WOLVERHAMPTON AW Racecourse Template (Monday 17 March 2025)

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The Racing Horse offers our WOLVERHAMPTON AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Monday 17 March 2025. There is a 9-race card containing 3 Classified Stakes, 4 Handicaps and 2 Novice Stakes Races. The going for the Tapeta Surface is expected to be standard.

Winning favourites (last 5 years)
Non-handicaps                     Handicaps

2yo    89-213	42%    -27.47	  34-107     32%     -6.09
3yo   152-305	50%    -13.70	  213-652    33%    -87.96
4yo+   74-181	41%	+1.76	  418-1338   31%   -134.23
TOTAL 315-699	45%    -39.41	  665-2097   32%   -228.29

Top Trainers last 5 years                          +/-   E
Tony Carroll (10%)	89-946	  9%	-237.61    -1%   7
Mark Loughnane (10%)	79-649	 12%	 -49.01    +2%   2
Michael Appleby (11%)	70-533	 13%	 +44.63    +2%   0
George Boughey (16%)	61-383	 16%	 -38.22    +0%   1
David Evans (11%)	55-440	 13%	-108.49    +2%   2

Top 5 Jockeys last 5 years                         +/-   R
Rossa Ryan (17%)	132-636	 21%	 +39.49    +4%   7
Luke Morris (9%)	106-904	 12%	-200.17    +3%   4
Billy Loughnane (14%)	81-473	 17%	  -5.41    +3%   3
David Probert (13%)	76-633	 12%	-117.72    -1%   4
Daniel Muscutt (14%)	72-41	 17%	 -57.34    +3%   0

Top 5 Owners last 5 years                          +/-   E
Godolphin (26%)	        43-144	 30%	 -24.39    +4%   0
Saeed Manana (17%)	19-83	 23%	 +10.43    +6%   0
Amo Racing (15%)	16-96	 17%	 -15.17    +2%   1
Sheikh A Maktoum (23%)	15-44	 35%	  +7.16   +12%   0
Power Geneva (13%)	15-116	 13%	 -23.80    +0%   1

Sundries
J Channon (16%)	        7-11	64%	+25.05
M L W Bell (14%)	3-8	38%	 +8.25

Harrison Shaw (7%)	0-49  (115 days)
Cam Hardie (5%)	        0-41   (30 days)
Lewis Edmunds 11%)	0-35   (30 days)
Gina Mangan (10%)	0-34  (133 days)

Upcoming fixtures:	
Tuesday 18 March 2025	
Saturday 22 March 2025										

Forthcoming Racecourse Templates:
Chepstow NH (Thursday 20 March 2025)
Exeter (Sunday 23 March 2025)

RACECOURSE TEMPLATES are road maps that unmasks, then reveals a betting landscape of an individual racecourse on a given day. The numbers and aggregation contained within the template are pure, and have obvious value, representing something as big as an edge or as small as relevance.  Not only that, it flags up pieces of information generally missed by punditry, whilst offering relevant snippets to future races/templates.

CONFIGURATION: The all-weather course at Wolverhampton forms a flat, left-handed oval circuit of just under a mile in length. The bends are fairly sharp and with a straight of under 2f in length it favours horses with the ability to hold a good position as opposed to those who need time to find full stride.

JASON WEAVER: Wolverhampton’s 5f, 7f and extended 1m starts can be tricky from a jockey’s point of view, because they’re very much draw-dependent. It’s a big advantage being among the low, left-hand numbers. The 1m 4f start can also be a slight problem, but at least from there you’ve got a longer trip to get sorted out. Nobody went round the inside in the early days and, while I’m not sure it’s a disadvantage to be there now, most jocks still shy away from that rail. It’s a tight course, but well laid-out and very fair.

WINNING FAVOURITES:  Despite the poor quality of racing at Wolverhampton, winning favourites generally have high strike rates, particularly in non-handicap, low-tier races. The wisdom of the crowd is clearly in play and working at this racecourse, and it certainly pays to wager late here or even better just before the off. It's important to note that the 5f, 7f, and extended 1m starts can be challenging for jockeys, and the 1m4f start may also present difficulties. Nevertheless, the high strike rate persists despite these adverse draw conditions. The substantial sample size at this course lends much credibility to the data, with absolutely no signs of fatigue!

 Over the past 5 years, winning favourites at Wolverhampton show 980-2796 for 35% so around 3% above the national average, though a level stake loss to SP of -£267.70 to a £1 win stake.

  • Winning favourites in non-handicaps score at 45%
  • Winning favourites in handicaps score at 32%
  • Best category are 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps 152-305 for 50% (-13.70)
  • Worst category are 4yo+ winning favourites in handicaps 418-1338 for 31% (-134.23)
  • Differential between best and worst category is a big 19%
  • Top trainer at the course is Tony Carroll (9%) based on volume - not on quality
  • Top jockey at the course is Rossa Ryan (17%) where he scores at 21% so +4% above his national average 
  • Godolphin (26%) are the leading owners at the course scoring at 31% so +5% above their national average.

TRAINERS: Top trainer at the course Tony Carroll (10%) has 7 runners including LOCAL BAY 4.27, SECOND COLLECTION 5.00, IFLOOKSCOULDKILL 6.00, LEQUINTO 6.30, KENSINGTON AGENT 7.00, DANEHILL STAR 8.00 & YOU ARE EVERYTHING 8.30. He looks good for a winner with this set of runners, especially with Rossa Ryan riding 3 of them!

JOCKEYS: Rossa Ryan (17%) has 7 rides including SECOND COLLECTION 5.00, PRINCE OF INDIA 5.30, THE SWEET ESCAPE 6.00, LEQUINTO 6.30, KENSINGTON AGENT 7.00, TOP OF PLEINMONT 7.30 & QUICK AWAY 8.00. Stop at a winner?

Luke Morris (9%) has 4 rides including WARRIOR MODE 6.00, CAPTAIN BRETT 7.30, DANEHILL STAR 8.00 & COMEDIAN LEADER 8.30.

David Probert (13%) has 4 rides including EXCELLENT BELIEVE 6.00, NOT JUST YET 7.00, KING OF THE DANCE 8.00 & DOURADO 8.30

OWNERS: Amo Racing (15%) have a runner in the 3yo gelding POLITICAL POWER 5.30 who is an 8-race maiden trained by Charlie Clover who now has career stats of 0-16 for 0%.
 
Power Geneva (13%) also have a runner in SOAR ABOVE 6.30 who is a 10yo trained by John Butler who is not likely to get involved.

4.27: Best Odds G QUIuaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Class 4) 1m142y

  • Winning favourites 31%
  • GET JIGGY WITH IT (G Boughey) formerly with C Hills, sold for 50,000 gns since last run, first time tongue strap. Billy Loughnane rides
  • PARADOXICAL (J Candlish) C&D winner, winner in the last 7 days when bolting up and now seeking 4-timer, Warren Fentiman (5) rides
  • URBAN SPRAWL (C Johnston) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, Callum Shepherd rides

5.00: Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Classified Stakes (Class 6) 5f21y 

  • Winning favourites 41%
  • MY TURN NOW (M Attwater) better judged on her winning effort at Chelmsford the time before, 52-day break not a concern. Paddy Bradley rides
  • BANKRUPT (C Banham) C&D winner. Latest win at Lingfield, creditable 5 of 9 in handicap here 34 days ago. Well drawn for a front-runner, Joey Haynes rides
  • GLOBAL EFFORT (P McEntee) C&D winner in February, but now needs to bounce back after poor last run. Won here 3 times in recent past, Grace McEntee rides 

5.30: Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (Class 4) (Div I) 7f36y

  • Winning favourites 50%
  • PRINCE OF INDIA (M Botti) sets the standard OR 76 and this race is weak. Rossa Ryan rides
  • NAD ALSHIBA RAIN (J Owen) very good 4 of 10 in Southwell handicap at Southwell (6f) 16 days ago, nearest finish after getting outpaced. Will be suited by the return to 7f and 11/2 looks a good price for each-way purposes. Hector Crouch rides
  • POLITICAL POWER (C Clover) 1,000gns purchase and beaten favourite last time out, David Egan rides

6.00: Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (Class 4) (Div II) 7f36y

  • Winning favourites 50% 
  • EXCELLENT BELIEVE (J Channon) €55,000 gelding out of Listed-placed 2yo 5f winner; does not need to be anything special to feature on debut. David Probert rides
  • WARRIOR MODE (M Prescott) 130,000gns Night of Thunder colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 7f/1m winner Tranquil Night and 1¼m winner Lightness. Late market watch essential, though probably needs further to win. Luke Morris rides
  • ARIZONA ROCK (J Osborne) sets the standard, Saffie Osborne rides

6.30: Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Class 6) 7f36y 

  • Winning favourites 31%
  • CAPUCHINERO (A Haynes) weighted to win 64 > 61, and her second over C&D last month has been franked since. Christian Howarth (3) rides
  • SOUTH DAKOTA SIOUX (J Butler) C&D winner, 2-2 over C&D since the autumn, solid run in defeat at Kempton last time, Lewis Edmunds rides 
  • ASH WEDNESDAY (H Main) C&D winner, not at best at 6f in a stronger race last time, regular tongue-tie now refitted, can make return to this trip, grade and course a winning one. Jack Mitchell rides

7.00: Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap (Class 6) 6f20y 

  • Winning favourites 31%
  • BEAUZON (I Williams) 6-time course and distance winner, weighted to win 68 > 62, Charles Bishop rides
  • KENSINGTON AGENT (A Carroll) weighted to win 68 > 58, 3lb above latest winning mark and may need some leniency from the handicapper but Rossa Ryan rides
  • SMASHER (M Attwater) C&D winner and last time out winner at Kempton, current 10/1 looks big for each-way purposes. William Carson rides 

7.30: BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Class 6) 1m4f51y

  • Winning favourites 33%
  • BEAR BABY (A Haynes) trainer +£19.58 with horses stepped up in trip, Kieran O'Neill rides
  • CURRAHEE (S Pearce) took step forward when an encouraging 5th on handicap debut at Lingfield last time, further progress on the cards. William Carson rides PACAFI 
  • INFANTRY OFFICER (M Bell) Well bred thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, 11 of 13 in Windsor novice 7 months ago. Significantly up in trip for handicap debut and market watch advised. Hector Crouch rides

8.00: Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Class 6) (Div I) 1m142y

  • Winning favourites 41%
  • DANEHILL STAR (T Carroll) Career best winning 8-runner Newcastle event at Newcastle 10 days ago. Should go well again from stall 1. Luke Morris rides
  • BRINTON (J Portman)  consistent sort and creditable 3 of 8 in handicap at this course 14 days ago. Certain to be in the mix if stall 11 negotiated. Rob Hornby rides
  • QUICK AWAY (K Frost) C&D winner, record of 413 since switched to classified level, the success over C&D. Rossa Ryan rides

8.30: Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Class 6) (Div II) 1m142y

  • Winning favourites 41%
  • ALICE'S IMPACT (P Evans) beaten favourite last time out, in the frame for all 4 starts for stable. Billy Loughnane rides
  • OCEAN ODYSSEY (M McGrath) beaten favourite last time out, now drops in grade. Tom Queally rides
  • ZUMAATY (J Goldie) long traveller 285-miles. Returned from break with good 4th here last month, current 11/1 looks big for each-way purposes. Rob Havlin rides

Everything in racing is an estimate, nothing is absolute, this especially applies to JOCKEY BOOKINGS. Whilst their role is most critical within the race itself, it is massively important prior to and after the race also, something not fully acknowledged by the punting masses! 

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk, and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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