PACAFI (Monday 7 April 2025)
April 6th, 2025
WOLVERHAMPTON Racecourse Template (Saturday 15 March 2025
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Tagged Betting advice, Pacafi, Racecourse Templates, The Racing Horse, Wolverhampton AW Racecourse Template
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Winning favourites (last 5 years) Non-handicaps Handicaps 2yo 89-213 42% -27.47 34-107 32% -6.09 3yo 149-301 50% -13.40 212-660 32% -86.71 4yo+ 73-175 42% +3.51 412-1310 31% -133.08 TOTAL 311-689 45% -37.35 658-2077 32% -225.89 Top Trainers last 5 years +/- E Tony Carroll (10%) 89-942 9% -233.61 -1% 4 Mark Loughnane (10%) 79-648 12% -48.01 +2% 0 Michael Appleby (11%) 70-533 13% +44.63 +2% 0 George Boughey (16%) 61-383 16% -38.22 +0% 0 David Evans (11%) 55-440 13% -108.49 +2% 0 Top 5 Jockeys last 5 years +/- R Rossa Ryan (17%) 130-630 21% +39.49 +4% 0 Luke Morris (9%) 106-899 12% -195.17 +3% 0 Billy Loughnane (14%) 79-465 17% -10.91 +3% 4 David Probert (13%) 75-624 12% -110.44 -1% 4 Daniel Muscutt (14%) 72-428 17% -54.34 +3% 0 Top 5 Owners last 5 years +/- E Godolphin (26%) 43-143 30% -23.39 +4% 0 Saeed Manana (17%) 19-83 23% +10.43 +6% 0 Amo Racing (15%) 16-96 17% -15.17 +2% 0 Sheikh A Maktoum (23%) 15-44 35% +7.16 +12% 0 Power Geneva (13%) 15-114 13% -21.80 +0% 1 Sundries Derek Shaw (9%) 0-55 (55 days) 2 entries Stuart Williams (11%) 0-32 (29 days) 1 entry Trevor Whelan (9%) 0-35 (58 days) 2 rides Marco Ghiani(14%) 0-19 (11 days) 5 rides Upcoming fixtures: Monday 17 March 2025 Tuesday 18 March 2025 Saturday 22 March 2025 Forthcoming Racecourse Templates: Wolverhampton AW (Monday 17 March 2025) tbc tbc
CONFIGURATION: The all-weather course at Wolverhampton forms a flat, left-handed oval circuit of just under a mile in length. The bends are fairly sharp and with a straight of under 2f in length it favours horses with the ability to hold a good position as opposed to those who need time to find full stride.
JASON WEAVER: Wolverhampton’s 5f, 7f and extended 1m starts can be tricky from a jockey’s point of view, because they’re very much draw-dependent. It’s a big advantage being among the low, left-hand numbers. The 1m 4f start can also be a slight problem, but at least from there you’ve got a longer trip to get sorted out. Nobody went round the inside in the early days and, while I’m not sure it’s a disadvantage to be there now, most jocks still shy away from that rail. It’s a tight course, but well laid-out and very fair.
WINNING FAVOURITES: Despite the poor quality of racing at Wolverhampton, winning favourites generally have high strike rates, particularly in non-handicap, low-tier races. The wisdom of the crowd is clearly in play and working at this racecourse, and it certainly pays to wager late here or even better just before the off. It's important to note that the 5f, 7f, and extended 1m starts can be challenging for jockeys, and the 1m4f start may also present difficulties. Nevertheless, the high strike rate persists despite these adverse draw conditions. The substantial sample size at this course lends much credibility to the data, with absolutely no signs of fatigue!
Over the past 5 years, winning favourites at Wolverhampton show 969-2766 for 35% so around 3% above the national average, though a level stake loss to SP of -£263.24 to a £1 win stake.
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TRAINERS: Top trainer at the course Tony Carroll (9%) is in the doldrums. The last 14 days show 2-45 for 4% and 0-21 over the past 7 days. He has 4 runners here tomorrow and a couple with chances, they include RECON MISSION 6.00, INIT TOGETHER 6.30. HONRADO & WALK THE MOON 8.30. He is the only top 5 trainer with runners tomorrow.
JOCKEYS: Billy Loughnane (14%) has 4 rides including GENERAL ASSEMBLY 6.00, GREEN TEAM 6.30, ROGUE THUNDER 7.30 & DISQUIETUDE 8.30
Dave Probert (13%) also has 4 rides including PLAGE DE HAVRE 5.30, MAHARAJAS EXPRESS 6.00, PALAZZO PERSICO 6.30 & NORTHSTEAD GARDENS 8.30 Marco Ghiani (14%) has 5 rides of interest including RECON MISSION 6.00, INIT TOGETHER 6.30, SCATTERING LIGHT7.00, EVA'S EYES 8.00 & WALK THE MOON 8.30
Marco Ghiani (14%) has 5 rides including RECON MISSION 6.00, INIT TOGETHER 6.30, SCATTERING LIGHT 7.00, EVA'S EYES 8.00 & WALK THE MOON 8.30.
5.30: BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Class 2) 1m5F219y
6.00: Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Class 5) 5f21y
6.30: Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap (Class 4) 1m4f51y
7.00: Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Class 5) 6f20y
7.30: Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Classified Stakes (Class 6) 6f20y
8.00: Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Class 6) 1m1f104y
8.30: £30 In Free Bets With BetUK Classified Stakes (Class 6) 1m4f51y