The Racing Horse offers our Taunton National Hunt RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Monday 20 March 2023. There is a 7-race card and the going is expected to be soft, and good to soft in places.

Winning Favourites (5 Years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
Hurdle	60-107	 56%	+1.07	53-151	 35%	 +4.39
Chase	 8-12	 67%	+3.36	36-94	 38%	+16.18
NHF	 7-21	 33%	-5.00	
TOTAL	75-140	 54%	-0.57	89-245	 36%	+20.57

TOP 5 TRAINERS at TAUNTON for past 5 years     +/-   E
P Nicholls (24%)   57-186   31%	   -15.03      +7%   3
P Hobbs (15%)	   28-146   19%	   -23.36      +4%   3
N Hawke (9%)	   14-94    15%	   +13.37      +6%   4
N Mulholland (12%) 14-114   12%	    +8.81      +0%   2
J Tizzard (13%)    13-106   12%	   -19.41      -1%   2

HOT TRAINERS 18/02/2023 to 19/03/2023          +/-   E
A Honeyball (19%) 9-25	  36%	   -6.17      +17%   1
H Derham (24%)	  3-10	  30%	   +4.50       +6%   1
N Hawke (9%)	  5-18	  28%	  +34.70      +19%   4
P Nicholls (24%) 26-94	  28%	   -1.00       +4%   3
J Snowden (17%)	  6-23	  26%	   +2.25       +9%   1

COLD TRAINERS       SAW   E
Hobbs & White (15%)  19   3
J Tizzard (13%)      19   2

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at TAUNTON for past 5 years      +/-   R
H Cobden (23%)	45-145	 31%	 -0.22         +8%   2
A Coleman (18%)	12-40	 30%	 +3.95        +12%   2
R Dingle (15%)	12-69	 17%	-18.37         +2%   1
T O'Brien (11%)	10-78	 13%	-39.61         +2%   0
B Frost (16%)    8-64    13%    -31.62         -3%   0

HOT JOCKEYS 18/02/2023 to 19/03/2023           +/-   R
H Cobden (23%)	18-67	 27%	+2.62          +4%   2
G Sheehan (17%)	11-47	 23%	+0.25          +6%   5
A Coleman (18%)	 5-23	 22%	+3.50          +4%   2

COLD JOCKEYS    SAW   R
A Wedge (13%)    37   5
B Powell (10%)   20   2

TOP 5 OWNERS at TAUNTON past 5 years           +/-   E
J P McManus (17%)     5-40   13%     -1.00     -4%   2
J Perriss (20%)       4-5    80%     +7.80    +60%   1
M Geoghegan (39%)     4-7    57%     +5.00    +18%   0
Bradley Partner (12%) 4-13   31%   +213.37    +19%   0
Albatross Club (20%)  3-3   100%    +12.00    +80%   0

FIXTURES
Monday 20 March 2023
Thursday 30 March 2023
Thursday 13 March 2023

(%): NATIONAL AVERAGE SAW: Since a winner E: Entries R: Rides

FAVOURITES: Taunton is a very good track for winning favourites. Over the past 5 years they show 164-385 for a big 42.60% and a level stake profit of +20.00 to SP. Ironically, non-handicap favourites win at 54% but show a tiny loss of -0.57, whilst handicap favourites win at 36%, so 18% less, but show a handsome profit of +20.57 to level stakes. Filtering favourites in non-handicaps at this course is a clear way in and a profitable angle.

TRAINERS: Champion trainer Paul Nicholls dominates proceedings at this course and scores at 7% above his national average, he has 3 runners tomorrow including IOUPY COLLONGE 1.40, YOUNG BUCK 3.15 & CENTARA 4.45. The last two are to be ridden by Harry Cobden.

Philip Hobbs & Johnson White (15%) are 0-11 under the new arrangement, but Hobbs is now 0-19 overall. They have 3 runners tomorrow though we cannot see an obvious winner. One imagines they will want a winner sooner rather than later...

JOCKEYS: Hot jockeys Harry Cobden (31%) and Aidan Coleman (30%) have the top strike rates at the course and have 4 rides between them, whilst other hot jockey Gavin Sheehan has 5 rides. The suggestion is this trio will have multiple winners between them today!

There are 2 jockeys on the cold list and both should ride a winner sooner rather than later. Adam Wedge (13%) is 37 rides without a winner whilst Brendan Powell (10%) is 19. Wedge has 5 rides and could end his losing run tomorrow.

OWNERS: The top owners at the track do not tell us too much in a general sense, but we note J P McManus has a couple of runners which include SMART CASUAL 2.10 & FANCY YOUR CHANCES 2.45

Owner/Breeder J Perriss has a good combination with Kim Bailey scoring 78-417 for 19% (+0.92) over the past 5 years winning £642,809 in prize money. He scores 4-5 at Taunton for 80% and has I GOT STUNG 4.45 in the NHF Race, this 5yo gelding is out of a Listed bumper winner and has good credentials on paper and is worth a check in the betting market.

RED FLAG: Paul Nicholls is eyeing record prize-money after his festival resurgence. The yard reached £3m for the first time in four seasons. The trainer told us: "The great thing is that we cracked £3 million in prize-money, which is great going into the last six weeks of the season. Me and Charlie Davies have got the bit between our teeth seeing if we can beat our record of prize-money before the end of the season." Given those comments we can be assured the team his horses will be doing everything to win, and with a little filtration should be worth noting/following until the end of the season!

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