PACAFI (Monday 7 April 2025)
April 6th, 2025
TRAD JAZZ 4.53 Kempton at 1/2
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LINGFIELD AW Racecourse Template (Tuesday 1 April 2025) |
The Racing Horse offers our LINGFIELD AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Tuesday 1 April 2025. There is a 7-race card containing 6 Handicaps and a Maiden Fillies' Stakes Race. The going for the Polytrack surface is expected to ride standard.
Winning favourites (last 5 years) Non-handicaps Handicaps 2yo 56 120 47% -3.91 18 42 43% +4.33 3yo 113 214 53% +9.46 126 425 30% -98.53 4yo+ 68 137 50% +18.80 253 850 30% -141.10 TOTAL 237 471 50% +24.35 397 1317 30% -238.31 Winning favourites (current year) Non-handicaps Handicaps 2yo 0 0 0% +0.00 0 0 0% +0.00 3yo 11 16 69% +5.57 1 15 7% -12.38 4yo+ 3 11 27% -4.15 18 62 29% -9.32 TOTAL 14 27 52% +1.42 19 77 25% -21.69 Top 5 Trainers last 5 seasons +/- E Andrew Balding (15%) 55-251 22% +39.30 +7% 0 Tony Carroll (10%) 46-476 10% -129.19 +0% 4 Richard Hughes (14%) 37-221 17% -23.16 +3% 1 Roger Varian (20%) 36-144 25% -15.92 +5% 0 Archie Watson (16%) 36-228 16% -41.47 +0% 0 Top 5 Jockeys last 5 seasons +/- R David Probert (13%) 74-490 15% +113.51 +2% 0 Luke Morris (9%) 67-640 10% -91.09 +1% 4 Rossa Ryan (17%) 59-343 17% -2.19 +0% 4 Jack Mitchell (16%) 54-265 20% -0.90 +4% 0 Robert Havlin (15%) 53-326 16% -97.76 +1% 0 Top 5 Owners last 5 seasons +/- E Godolphin (26%) 37-111 33% +10.78 +7% 0 Robert Moss (11%) 13-101 13% +74.19 +2% 0 Shadwell Estate (22%) 12-42 29% -5.18 +7% 0 Canisbay Blood (9%) 12-91 13% -25.31 +4% 0 Power Geneva (13%) 11-58 19% +0.16 +6% 0 Upcoming fixtures: Tuesday 1 April 2025 Thursday 10 April 2025 Friday 18 April 2025
CONFIGURATION: Lingfield’s left-handed all-weather track is laid out inside the turf track and, measuring just less than a mile and a quarter round, is essentially sharp in nature. This, along with how the races often pan out ensures that stamina is rarely at a premium and strong-travelling types with a turn of foot are often favoured. Predominantly flat, there is a slight downhill turn in to the straight. At shorter trips, prominent racers tend to outperform those ridden more patiently, though there seems little advantage over further. Lingfield's surface is Polytrack.
JASON WEAVER: Lingfield’s 1m 2f all-weather start is a tough one, very draw-dependent. The same is true of the 5f and 6f starts. I always think it’s a track that lends itself to riding in the ‘third wave’. In races over 1m, for example, the first wave will go with maybe 5f left, round the initial turn, while the second wave will kick into the home straight. The third wave - the George Baker wave - usually attacks at the 1f pole and often comes out best. You don’t want to be way out of your ground, but patience can pay.
WINNING FAVOURITES: Show 634-1788 for close to 36%, so 3% above national average, though a level stake loss of -£213.96 to a £1 stake
- Winning favourites in non-handicaps score at 50%
- Winning favourites in handicaps score at 30%
- Best category are 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps 113-214 for 53% (+9.46)
- Worst category are 4yo+ winning favourites in handicaps 253-850 for 30% (-144.10)
- Differential between best and worst category is a huge 23%
- Top trainer at the course is Andrew Balding (15%) who scores at +7% above his national average and shows a level stake profit of +£39.30 to a £1 level stake
- Top jockey at the course is David Probert (13%) who scores +2% above his national average and shows a level stakes profit of +£113.51 to a £1 level stake
- Godolphin (26%) are the leading owners at the course scoring at 33% so +7% above their national average and a level stake profit of +£10.78 to a £1 level stake
TRAINERS: Tony Carroll (10%) has 4 runners tomorrow including CHARLIE MASON 2.02, THREE ON THURSDAY 2.32, UPEPO 3.38 & RECON MISSION 5.20
Richard Hughes (14%) has 1 runner for the meeting in CRACKAMOUR 4.13 and the 7/1 has attracted our interest from a placing perspective at least. Luke Morris rides for the trainer at 2-7 for 29% (+4.30) all time figures, an interesting jockey booking if the market agrees!
JOCKEYS: Luke Morris (9%) has 4 rides including GUNS AND FLOWERS 3.02, HAALAND 3.38, CRACKAMOUR 4.13 & HITCHED 4.48
Rossa Ryan (17%) also has 4 rides including FANTASMIC 2.32, DANCE TIME 3.38, BOWNDER 4.13 & MIDNIGHTATTHEOASIS 5.20
OWNERS: None of the top 5 owners at Lingfield have an interest today.
2.02: Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap(Class 5) 6f
- Winning favourites 30%
- CHARLIE MASON (T Carroll) beaten favourite last time out, consistent sort, Jack Doughty rides
- ONE MORE DREAM (J & S Quinn) long traveller 247-miles, responded well to blinkers last time out, weighted to win 79 > 67, Brandon Wilkie rides
- TYGER BAY (C Allen) C&D winner, is in better heart than recent form figures suggest and is now weighted to win 72 > 68, Joe Leavy rides
2.32: Get Raceday Ready Restricked Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Class 5) 1m
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Winning favourites 50% - MANDANA (Newland & Insole) forget last run, sets the standard on earlier form, first time hood. Hollie Doyle rides and 34% on favourites (currently 0-21 since riding her 1000th UK winner)
- FANTASMIC (J Jones) beaten about 7l over C&D a month ago, but the winner was a useful long odds-on chance. Rossa Ryan rides
- LADY AIYANA (D & C Kubler) Time Test filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 2yo 1m winner Carntop and 2yo 1m winner Sound Bar, market check advised. Jim Crowley rides (currently 0-23)
3.02: Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Fillies' Handicap (Class 5) 1m
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- Winning favourites 30%
- HELP ME RHONDA (J Fanshawe) scored at Kempton last autumn and remains fairly treated. Danny Muscutt rides
- DISCLOSURE (J Owen) formerly with G Boughey, respectable 5 of 8 in Wolverhampton handicap 63 days ago on her final run, Mason Paetal (7) rides
3.38: Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap (Class 5) 1m5f
- Winning favourites 30%
- WANNABE BRAVE (J Fanshawe) scored 4 times last year, only narrowly failed to make winning start to 2025 at Wolverhampton 8 days ago. Entitled to build on that (first run for 6 months) and holds strong claims. Danny Muscutt rides
- HAALAND (J & S Best) beaten favourite last time out, course winner and cheek pieces back on, Luke Morris rides
4.13: Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Class 5) 1m2f
- Winning favourites 30%
- WAR HAWK (S & E Crisford) promising sort, good 4 of 8 in Wolverhampton handicap 18 days ago when nearest finish, form boosted when winner scored again so appealing now moving up in trip off a 1lb lower mark. Harry Davies rides.
- CRACKAMOUR (R Hughes) drops from Class 3 to Class 5, stable won this race last year. Can be expected to leave form behind now upped in trip and on handicap route. Market watch, Luke Morris rides
4.48: Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap (Class 4) 1m
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- Winning favourites 30%
- PORT ROAD (S Dow) beaten favourite last time out, Paddy Bradley rides
- THE BITTER MOOSE (P Chamings) course winner, beaten favourite last time out, formerly with H Palmer. Hollie Doyle rides
- URBAN SPRAWL (C Johnston) beaten favourite last time out, 5 turf wins but 0 AW wins but has threatened, including last time, Callum Shepherd rides
5.20: Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap (Class 6) 5f
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- Winning favourites 30%
- MIDNIGHTATTHEOASIS (P McEntee) C&D winner in the last 7 days, seeking 4-timer, Rossa Ryan rides and 37% on favourites
- HARB (P Crate) C&D winner, latest win here in November. Respectable 2 of 7 in C&D 27 days ago, likely to run close if trying. Shane Kelly rides though a jockey not to be trusted, has history (Richard Hughes Flawed Operation! | The Racing Horse)
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