.04
3yo   131-258	51%     -9.09	  144-418    34%    -14.45
4yo+   40-94	43%	-4.87	  218-676    32%    -52.29
TOTAL 270-612	44%    -58.35	  400-1184   34%    -54.71

Top Trainers last 5 years                          +/-   E
Andrew Balding (15%)	77-493	 16%	 -40.88    +1%   2
Charlie Appleby (29%)	64-201	 32%	 -44.11    +3%   1
Roger Varian (20%)	59-230	 26%	 -19.77    +6%   1
J & T Gosden (21%)	57-283	 20%	 -54.37    -1%   0
Richard Hannon (11%)    45-394	 11%	-123.20    +0%   1

Top 5 Jockeys last 5 years                         +/-   R
Oisin Murphy (20%)	92-420	 22%	-67.12     +2%   0
Daniel Muscutt (14%)	84-572	 15%   -151.96     +1%   3
David Probert (13%)	81-637	 13%	 +0.92     +0%   0
Richard Kingscote (13%)	68-508	 13%   -110.10     +0%   3
Rossa Ryan (17%)	67-456	 15%	-63.85     -2%   0

Top 5 Owners last 5 years                          +/-   E
Godolphin (26%)	      84-309	27%    -84.31      +1%   1
Juddmonte (23%)	      21-77	27%	-9.07      +4%   0
Shadwell Est (22%)    21-84	25%	-3.11      +3%   0
Opulence Thor (19%)   18-62	29%	+8.10     +11%   0
King Power (12%)      18-98	18%    -34.27      +6%   2

Upcoming fixtures:						
Wednesday 12 February 2025	
Wednesday 19 February 2025		
Wednesday 26 February 2025

Forthcoming Racecourse Templates:
tbc - weather check!

CONFIGURATION: Kempton is a right-handed, Polytrack, flat, oval-shaped course with two loops. The inner circuit, used for races over five and ten furlongs is sharp and has a finishing straight of just under two furlongs, favouring the speedy, handy type, markedly so over the minimum trip. The turn on the outer course is more sweeping and the straight is approximately three furlongs long, making for a fairer test. Over both five and six furlongs, there is a relatively short run to the first bend.

JASON WEAVER: The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics.

TRAINERS: Andrew Balding (15%) has his horses in tremendous form and currently shows 5-10 for 50%. He runs 2 at the course including LADY FLORA 6.30 & KING'S LYNN 7.00 but the jockey bookings do not suggest winners!

Roger Varian (20%) is another trainer in form showing 3-7 for 43% over the last 14 days and he runs SPECTACULAR STYLE 7.30 to be ridden by Jack Mitchell. His charge was a bitter disappointment last time as a 2/1 favourite which tempers enthusiasm. The trainer scores 26% at Kempton

JOCKEYS: Danny Muscutt (14%) often goes unnoticed, but he is second top jockey at the course, he has 3 rides and a couple with chances, they include ADVANCING 6.00, HEATHCLIFF 7.00 & SPLIT ELEVENS 8.30

Richard Kingscote (13%) has 2 rides including GAIETY MUSICAL 6.30 & BUXTED TOO 7.30.

OWNERS: Godolphin (26%) reign supreme at Kempton and they have MODERN DAY 6.00 running for them and trained by Charlie Appleby.

King Power (12%) have 2 runners in the same race including SOMMELIER & FIVETHOUSANDTOONE 7.00 but hard to see either winning and tough to place.

RED FLAG: Since our launch in June 2011 there has only been 3 former members known to us interested in the forecast area of betting. This is an area we quite enjoy when the opportunity to profit arises. A classic example is with Charlie Appleby runners at certain courses with Kempton AW one of them! Charlie Appleby (29%) should not be opposed at Kempton where he scores at 32%. His horses are a must for forecast purposes if you consider he records 108-201 for 54% over the past 5 years when finishing in first or second place. His first or second all time figures at the course show 268-531 for over 50% so no signs of fatigue! He runs MODERN DAY 6.00 to be ridden by Dougie Costello and note he is already gelded and has the use of a hood. He has a good draw from stall 5 and obviously the one to beat. The trainer is 10-17 for 59% over the last 14 days!

This Maiden Stakes race for 3yos has 12 runners but we can easily dismiss 6 of them including Final Night, Jack Langley, Lovely Jubly, Soy Loco, Guinness Lad & The Cooleen. We doubt any of these will finish third yet alone second. So this leaves us with 6 runners, and a cursory look at trainers winning these 2025 races. Stuart Williams is 2-6 for 33%, Charlie Clover has recorded a second and a third place from just 9 runners, Ralph Beckett is currently 0-4 but is superb at preparing early types, Tom Clover is 2-3 for 67%, & James Ferguson is 1-3 for 33%. The suggestion is Modern Day will finish first or second to MEGALITHIC, POLITICAL POWER, SHIPSHAPE, ZARAKERJACK & ADVANCING. The race is over a mile so less concerned with the draw.

4.25: Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap (Class 4) 7f

• Winning favourites 32%
• ARTICIAN (S Dow) 4-time C&D winner, last time out winner over Bell Shot, Tommy Jakes rides
• BELL SHOT (M Appleby) creditable short-head 2 of 9 to Arctician in C&D handicap 23 days ago, just failing. Now 1lb better off with the winner plus a 5lb claim from the jockey. Kyle McHugh (5) rides but career 0-43
• BRASIL POWER (G Boughey) 3-time C&D winner, blinkered first time, respectable 4 of 8 in Southwell handicap 12 days ago, running on. Fred Daly (5) rides

5.00: Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap (Class 6) 1m

• Winning favourites 34%
• BALLARAT BERTIE (R Hughes) improved 4 of 9 in Wolverhampton handicap 11 days ago. First time blinkers, Finley Marsh rides
• SPINNING DANCER (J Moore) caught the eye in a similar event at Wolverhampton 11 days ago. Kieran O'Neill rides
• GALETTE (J Portman) good 5 of 9 in Wolverhampton handicap with wide trip throughout. Third place might be best. Olivia Tubb (5) rides

5.30: Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap (Class 6) 1m

• Winning favourites 34%
• PERFECT PAROLE (T Ward) last time out winner when career best when winning 9-runner Wolverhampton handicap 11 days ago, Tom Marquand rides
• PERFECT RUBY (R Hannon) blinkered 1st time then career best when winning 7-runner Lingfield handicap 30 days ago, Joe Leavy (3) rides
• APPLEBLOSSOMWHITE (L Souza) formerly with A Murphy, good 2 of 8 on handicap debut 30 days ago, Callum Shepherd rides

6.00: Unibet More Extra Place Races Maiden Stakes (Class 5) 1m 

• MONDERN DAY (C Appleby) trainer NA of 29% and 32% at course, first time hood, market will tell us more. Dougie Costello rides
• MEGALILITH (S Williams) formerly with R Beckett, 112-day break and Tom Marquand rides
• POLITICAL POWER (C Clover) good 2nd at Newcastle on debut for new stable, OR 76, Darragh Keenan rides

6.30: Unibet Zero% Mission Fillies' Handicap (Class 4) 1m 

• Winning favourites 32%
• UNASSUMING (G Boughey) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, ended last year with a good 2 behind a next-time-out Listed winner at Southwell, better than bare result at Lingfield on latest outing. Callum Shepherd rides
• MORE THAN A FEELIN (A Haynes) beaten favourite last time out, Kieren O'Neill rides

7.00: Free Bet With Unibet's Betbuilder Rebound Handicap (Class 2) 6f 

• Winning favourites 32%
• ARAMIS GREY (J Jones) formerly with R Guest, beaten favourite last time out. Dual C&D winner, returned from 3-month absence to finish a narrow 2 over C&D in December. Now with Jack Jones from unchanged rating, Callum Shepherd rides
• HEATHCLIFF (J Fanshawe) is an AW handicapper on the up and can build on his encouraging Newcastle reappearance. Danny Muscutt rides
• COACHELLO (M Loughnane) 5-12 on the AW surfaces, Jack Mitchell rides

7.30: Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Class 5) 1m4f 

• Winning favourites 32%
• RISEN AGAIN (A Haynes) best run since joining Alice Haynes when 3 of 11 in Southwell handicap 28 days ago, Kieran O'Neill rides
• SPECTACULAR STYLE (R Varian) beaten favourite last time out, Jack Mitchell rides
• UPEPO (A Carroll) All 4 wins at Lingfield. Better than result when 6 of 12 over 2m there since, making late headway from too far back. Jack Doughty (3) rides

8.00: bet@racingtv.com Handicap (Class 6) 7f 

• Winning favourites 32%
• OUR DAGGER (K Bourke) last time out winner for new trainer, stall 1, long traveller 331-miles, Oisin Orr rides
• STACEY RACEY (K Burke) C&D winner, beaten favourite last time out, returns from break. Josephine Gordon rides
• SOUTH DAKOTA SIOUX (J Butler) last time out winner, up 6lbs, Callum Shepherd rides

8.30: bet@racingtv.com Handicap (Class 6) 7f 

• Winning favourites 32%
• KONDRATIEV WAVE (T Carroll) only just denied off this mark at Lingfield 10 days ago, generally dependable at this level. Jack Doughty (3) rides
• SPLIT ELEVENS (J Butler) beaten favourite last time out when given hopeless task, weighted to win 62 > 59, Danny Muscutt rides
• BEVARAGINO (T Ward) first run since leaving Michael Bell when respectable 4 of 9 in Southwell handicap 40 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Hector Crouch rides

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