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KEMPTON AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Monday 17 April 2023)
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The Racing Horse offers our Kempton AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Monday 17 April 2023. There is a 7-race card containing 5 Handicaps and 2 Novices Races. The Polytrack surface is expected to ride standard to slow. |
Winning Favourites (5 Years)
Non-handicap Handicap
2yo 105-268 39% -49.78 37-114 32% -7.32
3yo 124-261 48% -21.16 133-463 29% -91.71
4yo+ 43-112 38% -17.70 240-737 33% -37.12
TOTAL 272-641 42% -88.64 410-1314 31% -136.15
TOP 6 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- E
J & T Gosden (22%) 74-315 23% -58.62 +1% 1
A Balding (15%) 69-409 17% +73.62 +2% 3
R Varian (21%) 59-256 23% -14.73 +2% 1
C Appleby (29%) 54-168 32% -25.26 +3% 1
R Hannon (11%) 49-462 11% -133.18 +0% 3
A Watson (16%) 44-255 17% -61.08 +1% 2
HOT TRAINERS 18/03/2023 to 16/04/2023 +/- E
S Curran (21%) 4-10 40% -1.00 +19% 1
G L Moore (11%) 23-73 32% -0.17 +21% 4
J & T Gosden (22%) 9-31 29% +0.08 +7% 1
C Hills (16%) 6-22 27% +2.62 +11% 1
J Tate (18%) 3-11 27% -2.00 +9% 1
W Haggas (23%) 5-20 25% +10.00 +2% 1
A Watson (16%) 11-50 22% -1.00 +6% 2
COLD TRAINER SAW R
P & O Cole (13%) 34 168 days 1
J Butler (10%) 36 29 days 5
M Stoute (20%) 35 182 days 1
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- R
D Probert (12%) 87-789 11% -127.88 -1% 0
H Doyle (15%) 83-561 15% -80.51 +0% 1
O Murphy (20%) 80-391 20% -45.34 +0% 7
J Doyle (19%) 63-287 22% -6.20 +3% 0
T Marquand (15%) 63-522 12% -102.03 -3% 5
HOT JOCKEYS 18/03/2023 to 16/04/2023 +/- R
B Loughnane (21%) 10-35 29% +7.00 +8% 2
T Queally (8%) 3-11 27% +6.75 +19% 3
O Murphy (20%) 18-88 21% -9.00 +1% 7
L Edmunds (9%) 4-22 18% +2.00 +9% 2
COLD JOCKEYS SAW R
Rhys Clutterbuck (11%) 21 44 days 1
TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years +/- E
Godolphin (25%) 90-325 28% -53.61 +3% 1
Hamdan Maktoum (22%) 31-116 27% +67.81 +5% 0
King Power (14%) 25-135 19% -28.60 +5% 0
Shadwell Est (24%) 14-50 28% +10.49 +4% 0
Ahmed Maktoum (25%) 13-57 23% -12.71 -2% 0
FIXTURES
Monday 17 April 2023
Wednesday 19 April 2023
Wednesday 3 May 2023
Wednesday 10 May 2023
(%): NATIONAL AVERAGE SAW: Since a winner E: Entries R: Rides
FAVOURITES: At Kempton it is essential to acknowledge then absorb the huge sample size which includes a 11% differential between winning non-handicap favourites and handicap favourites (42% v 31%). Over the past 5 years winning favourites show 682-1955 for 34.88% and a big level stake loss of -224.79 to SP. Best strike rates are 3yo favourites in non-handicaps scoring at 48%, whilst the worst is 3yo winning favourites in handicaps scoring at 29%.
TRAINERS: Our premier league trainers are at the track tomorrow and this will inevitably squeeze out our championship trainers. The 6 top trainers at Kempton have 11 runners between them and we can expect multiple winners!
JOCKEYS: Strange that Hollie Doyle (15%) has just one ride in ONIGHT 6.30 for Archie Watson and we can expect this one to go close. Husband Tom 'Sydney' Marquand (15%) is back and he has 5 rides, he might need a day or two to get back into the swing of Kempton, we could easily be wrong!
OWNERS: Of our top owners at the track only Godolphin (25%) have a runner in TAGABAWA 6.30.
RED FLAG: Oisin Murphy (20%) has a full book of 7 rides at the course on Monday. They include: WALLOP 5.30, GYPSY NATION 6.00, ALSAKIB 6.30, SWEET MIST 7.00, MAASAI MARA 7.30, HORNBLOWER 8.00 & LIMELIGHT 8.30. He has been in stunning form since returning in February and is almost certain to ride winners at the meeting! We look at his numbers and compare them against his national average since his return, whilst accepting he is prepared to ride those with slim to little chance.
April: 12-50 24% +2.19 March: 19-83 23% -5.79 February: 6-25 24% +9.81 Total: 37-158 23% +6.21
BY THE WAY: The Racing Horse has posted the most pertinent and important information regarding trainer CHARLIE APPLEBY. The trainer has one entry TAGABAWA 7.30 and William Buick has been booked to ride. On our personal APPLEBY STRATEGY we will be staking 1pt win, our third bet of the season with more to come from this week's Newmarket Meetings...
BY THE WAY 2: With our Newmarket Racecourse Template tomorrow, we will Red Flag trainer Michael Stoute and his apparent decline/semi-retirement.
PERTINENCE5.30
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| The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics - Jason Weaver |