The Racing Horse offers our Wolverhampton Racecourse Template for Tuesday 29 November 2022. There is a 9-race card containing 8 Handicaps and a Maiden. The Tapeta going is Standard.

Wolverhampton FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                   Handicap
2yo   121-283   43%   -34.02   48-130     37%   +26.75
3yo   165-366   45%   -36.57   247-747    33%   -62.46
4yo+   97-200   49%   +18.17   393-1264   31%  -107.28
Total 383-849   45%   -52.42   688-2141   32%  -142.99
 
TOP 5 TRAINERS at course for 2021              +/-   E  
K R Burke (13%)      16-94    17%   +10.94     +4%   0   
C & M Johnston (14%) 16-122   13%   -17.97     -2%   1
D Evans (10%)        16-131   12%    -5.16     +2%   1       
R Hannon (11%)       15-96    16%    +7.41     +5%   1     
C Cox (14%)          13-46    28%   +18.04    +14%   0

TOP 5 TRAINERS at course (past 5 years)        +/-   E
T Carroll (10%)      70-657   11%    -22.07    +1%   4
D Evans (10%)        68-618   11%   -105.88    +1%   1
M Appleby (11%)      67-612   11%    -82.31    +0%   3
D Loughnane (11%)    63-527   12%    -28.35    +1%   2
A Brittain (9%)      53-523   10%   -106.56    +1%   3    

W Haggas (23%)       48-174   28%    -29.25    +5%   1
R Varian (20%)       43-168   26%     -4.86    +6%   2

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at course for 2021               +/-   R
R Kingscote (14%) 29-179   16%   -51.47        +2%   0  
L Morris (9%)     26-221   12%   -52.72        +3%   5  
R Ryan (14%)      25-133   19%   +19.97        +5%   5   
H Doyle (14%)     18-147   12%   -51.91        -2%   0
D Probert (11%)   18-167   11%   -20.07        +0%   0

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at course (past 5 years)         +/-   R
L Morris (9%)    109-1082  10%   -360.39       +1%   5
R Kingscote (14%) 98-65    15%   -181.14       +1%   0
D Probert (11%)   97-788   12%    -12.62       +1%   0
H Doyle (14%)     96-634   15%    -68.18       +1%   0
J Mitchell (16%)  87-433   20%    -36.95       +4%   2
 
TOP 5 OWNERS at course (past 5 years)          +/-   E 
Godolphin (24%)        66-232   28%   -30.79   +4%   1
Saeed Manana (16%)     33-158   21%   -14.41   +5%   0
Power Geneva (15%)     25-132   19%    +0.05   +4%   0
Ahmed Al Maktoum (24%) 23-71    32%    -1.04   +8%   0
Antony Brittain (8%)   23-311    7%  -117.66   -1%   1

FIXTURES 
Tuesday 29 November 2022
Saturday 3 December 2022
Monday 5 December 2022
Saturday 10 December 2022

WINNING FAVOURITES: Given the amount of poor quality of racing at Wolverhampton, we are continually surprised as to the high strike rates of winning favourites, especially in non-handicap races! If we asked members who are the top 5 trainers at the course over the past 5 years could they nominate them? They are Tony Carroll, David Evans, Michael Appley, David Loughnane & Antony Brittain. These trainers reflect the quality of horses in their care and the standard of races they are running in especially in the handicaps.

We have some huge numbers from this course, and this road map he helps us in framing a race. The last 5-year figures show 1071-2990 for 35.82% and a level stake loss of -195.41 so a strike rate of around 3% above the national average. 

Best category for strike rate and profit are 4yo+ in non-handicaps showing 97-200 for 49% (+18.17). Winning non-handicap favourites across the board score 383-849 for 45%. Worst category is 4yo+ in handicaps with 393-1246 for 31% (-107.28).

TRAINERS: Charlie Appleby (29%) sends just one runner to Wolverhampton in KING OF CONQUEST 5.50. The inform Roger Varian (20%) has 2 runners including PACO'S PRIDE 4.50 & SILKY SMOOTH 5.20 whilst William Haggas (23%) sends MOHATU 5.20 to the course with a winning chance, and he records 28% at the course. Top trainer at the track Tony Carroll (10%) has 4 runners, cannot see an obvious winner.

Robert Cowell (10%) has left the doldrums and gone somewhere else much worse than that! We can only imagine where this multiple Group 1 winner is mentally at the moment, as he is now 72 runners without a winner over a period of 94 days! The year 2022 shows him 5-105 for less than 5% his worst figures since he got a licence in 1997. He has dire figures at Wolverhampton showing 14-188 for just 7% (-103.75) and has one runner in AUTUMN FLIGHT 3.50. Now, this one is currently available at 28/1 generally but the 6yo seven-time winner is beautifully drawn, down in the weights and now down in class. Could this be the one? If this one trades at 40 or 50/1 on the exchanges, we would have to get involved in some form! We note his last win was at Windsor in a Class 3 Handicap worth £25,770 was in late August last year and he could now be regressive, but these might be the best race conditions for him for some time, he is relatively unexposed on the AW scoring 2-8.

JOCKEYS: William Buick (22%) has 2 rides at the course tomorrow but obviously his main reason is for the Godolphin horse, but he also rides a Hugo Palmer (15%) newcomer in SELF ACCLAIM 4.50 and the market will tell us more (trainer 30-151 for 20%) at the course. Luke Morris (9%) has 5 rides at the course tomorrow and will be typically competitive, but it is the 5 rides of Rossa Ryan that catches the eye, and he looks more likely than not to score, his rides include KIM WEXLER 3.50, VICTORY MARCH 4.20, BACCARAT BABY 4.50, OVERACTIVE 5.20 & ALEXANDER JAMES 5.50. Stop at a winner? Ryan's national average is 14% but he rides better than that and especially at Wolverhampton where he shows 78-419 for 19% (+59.99)

OWNERS: Godolphin (24%) have just the one runner in KING OF CONQUEST 5.50

BY THE WAY: Just a quick recap on the form of Charlie Appleby and his ability. Since the 30 October he has recorded 15-38 for almost 40% (+6.63). With a national average of 29% he sits at the top of UK racing but on the AW, he is so hard to oppose, and we remind members of his last 5 years figures on the surfaces:

Chelmsford	23-83	28%	-32.43
Kempton	        59-166	36%	-24.77
Lingfield	23-71	32%	 -8.20
Newcastle	17-48	35%	 -0.11
Southwell	 5-11	45%	 +0.99
Wolverhampton	33-102	32%	-12.55

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