Chepstow Racecourse Template (Sunday 20 March 2022)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our Chepstow Racecourse Template for Sunday20 March 2022. There is a 7-race card and the going is expected to be soft, good to soft in places.

FAVOURITES (5 years)
NON-HANDICAP                     HANDICAP
Hurdle 68-128 for 53% (+11.36)   40-117 for 34%  (+3.35)
Chase   9-27  for 33% (-10.18)   49-147 for 33% (+11.59)
NHF    15-43  for 35% (-10.24)    0-0
Total  92-198 for 46%  (-9.06)   89-264 for 34% (+14.94)

TOP TRAINERS at Chepstow for 2020/2021          +/-   E
P Nicholls (23%): 18-52 for 35% (+23.87)       +12%   1    
E Williams (11%):  7-60 for 12% (-27.50)        +1%   3   
V Williams (16%):  6-24 for 25%  (-4.50)        +9%   2    
N Henderson (24%): 4-14 for 29%  (-0.12)        +5%   1     
D Pipe (12%):      4-17 for 24%  (+8.25)       +12%   0   

TOP TRAINERS at Chepstow for last 5 seasons     +/-   E
P Nicholls (23%) 48-188 for 26% (-16.82)        +3%   1  
E Williams (11%) 29-238 for 12% (+20.95)        +1%   3
C Tizzard (13%)  24-188 for 13% (-74.21)        +0%   2
P Hobbs (15%)    21-135 for 16%  (+2.66)        +1%   0
D Pipe (12%)     17-98  for 17%  (+7.73)        +5%   0     

TOP JOCKEYS at Chepstow for 2020/2021           +/-   R
H Cobden (21%):   12-36 for 27%  (-2.41)        +6%   0       
T Scudamore (13%): 7-24 for 29% (+10.12)       +16%   0     
J Bowen (14%):     7-31 for 23%  (+0.45)        +9%   1   
B Carver (14%):    4-21 for 19%  (-7.67)        +5%   1    
L Pinchin (11%):   3-7  for 43%  (+5.52)       +32%   1  

TOP JOCKEYS at Chepstow for last 5 seasons      +/-   R
H Cobden (21%)    32-142 for 23% (-33.85)       +2%   0
T Scudamore (13%) 21-124 for 17%  (-6.39)       +4%   0
A Wedge (12%)     21-166 for 13% (+44.08)       +1%   2
S T-Davies (16%)  12-89  for 13% (-36.81)       -2%   0
G Sheehan (17%)   11-60  for 18%  (-9.08)       +1%   2 

TOP OWNERS for last 5 seasons                   +/-   E     
Mr W Rucker (14%)   13-60 for 22% (+57.08)      +8%   0 
J P McManus (17%)    8-62 for 13%  (-8.20)      -4%   0      
K & A Brooks (22%)   7-21 for 33%  (+5.47)     +11%   0
G Thompson (9%)      5-17 for 29% (+16.12)     +19%   0      
Stewart Family (26%) 4-9  for 44%  (+6.55)     +18%   0        

HOT TRAINERS 18/02/2022 to 20/03/2022           +/-   E
H Fry (19%)    9-28 for 32% (+0.50)            +13%   1
T Lacey (18%)  9-33 for 27% (-6.00)             +9%   2
C Gordon (15%) 9-35 for 26% (+4.00)            +11%   2
 
HOT JOCKEYS 18/02/2022 to 20/03/2022            +/-   R
C Brace (12%)     8-18 for 44%  (+2.00)        +32%   1
T Buckley (12%)   5-16 for 31% (+20.98)        +19%   1
S Sheppard (12%) 11-36 for 31%  (-5.00)        +19%   1
B Jones (13%)     7-28 for 25% (+11.50)        +12%   1
T Cannon (13%)   13-55 for 24%  (+5.25)        +11%   1

FIXTURES 
Sunday 20 March 2022
Thursday 24 March 2022
Saturday 2 April 2022
Monday 18 April 2022

(%): National Average SAW: Since a win E: Entries R: Rides

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Chepstow show 181-462 for 39.18% and a profit to level stakes of +5.88. There are not many racecourses where a level stake profit can be made backing unnamed favourites blind over 5 years. Best category are winning non-handicap favourites over hurdles, they score 68-128 for 53% (+11.36). Winning favourites in handicaps show 89-264 for 34% (+14.95) so a profit without filtration and a strike rate above the national average. 

TRAINERS: In form Venetia Williams makes the short trip to Chepstow tomorrow (27m) and brings 2 horses, but Evan Williams (39m) runs 3, there is likely to be a winner from this pairing. Fresh from his Cheltenham wipe-out the top trainer at the track is Paul Nicholls and he has just the one runner tomorrow in KNOWLSLEY ROAD 5.15. Nicky Henderson also has just the one runner in EMIR SACREE 3.15 (to be ridden by James Bowen - only ride) so both of these runners are worth a look!

JOCKEYS: Adam Wedge and Gavin Sheehan both have 2 rides and a winner beckons.

OWNERS: None of the top owners have a runner at the meeting tomorrow.

2.00
SUPER SURVIVOR (J Snowden) bought for £115,000 after finishing runner-up sole start in Irish points in May. Gavin Sheehan rides 45% on hurdling favourites

2.30
MR KATANGA (R Curtis) trainer shows profit of £36.82 when one runner at a meeting, Ben Jones rides

3.05
SCIPION (T Lacey) drops from Grade 2 to Class 4, trainer is 24% with staying hurdlers, Stan Sheppard rides. This entry is all about price, we would be interested with 4/9 or 2/5 so close to PACAFI status. Very hard to beat!

3.35
THE EDGAR WALLACE (K Bailey) trainer 22% with chasers up to 2m3f, David Bass rides
EMIR SACREE (N Henderson) trainer 37% with chasers up to 2m3f and shows profit of £13.20 when one runner at a meeting. James Bowen's only ride

4.10
WHITEHOTCHILLIFILI (H Fry) trainer shows 20% with hurdlers 2mf to 2m6f, Sean Bowen rides

4.45
HARTLAND QUAY (N Hawke) beaten favourite last time out, first time cheek pieces
JUDEX LEFOU (T Vaughan) beaten favourite last time out
HANG TOUGH (J O'Neill) weighted to win 86 > 81, J O'Neill Jnr rides

5.15
KNOWSLEY ROAD (P Nicholls) beaten favourite last time out, only runner for trainer, trainer 26% in spring, 27% in bumpers 2m to 2m1f and 26% at Chepstow since 2016/17 season. 
Lorcan Williams rides. Close to PACAFI status at prices close to 5/4 but for the form of the trainer.

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE - MICK FITZGERALD

Record times for Chepstow are very quick, which shows how slick it can be when the ground is fast, but horses can finish strung out like washing when it gets soft. Punters really must take note of conditions then, if they’re having a bet, because horses with stamina limitations can get home when the going is right for them, while it can be a real slog when it’s heavy. The other things to consider seriously are the undulations and the downhill run from the last. If you walk round the course, for example, you’ll be aware that, from several places out in the country, you can’t see the stands. The run-in, on the other hand, is quite steeply downhill, very quick on fast ground, and that’s why you often see horses make a mistake at the final jump.

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose

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