PACAFI (Monday 7 April 2025)
April 6th, 2025
KEMPTON AW Racecourse Template (Wednesday 26 March 2025)
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Tagged Betting strategy, Kempton AW Racecourse Template, Pacafi, Racecourse Templates, The Racing Horse
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Winning favourites (last 5 years) Non-handicaps Handicaps 2yo 99-260 38% -45.24 38-90 42% +12.04 3yo 133-266 50% -12.84 145-428 34% -19.95 4yo+ 41-95 43% -4.25 227-700 32% -55.65 TOTAL 273-621 44% -62.33 410-1218 34% -63.56 Top Trainers last 5 years +/- E Andrew Balding (15%) 79-504 16% -47.64 +1% 5 Charlie Appleby (29%) 65-204 32% -45.01 +3% 0 Roger Varian (20%) 59-233 25% -22.77 +5% 0 J & T Gosden (21%) 57-283 20% -54.37 -1% 1 Richard Hannon (11%) 45-400 11% -129.20 +0% 5 Top 5 Jockeys last 5 years +/- R Oisin Murphy (20%) 94-424 22% -66.88 +2% 8 Daniel Muscutt (14%) 86-577 15% -145.13 +1% 2 David Probert (13%) 81-641 13% -3.07 +0% 3 Rossa Ryan (17%) 70-466 15% -64.02 -2% 3 Richard Kingscote (13%) 70-510 14% -94.60 +1% 0 Top 5 Owners last 5 years +/- E Godolphin (26%) 85-312 27% -85.21 +1% 0 Juddmonte (23%) 21-78 27% -10.07 +4% 0 Shadwell Est (22%) 21-84 25% -3.11 +3% 0 Opulence Thor (19%) 18-62 29% +8.10 +11% 0 King Power (12%) 18-101 18% -37.27 +6% 1 Sundries James Tate (17%) 3-9 33.3% +2.75 1 J & T Gosden (21%) 2-6 33.3% -1.73 1 Emma Lavelle (15%) 8-32 25.0% -2.00 1 Brian Twoomey (5%) 0-22 (174 days) 1 Simon Dow (8%) 0-21 (46 days) 1 A W Carroll (10%) 0-21 (7 days) 1 Sean Kirrane (11%) 5-16 31.2% +20.25 1 Oisin Murphy (20%) 9-34 26.5% -4.54 8 Hector Crouch (17%) 11-42 26.2% +17.60 1 Daniel Muscutt (14%) 0-32 (24 days) 2 Thomas Greatrex (8%) 0-22 (171 days) 2 Forthcoming fixtures: Wednesday 26 March 2025 Saturday 29 March 2025
CONTEXT, PERTINENCE & RELEVANCE: Betting information is widely accessible at little or no cost, yet its interpretation is key to profiting. Utmost caution is necessary when distinguishing between reliable data and clutter. Clutter often consists of false, non-contextual, biased, and hyped information. Some of this misleading information may be presented in a very sophisticated manner, creating an illusion of credibility and importance. BUT, The Racing Horse Racecourse Templates are largely factual details with bias and opinion stripped away from them. They represent the best betting canvas available for an individual meeting by providing 100% context, pertinence and relevance, and contained within them is the chance to forge one's own systems and strategies!
CONFIGURATION: Kempton is a right-handed, Polytrack, flat, oval-shaped course with two loops. The inner circuit, used for races over five and ten furlongs is sharp and has a finishing straight of just under two furlongs, favouring the speedy, handy type, markedly so over the minimum trip. The turn on the outer course is more sweeping and the straight is approximately three furlongs long, making for a fairer test. Over both five and six furlongs, there is a relatively short run to the first bend.
JASON WEAVER: The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics.
WINNING FAVOURITES Winning favourites score 683-1839 for 37.14%, so around 5% above the national average, though a level stake loss to SP of -£125.89 to a £1 win stake. The size of the sample is big and robust, and one to be trusted, at least in a relative sense.
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TRAINERS: Andrew Balding (15%) has 5 runners including MARVELMAN 4.55, WHITE CROWN STAR 5.30, KING'S LYNN 7.00, BERKSHIRE SMUDGE 7.30 & LEGACY POWER 8.30 and a winner from this quintet beckons.
Richard Hannon (11%) has 5 runners also in WESTINGTON HOUSE 4.55, ARTH'S GOLD 5.30, STANDPUT 6.00, LOCAL HERO 7.00 & BEST RATE 7.30
J & T Gosden (21%) have made a quiet start for 2025 so far scoring just 2-17 for 12% (-13.73) so figures suggesting the stable's horses are not yet fully forward. They have just 1 runner in ROI DE FRANCE 7.00 to be ridden by Oisin Murphy from a perfect stall 3. The market will confirm his readiness in regards to a winning chance!
4.20: Unibet Zero% Mission/EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Class 4) 6f
4.55: Racing TV Novice Stakes (Class 5) 7f
5.30: Racing TV Novice Stakes (Class 5) 7f
6.00: Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap (Class 5) 7f
6.30: Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap (Class 5) 7f
7.00: Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (Class 2) 7f
7.30: Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boost's Handicap (Class 4) 1m
8.00: Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Class 6) 6f
8.30: Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (Class 5) 2m
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RESPONSIBILITY: Responsible gambling and taking responsibility for a bet is not remotely the same thing, they are distinctly different concepts. The term 'responsible gambling' is commonly used by bookmakers and authorities to describe the behavior of the majority who bet for entertainment, leisure, and accept the possibility of loss. In contrast, taking responsibility for a bet is a principle that applies to the more serious and astute bettors who aim to avoid losses or generate a secondary income from sports betting.
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