How best to ride Lingfield AW
October 12th, 2025
DAVID PROBERT on LINGFIELD
It's probably the most idiosyncratic of the AW tracks because of the hill[...]
KEMPTON RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Friday 16 September 2022)
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The Racing Horse offers our powerful and insightful Kempton AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Friday 16 September 2022. There is an 8-race card containing 5 Handicaps and 3 Novice Races. The going is expected to be standard to slow.
Winning Favourites (5 Years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo 125-298 42% -30.78 40-128 31% -9.67 3yo 129-269 48% -13.32 161-525 31% -64.16 4yo+ 45-116 39% -21.13 258-812 32% -55.21 TOTAL 299-683 44% -65.22 459-1465 31% -129.04 TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for 2021 +/- E R Varian (20%) 17-54 31% +15.08 +11% 4 A Balding (16%) 17-97 18% +58.35 +2% 1 J & T Gosden (21%) 14-69 20% -23.78 -1% 2 C Appleby (29%) 12-45 27% -11.33 -2% 1 W Haggas (23%) 11-45 24% -0.88 +1% 1 TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- E J & T Gosden (21%) 78-330 24% -68.14 +3% 2 R Varian (20%) 65-275 24% -8.36 +4% 4 A Balding (15%) 62-404 15% +47.24 +0% 1 R Hannon (11%) 58-570 10% -179.65 -1% 2 C Appleby (29%) 52-146 36% -22.03 +7% 1 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for 2021 +/- R H Doyle (14%) 31-211 15% -57.14 +1% 0 D Probert (12%) 24-192 13% -4.56 +1% 0 O Murphy (19%) 23-91 25% +1.43 +6% 0 R Kingscote (14%) 22-163 13% -69.00 -1% 8 J Mitchell (16%) 18-109 17% +21.45 +0% 8 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- R O Murphy (19%) 96-513 19% -80.41 +0% 0 D Probert (12%) 85-814 10% -114.74 -2% 0 H Doyle (14%) 80-599 13% -129.85 -1% 0 T Marquand (14%) 76-656 12% -113.25 -2% 0 A Kirby (15%) 69-538 13% -178.23 -2% 0 TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years +/- E Godolphin (24%) 90-322 28% -62.48 +4% 1 Hamdan Al Maktoum (21%) 44-176 25% +47.66 +4% 0 King Power (14%) 25-137 18% -23.43 +5% 1 K Abdullah (25%) 21-89 24% -3.97 -1% 0 Ahmed Al Maktoum (25%) 16-67 24% -8.68 -1% 0 FIXTURES Friday 16 September 2022 Wednesday 21 September 2022 Wednesday 28 September 2022 Wednesday 5 October 2022 Wednesday 12 October 2022 (%): NATIONAL AVERAGE SAW: Since a winner E: Entries R: Rides
FAVOURITES: The beauty of the Kempton Racecourse Template is the sample size. It is our biggest aggregation and one we can trust (relatively speaking). Winning favourites at Kempton over the past 5 years show 758-2148 for 35.29% (-194.26) so nicely above the national average. Favourites in non-handicaps win at 44% whilst just 31% in handicaps. The best category for winning favourites at this course is 3yos in non-handicaps showing 129-269 for 48% (-13.32).
TRAINERS: Charlie Appleby (29%) is currently treading ground never walked onto before! In the UK we have John Gosden and grateful for his contribution, and now we have Appleby. We take a look at his Kempton AW figures bearing in mind he often has multiple runners in the same race thus diluting his strike rates:
Current Year: 12-31 for 39% (-8.80) Last 5 Years: 52-146 for 36% (-22.03) All Time: 122-406 for 30% (-16.90)
Tomorrow he has just the one runner in the unraced 3yo ALNILAM 4.40 to be ridden by Richard Kingscote.
J & T Gosden (21%) have 2 runners including MELFET 4.40 & COURAGE MON AMI 5.10.
JOCKEYS: Richard Kingscote (14%) and Jack Mitchell (16%) have 8 rides each and they must surely heavily impact proceedings tomorrow!
OWNERS: Godolphin (24%) have just the one runner in ALNILAM 4.40 whilst King Power (14%) have one also in BLACKBIRD POWER 6.15
4.40
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| JASON WEAVER on KEMPTON
The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics. |