The Racing Horse offers our Racecourse Template for Chepstow for Wednesday 20 November 2019. We reveal those important/pertinent figures that matter and help the reader to find the winners, failing that sort the contenders from the pretenders. It provides a betting landscape and a must-have tool for those betting at Chepstow, a course we know better than most!

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE a GREAT DAY OUT!

RACECOURSE TEMPLATES and their VALUE!

There are six races tomorrow, two handicap hurdles, two handicap chases, one maiden hurdle and one novices' hurdle. It is important to understand the different disciplines as they produce such different figures. We look at the performance of both handicap and non-handicap National Hunt races at the course and note non-handicap hurdle favourites produce a 47% winning strike rate. Favourites in non-handicap chases produce the worst results. The going is expected to be soft.

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE

FAVOURITES
NON-HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS)       HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS)
Hurdle:   55-116 for 47%  (-0.38)   37-114 for 32% (-1.64)
Chase:     8-29  for 28% (-12.13)   41-134 for 31% (+0.94)
NHF:      15-44  for 34% (-10.05)    0-0   for  - 
Total:    78-189 for 41% (-22.56)   78-248 for 31% (-0.70)

TOP TRAINERS at Chepstow for last season
Paul Nicholls: 11 wins from 40 for 28%  (+1.35)
Philip Hobbs:  10 wins from 48 for 21% (+13.50)
Colin Tizzard:  6 wins from 43 for 14%  (-0.12)
Evan Williams:  6 wins from 45 for 13% (+42.87)
David Pipe:     4 wins from 22 for 18%  (-3.50)

TOP TRAINER at Chepstow for last 5 seasons
Paul Nicholls: 37 wins from 168 for 22%
Philip Hobbs:  37 wins from 174 for 21%
Evan Williams: 34 wins from 222 for 15%
Colin Tizzard: 21 wins from 210 for 10%
David Pipe:    21 wins from 122 for 17%

TOP JOCKEYS at Chepstow for last season
Richard Johnson: 10 wins from 46 for 22% (+14.00)
Harry Cobden:     9 wins from 41 for 22%  (+8.44)
Adam Wedge:       5 wins from 42 for 12% (+42.00)
Jonjo O'Neill:    4 wins from 15 for 27%  (+1.06)
S Twiston-Davies: 3 wins from 17 for 18%  (-1.58)

TOP JOCKEY at Chepstow for last 5 seasons
Richard Johnson:    45 wins from 196 for 23%
Sean Bowen:         30 wins from 131 for 23%
Tom Scudamore:      26 wins from 150 for 17%
Sam Twiston-Davies: 25 wins from 138 for 18%
Adam Wedge:         18 wins from 147 for 12%

Paul Nicholls was the top trainer last season and top jockey was Richard Johnson but this pair have been the top two for the last five seasons. Furthermore, the top 5 trainers at the course last year have been the top 5 over the past five seasons and this looks a logical starting point to those thought processes.

Paul Nicholls is currently 0-19 and that includes 5 losing favourites at prices 10/11, 5/6, 15/8, 5/2 and 5/2 and tomorrow he runs just 2 horses including Cap Du Mathan 2.20 and BLACKJACK KENTUCKY 3.20. Notice he has a stack entered for Wincanton on Thursday. Can we take this opportunity in wishing fellow owners of OWNERS GROUP a great day out, we hope for a great result but will settle for him coming home safe. Our thanks to Sandra Parry for her lovely photograph! Richard Johnson goes to Warwick instead of Chepstow so he must have been promised a winner there.

We now look at each of the six races at the meeting and offer more pertinence:

1.15
£27.87: David Rees profit to £1 with one runner on card (chases) (BENI LIGHT)
£100.62: Venetia Williams profit to £1 with chasers running after break (ECEPARTI)
26%: Robert Walford strike rate with chasers up to 2m3f (THE BROTHERS)

1.45
21%: Philip Hobbs strike rate here since start of 2014/15 season (GOLDEN SOVEREIGN)
20%: Philip Hobbs strike rate in early season (GOLDEN SOVEREIGN)

2.20
3/9: Evan Williams number of winners in past 9 runnings. (RING THE MOON)
£55.00: Gail Haywood profit to £1 when one runner on card (hurdles) (ZULU)
£66.74: Emma Lavelle profit to £1 when one runner on card (hurdles) (SHANG TANG)

2.50
£46.69: Michael Scudamore' profit to £1 with one runner on card (chases) (MONBEG AQUADUDE)
23%: Michael Scudamore strike rate in early season (MONBEG AQUADUDE)

3.20
£16.95: Kim Bailey profit to £1 when one runner on card (hurdles) (DONNIE BRASCO)
23%: Paul Nicholls strike rate here since start of 2014/15 season (BLACKJACK KENTUCKY)
24%: Paul Nicholls strike rate with hurdlers running 2m2f up to 2m6f (BLACKJACK KENTUCKY)

3.50
£51.01: Tom Lacey profit to £1 when one runner on card (hurdles) (FAIR KATE)
22%: Tom Lacey strike rate with hurdlers running 2m2f up to 2m6f (FAIR KATE)
22%: Tom Lacey strike rate in early season (FAIR KATE)

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