How best to ride Lingfield AW
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DAVID PROBERT on LINGFIELD
It's probably the most idiosyncratic of the AW tracks because of the hill[...]
KEMPTON RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Wednesday 22 February 2023)
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The Racing Horse offers our Kempton AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Wednesday 22 February 2023. There is a 7-race card containing 4 Handicaps, 1 Classified, 1 Novice and 1 Maiden Race. The Polytrack surface is expected to ride standard to slow.
Winning Favourites (5 Years)
Non-handicap Handicap
2yo 104-267 39% -50.88 37-114 32% -7.32
3yo 113-244 46% -26.57 129-453 28% -90.02
4yo+ 40-108 37% -21.31 230-705 33% -32.69
Total 257-619 42% -98.76 396-1274 31% -132.04
TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for 2022 +/- E
C Appleby (29%) 19-56 34% -16.53 +5% 0
R Varian (21%) 17-58 29% -0.37 +8% 0
C Johnston (15%) 15-94 16% -0.59 +1% 0
J Butler (10%) 15-101 15% +11.27 +5% 1
W Haggas (23%) 14-47 30% +7.99 +7% 0
TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- E
A Balding (15%) 61-386 16% +71.36 +1% 2
R Varian (21%) 58-250 23% -12.73 +2% 0
C Appleby (29%) 52-161 32% -28.01 +3% 0
R Hannon (11%) 47-454 10% -129.90 -1% 1
J & T Gosden (21%) 42-168 25% -34.68 +4% 1
HOT TRAINERS 23/01/2023 to 22/02/2023 +/- E
J & T Gosden (21%) 5-9 56% -0.72 +35% 1
J Fanshawe (14%) 3-8 38% +6.75 +24% 1
C Cox (14%) 5-16 31% +9.91 +17% 2
K P De Foy (16%) 6-24 25% +21.20 +9% 4
A Balding (15%) 7-29 24% -3.76 +9% 2
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for 2022 +/- R
D Muscutt (13%) 25-156 16% -51.31 +3% 4
R Kingscote (14%) 20-132 15% +16.26 +1% 0
D Probert (11%) 17-172 10% -56.30 -1% 3
J Doyle (19%) 16-50 32% -4.67 +13% 2
W Buick (23%) 15-58 26% -10.68 +3% 0
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- R
D Probert (11%) 81-769 11% -130.19 -1% 3
H Doyle (15%) 80-553 14% -81.28 -1% 0
O Murphy (20%) 69-355 19% -49.51 -1% 5
T Marquand (15%) 63-522 12% -102.03 -3% 0
J Doyle (19%) 61-276 22% +1.62 +3% 1
HOT JOCKEYS 23/01/2023 to 22/02/2023 +/- R
O Murphy (20%) 2-4 50% +1.88 +30% 5
J Doyle (19%) 11-24 46% +3.99 +27% 2
D Muscutt (13%) 16-84 19% +3.82 +6% 4
TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years +/- E
Godolphin (25%) 88-317 28% -55.36 +2% 0
Hamdan Maktoum (22%) 31-116 27% +67.81 +5% 0
King Power (14%) 23-130 18% -31.10 +4% 0
Shadwell Est (24%) 14-50 28% +10.49 +4% 0
Ahmed Maktoum (25%) 13-56 23% -11.71 -2% 0
FIXTURES
Wednesday 22 February 2023
Wednesday 1 March 2023
Wednesday 8 March 2023
Friday 10 March 2023
(%): NATIONAL AVERAGE SAW: Since a winner E: Entries R: Rides
FAVOURITES: At Kempton we must acknowledge then absorb the huge sample size which includes a 11% differential between winning non-handicap favourites and handicap favourites. Over the past 5 years winning favourites show 653-1893 for 34.50% and a big level stake loss of -230.80 to SP. Best strike rates are in 3yo favourites in non-handicaps scoring at 46%, whilst the worst is 3yo winning favourites in handicaps.
TRAINERS: Hot trainer Kevin De Foy (16%) has 4 top of the market runners (3 races) and likely to get on the scoresheet given his numbers. Another hot trainer are J & T Gosden, they are currently 4-6 for 67% with just one runner at Kempton, but their MR INSPIRATION 2.10 NEWCASTLE looks their 5-8
COLD TRAINERS: George Margarson (10%) is currently 31 runners without a winner, whilst Paul & Oliver Cole (13%) are 27, both have a single entry. The Cole team have an interesting entry in GOLDKIT 6.00, but hard to back the jockey (0-24 at Kempton) competing against Rossa Ryan & Oisin Murphy. Interesting race...
JOCKEYS: David Probert (11%) looks to have a banker ride in the first, but Danny Muscutt's (13%) catches the eye with 4 top of the market rides and a win double beckons! Stop at a winner?
OWNERS: None of the top owners at the track have a runner for Wednesday.
BY THE WAY: International jockey James Doyle (19%) is in great demand and needs periodic downtime, but he goes to Kempton for just one ride late at night for Harry & Roger Charlton (17%). Surprisingly, the combination shows 0-8 on the AW surfaces and just 1-10 on Turf. There's a story here but we are not privy to it!
PERTINENCE5.00
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| The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics - Jason Weaver |