The Racing Horse offers our Newmarket Racecourse Template for Thursday 7 July 2022. There is a 7-race card containing 2 Handicaps, a Maiden, a Listed, a Group 3 & 2 Group 2s. The going is expected to be good to firm, good in places. 

NEWMARKET (JULY) FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo   49-112  44%   +0.40       6-18     33%    -4.99
3yo   23-54   43%   -9.61       71-220   32%   -35.43
4yo+   7-24   29%   -6.43       35-120   29%   -15.43
Total 79-190  42%  -15.65       112-358  31%   -55.86

TOP 5 TRAINERS NEWMARKET (July) 2021          +/-   E
C Appleby (28%)   16-43  37%  (+3.26)         +9%   7   
R Hannon (12%)     9-63  14% (+16.40)         +2%   8
W Haggas (23%)     7-30  23%  (+3.17)         +0%   3  
A Balding (15%)    6-29  21% (+14.82)         +6%   2 
J & T Gosden (21%) 6-52  12% (-29.63)         -9%   2

TOP 5 TRAINERS NEWMARKET (July) 5 years       +/-   E
C Appleby (28%)      45-160  28%   -9.07      +0%   7
R Hannon (12%)       35-262  13%  -39.42      +1%   8
J & T Gosden (21%)   31-132  23%   +0.98      +2%   2
C & M Johnston (15%) 28-166  17%   -9.96      +2%   2
S bin Suroor (21%)   20-66   30%  +25.35      +9%   1
  
TOP 5 JOCKEYS NEWMARKET (July) 2021           +/-   R
J Doyle (20%)   17-74   23%    -4.21          +3%   5   
W Buick (21%)   10-42   24%   -15.30          +3%   7
M Ghiani (15%)   9-24   38%   +11.49         +23%   0   
T Marquand (14%) 7-35   20%   +12.59          +6%   4
O Murphy (19%)   7-36   19%   +10.85          +0%   0 

TOP JOCKEYS NEWMARKET (July) 5 years          +/-   R
J Doyle (20%)	41-204	20%   -46.69          +0%   5
W Buick (21%)	37-152	24%   -28.57          +3%   7
A Atzeni (16%)	23-118	19%    -0.89          +3%   3
O Murphy (19%)	23-123	19%   +25.12          +0%   0
R Havlin (16%)	21-99	21%   -19.18          +5%   0

TOP 5 OWNERS NEWMARKET (July) 5 years         +/-   E
Godolphin (24%)     66-245  27%   -2.86       +3%   7
H Al Maktoum (21%)  20-97   21%   -1.00       +0%   0
Cheveley Park (17%) 13-51   25%   +2.62       +8%   0
Moh Al Maktoum (15%) 9-39   23%  +19.37       +0%   0
Al Shaqab (15%)      8-25   32%  +10.50      +17%   0

HOT TRAINERS 00/00/2022 to 00/00/2022         +/-   E
R Spencer (10%)     4-12   33%    -5.09      +23%   2
S bin Suroor (21%) 13-44   30%   +21.37       +9%   1
J & T Gosden (21%) 21-74   28%    -0.76       +7%   2
C Appleby (28%)    18-66   27%   +16.76       -1%   7
R Varian (20%)     21-85   25%    -8.54       +5%   1

TRAINER COLD LIST  SAW   E
J Ferguson (16%)    48   1
D Loughnane (11%)   32   2
D M Simcock (13%)   28   1

HOT JOCKEYS 00/00/2022 to 00/00/2022          +/-   R
A Atzeni (16%) 16-45    36%    +3.31         +20%   3
W Buick (21%)  32-134   24%   -13.42          +3%   7
R Moore (18%)  14-68    21%   +28.73          +3%   7

JOCKEY COLD LIST  SAW   R
H Turner (10%)     23   1

Fixtures:
Thursday 7 July 2022
Friday 8 July 2022
Saturday 9 July 2022

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Newmarket (July) show 191-548 for 34.84% (-71.51) so above the national average. Best strike rate category are 2yo winning favourites in non-handicaps showing 49-112 for 44% and a level stake profit of +0.40. Worst category are 4yo+ in handicaps with 35-120 for 29% (-15.43).

TRAINERS: Charlie Appleby is unique when it comes to the Newmarket Racecourses. He has a national average of 28% and somehow manages to match that huge figure at the headquarters of racing!

Rowley: 70-247 for 28% (+6.28)
July:   45-160 for 28% (-9.07)
Total: 115-407 for 28% (-2.79)

His figures above show it is possible to back his horses blind at these two courses and break even. With just a modicum of filtration a profit is enabled. Worth reminding ourselves these figures are net after multiple entries, irrespective of jockey bookings and draw bias. Appleby knows what horses are suited to this course better than any other and yes, this includes the great John Gosden! Appleby has 7 entries including WALK OF STARS 1.50. MYSTERIOUS NIGHT 2.25, GLOBAL STORM & YIBIR 3.35, ALBAHR 4.10, NOBLE DYNASTY 4.40 & ECHO POINT 4.40

JOHN GOSDEN: Mathematics, context and relevance is everything in racing and we only show the figures of Team Gosden to show the dominance/skill/brilliance of Appleby.

Rowley: 52-281 for 19% (-46.83)
July:   41-192 for 21% (-17.41)
Total:  93-473 for 19% (-64.24)

There are no other trainers in the UK who can compare to Charlie Appleby and John Gosden, so when horses are entered for a Newmarket Race our first task is to check out their runners a couple of days before racing. Gosden has 2 runners tomorrow in MOSTAHDAF 3.35 & MIGHTY ULYSSES 4.10.

OTHER TRAINERS: Though our top 2 trainers look likely to dominate proceedings on Thursday, we note Aidan O'Brien (12%) makes the trip from Ireland (278 miles) with 2 runners. William Haggas (23%) has 3 entries. The four mentioned look almost certain to win most of the 7 races.

COLD LIST TRAINERS: There are three good trainers with bigger losing runs, they are James Ferguson (16%) who is 0-48 over 69 days, David Loughnane (11%) is 0-32 over 25 days and David Simcock (13%) is 0-28 over 32 days. Losing entries from these three trainers total 108 and a high figure, they have 4 runners between them tomorrow.

JOCKEYS: Ryan Moore (18%) and William Buick (21%) have a full set of 7 rides whilst James Doyle (20%) has 5 and Tom Marquand (14%) has 4 rides. A number of winners from this quartet beckons!

JOCKEY COLD LIST: Hayley Turner makes our jockey cold list, she is currently 0-23 and has 1 ride.

OWNERS: Godolphin reign supreme at Newmarket! They have a national average of 24% yet score 27% at the course, and this strike rate includes multiple runners in the same race, and those from different trainers. The suggestion is if we are not backing a fancied Godolphin runner we are not backing against them!

BY THE WAY: Frankie Dettori rides for J & T Gosden tomorrow and what a good ride it is on MIGHTY ULYSSES 4.10. This ride will get 100% concentration you can be sure of that! He also has a ride for Ralph Beckett but not expected to trouble the judge.

BY THE WAY 2: Jamie Spencer (14%) is on a losing run of 28 over 27 days and this run must end sooner rather than later. He has just one ride at Doncaster tomorrow on FRESH HOPE for Charlie Fellowes at around 13/8. Spencer is 19-108 for 18% (+9.03) at the course over the past 5 years. We are following the jockey from here...