Wolverhampton Racecourse Template (Tuesday 29 March 2022)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

 The Racing Horse offers our Wolverhampton Racecourse Template for Tuesday 29 March 2022There is a 6-race card including 5 handicaps and 1 maiden. The Tapeta going is standard.

Wolverhampton FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                      Handicap
2yo	108-245 for 44% (-22.31)  46-110   for 42%  (+41.00)
3yo	148-331	for 45% (-41.22)  214-646  for 33%  (-45.90)
4yo+	 93-191	for 49% (+14.79)  347-1136 for 31% (-108.58)
Total	349-767	for 46% (-48.74)  607-1892 for 32% (-113.47)
 
TOP 5 TRAINERS at course for 2021                +/-   E  
K R Burke (12%)  16-94    17% (+10.94)           +5%   1 
M Johnston (15%) 16-122   13% (-17.97)           -2%   1 
D Evans (10%)    16-131   12%  (-5.16)           +2%   1     
R Hannon (12%)   15-96    16%  (+7.41)           +4%   2   
C Cox (14%)      13-46    28% (+18.04)          +14%   0     

TOP 5 TRAINERS at course (past 5 years)          +/-   E 
D Evans (10%)     64-575   11%  (-80.00)         +1%   1
T Carroll (10%)   61-563   11%  (-22.10)         +1%   1
D Loughnane (11%) 60-478   13%   (+2.30)         +2%   4
M Appleby (11%)   56-548   10% (-142.15)         -1%   3
M Johnston (15%)  52-416   13% (-107.90)         -2%   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at course for 2021                 +/-   R
R Kingscote (14%) 29-179   16% (-51.47)          +2%   2   
L Morris (9%)     26-221   12% (-52.72)          +2%   1 
R Ryan (14%)      25-133   19% (+19.97)          +6%   4  
D Probert (12%)   19-167   11% (-16.07)          -1%   3
H Doyle (14%)     18-147   12% (-51.91)          -2%   3

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at course (past 5 years)           +/-   R
L Morris (9%)    100-964   10% (-299.38)         +1%   1
R Kingscote (14%) 92-627   15% (-171.63)         +1%   2
D Probert (12%)   90-745   12%   (-9.46)         +0%   3
H Doyle (14%)     84-564   15%  (-49.48)         +1%   3
J Mitchell (16%)  79-389   20%  (-28.31)         +4%   0
 
TOP 5 OWNERS at course (past 5 years)            +/-   E 
Godolphin (24%)        62-211   29%  (-23.66)    +5%   1
Saeed Manana (17%)     31-148   21%   (-9.41)    +4%   0
Antony Brittain (8%)   23-298    8% (-104.66)    +0%   0
Power Geneva (14%)     22-114   19%   (-6.94)    +5%   0
Ahmed Al Maktoum (24%) 19-63    30%   (-7.89)    +6%   0

Hot Trainers 26/02/2022 to 27/03/2022            +/-   E
J Butler (9%)     8-26	  31%	(-1.00)         +22%   1
J O'Keeffe (11%)  4-17	  24%	(-2.75)         +13%   1
A Balding (16%)   9-39	  23%	(-2.75)          +7%   1
D Loughnane (11%) 5-23	  22%	(+8.80)         +11%   4
M Appleby (11%)  11-61	  18%	(+4.50)          +7%   3
A King (15%)     14-81	  17%	(+9.00)          +2%   1

Trainer Cold List  SAW   E
A Carroll (10%)	    29   1
M Loughnane (00)    25   3
R Harris (10%)	    24   1
P McEntee (10%)	    19   1

Hot Jockeys 26/02/2022 to 27/03/2022             +/-   R
R Ryan (14%)     9-28	 32%	(+5.12)         +18%   4 
D Probert (12%) 16-71	 23%	(-3.75)         +11%   3         

Jockeys Cold List  SAW   R
J Mason (11%)	    38   2
J Gordon (8%)	    32   1
A Mullen (7%)	    28   1
L Steward (11%)	    26   1
K Shoemark (11%)    19   1

FIXTURES 
Tuesday 29 March 2022
Saturday 2 April 2022
Saturday 9 April 2022
Tuesday 12 April 2022
Monday 18 April 2022

(%): NATIONAL AVERAGE SAW: Since a win E: Entries R: Rides

WINNING FAVOURITES: Given the amount of poor quality of racing at Wolverhampton, we are continually surprised as to the high strike rates of winning favourites, especially in non-handicap races!

The last 5-year figures show 956-2659 for 35.95% for a level stake loss of -162.61 so about 3% above the national average. Best category for strike rate and profit are 4yo+ in non-handicaps showing 93-191 for 49% (+14.79). Winning non-handicap favourites across the board score 349-767 for 46%. Worst category are 4yo+ in handicaps with 347-1136 for 31% (-108.58).

TRAINERS: Partly based on volume, the fact David Evans (10%), T Carroll (10%), D Loughnane (11%) and Michael Appleby (11%) are the top 4 trainers at the track highlights the the class of horse that runs and wins here. For context purposes only, we note David Evans has ran 575 horses at this track over the past 5 years for his 64 winners, over the same period William Haggas shows 44-152 foe 29%.

On a personal note we could not back a David Evans runner at any price, whether it contained perceived value or not. He is neither conducive to profit nor our style of betting.

JOCKEYS: Interesting Neil Callan rides two for Marco Botti, he rode a winner for the trainer yesterday.

The top three jockeys for this year are David Probert 11-48 got 23% (+10.87), Jack Mitchell 10-25 for 40% (+10.87) and Rossa Ryan 10-31 for 32% (+14.54) though Mitchell is not riding at Wolverhampton this time. Probert has 3 rides and Ryan has 4 and there must be a winner from this pairing!

OWNERS: Godolphin (29%) at the track, have an interesting runner tomorrow in STORMY OCEAN 8.00 (Class 3 handicap worth £6,281) with the brilliant William Buick due to ride - this entry demands a long hard look! The question we would like answered is "why is William Buick going to Wolverhampton at 8pm to ride just one horse in an average race after his rigours of Meydan." William Hill currently offer 13/8 to small money (09.43 Monday). By the way, two things, Stormy Ocean is also entered at Chelmsford on Thursday (£51,540 race), and Buick is 0-8 over the past 15 days.

6.00
INTERVENTION (M Appleby) C&D winner, beaten favourite last time out
CHOOKIE DUNEDIN (K Dalgleish) weighted to win 80 > 70, won at Southwell last week up just 1lb, R Sexton rides
ONE HART (G Tuer) weighted to win 79 > 66

6.30
MUMCAT (S P C Woods) beaten favourite last time out
LIBRA TIGER (D Menuisier) fourth in two Class 4s, Class 5 today in weaker race, Jamie Spencer rides and 35% on favourites

7.00
NAJEEBA (H & R Charlton) improver who looks well in if ready to, Hollie Doyle rides
EAGLE ONE (R Harris) C&D winner, beaten favourite last time out

7.30
HARBOUR VISION (S Dixon) beaten favourite last time out, weighted to win 73 > 67
NEW FORCE (M Loughnane) formerly with H Palmer, Louis Steward rides
IT'S A LOVE THING (J Butler) weighted to win 70 > 64

8.00
STORMY OCEAN (C Appleby) trainer 29% in early season, 29% in races 7f to 10f and 24% with handicap debutants, William Buick rides
ODISSEO (M Botti) beaten favourite last time out, Neil Callan rides

8.30
AGUAPLANO (M Botti) beaten favourite last time out, Neil Callan rides
HOMERIC (J & T Gosden) beaten favourite last time out, Rob Havlin rides
KILLEARN (C Hill) beaten favourite last time out, trainer shows profit of £23.18 when one runner at a meeting, Richard Kingscote rides

WOLVERHAMPTON RACECOURSE - JASON WEAVER 

Wolverhampton’s 5f, 7f and extended 1m starts can be tricky from a jockey’s point of view, because they’re very much draw-dependent. It’s a big advantage being among the low, left-hand numbers. The 1m 4f start can also be a slight problem, but at least from there you’ve got a longer trip to get sorted out. Nobody went round the inside in the early days and, while I’m not sure it’s a disadvantage to be there now, most jocks still shy away from that rail. It’s a tight course, but well laid-out and very fair.

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose

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