KEMPTON AW Racecourse Template (Wednesday 20 August 2025)

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20August2025

The Racing Horse offers our KEMPTON AW Racecourse Template for Wednesday, 20 August 2025. There is an 8-race card containing 5 Handicaps and 3 Novice Stakes Races. The Polytrack surface is expected to ride standard to slow.  

Winning Favourites (5 Years) 
Non-handicap                    Handicap 
2yo   106-271  39%   -42.36     39-93    42%   +11.79 
3yo   147-295  50%   -18.16     156-461  34%   -22.51 
4yo+   43-99   43%    -3.00     240-750  32%   -60.99 
TOTAL 296-665  45%   -63.51     435-1304 33%   -71.71

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years        +/-   E
Andrew Balding (16%)  86-544   16%   -56.47   +0%   1   
Charlie Appleby (30%) 68-211   32%   -38.78   +2%   0  
Roger Varian (20%)    64-251   25%   -24.70   +6%   1
J & T Gosden (21%)    61-308   20%   -77.07   -1%   0
Ralph Beckett (18%)   49-265   18%   -30.22   +0%   4

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years         +/-   R
Oisin Murphy (21%)  104-476    22%   -86.63   +1%   0 
Daniel Muscutt (13%) 93-621    15%  -162.17   +2%   4   
David Probert (13%)  85-676    13%    -7.57   +0%   0   
Rossa Ryan (16%)     73-500    15%   -73.02   -1%   0
R Kingscote (13%)    72-530    14%  -110.03   +1%   0

TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years          +/-   E
Godolphin (26%)	     91-329    28%   -79.00   +2%   0 
Juddmonte (23%)      23-84     27%   -14.15   +4%   0
Shadwell Est (22%)   22-89     25%    -1.11   +3%   1
King Power (13%)     20-112    18%   -28.27   +5%   0
Opulence Thoro (19%) 18-66     27%    +4.10   +9%   0

Upcoming Fixtures:
Wednesday 27 August 2025
Wednesday 3 September 2025
Friday 5 September 2025

CONFIGURATION & DRAW: Kempton is a right-handed, flat Polytrack course, uniquely the only all-weather surface in the UK with a right-handed configuration. The track is oval-shaped and features two distinct loops: KEMPTON AW DRAW BIAS

FAVOURITES: Kempton Racecourse Template provides a huge sample giving the figures real weight and substance! Winning favourites at the course over the past 5-years show 731-1969 for 37.13% and a level stake loss of -135.22, so +3% above the national average. Non-handicap winning favourites score at 45% as opposed to handicap favourites who score at 33% for a significant 12% differential.

TRAINER: Top trainer at the track Andrew Balding (16%) has a single entry in SHRIMP SHADY 7.50 to be ridden by Jason Watson. His colt has to overcome a year-long break and give 10lb to the Masar filly Finalise (W Haggas), in what looks like a match.

Ralph Beckett (18%) has 4 runners at the track tonight including TIERRA DEL TORRO 5.50, HELL YEAH HE DID 6.20, RUN WITH IT 7.20 & GNOMON 7.50.

JOCKEY: Danny Muscutt (13%) has 4 rides including AUGUSTUS GLOOP 5.50, LOBLOLLY 6.50, SAVVY KINGDOM 7.20 & THE BELLHOP 7.50. Cannot spot an obvious winner, but that might not stop him.

Cieren Fallon (14%) is riding well scoring 7 winners in the last 14 days at 21%, and one of those was a 50/1 winner for Henrietta Knight. He has 5 rides including CHAPMAN'S PEAK 5.50, GOING COMMANDO 6.50, RHAPSODY 7.20, FINALISE 7.50 & LEGEND FOREVER 8.50. He is likely to get on the scoresheet.

OWNER: Shadwell Estate (22%) have a single entry at the meeting in the 2yo colt ELSHGAR 6.20 trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Jim Crowley. He is a 125,000gns yearling and the dam was a Listed-place 5f 2yo winner (94) so lots to like on paper.

RED FLAG: Hector Crouch (17%) has 6 rides tonight and certain to feature heavily on the card and a win double beckons. His rides include FANJOVE 5.15, TIERRA DEL TORO 5.50, HELL YEAH HE DID 6.20, ROYAL BODYGUARD 6.50, RUN WITH IT 7.20 & GNOMON 7.50. He has been riding superbly again this year and has already ridden 100 winners from 534 rides for 19%, so +2% above his national average. Last year he rode 101 winners so could pass that figure at this very meeting. His last 4 years sees him score 49 (2022), 82 (2023) 101 (2024) and now notching his second ton.

He is now a very important part of the Ralph Beckett operation and the combination shows 143-683 for a big 21% (-58.06) winning nearly £3m in prize money over the past 5 years. What adds to his figures is his conversion rate when measuring second places against winners, meaning he is much more than a safe pair of hands. Of his rides tonight, 4 are Beckett's entries, one imagines the combination are hoping for a win double.

Our template isn’t just informative - it’s a tactical map. It encourages disciplined betting by anchoring decisions in data and context.

5.15: Unibet Zero% Mission Nursery Handicap (Class 6) 7f

  • Winning favourites: 42%
  • HOUDINI MISS  (J Horton) race-by-race progress when 2nd on nursery debut at Southwell, first time headgear, Jack Mitchell rides and 34% on favourites (WINNER 9/2)
  • MISS AYALA (M Usher) trainer +£94.50 with horses stepped up in trip, Tyler Heard rides

5.50: Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Class 4) (Div 1) 7f

  • Winning favourites: 39%
  • TIERRA DEL TORO (R Beckett) highly-promising sort. 2 of 8 in Southwell Novice 23 days ago, clear of rest. Difficult to oppose with prospect of lots more to come. Hector Crouch rides and 37% on favourites (WINNER at 4/9)
  • VINTAGE HEAT (R Hannon) showed nothing on debut, drops from Goodwood Class 2 to Class 4, stall 1 to help. Sean Levey rides
  • LIUETENANT KIJE (Newland & Insole) low-key debut but sent off 2/1 next time, showed more. AW debut in tongue tie, Elizabeth Gale (5) rides (2nd at 8/1)
  • Exacta £5.80  CSF £5.33

6.20: Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Class 4) (Div 2) 7f

  • Winning favourites: 39%
  • HELL YEAH HE DID (R Beckett) €110,000 yearling, trainer +£11.97 with debutants, Hector Crouch rides and 37% on favourites
  • ASPECT ISLAND (J Owen) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, ran at Newmarket and Goodwood, brother a Group 3 AW winner. Sean D Bowen rides (2nd at 11/1)
  • ELASHGAR (R Hannon) 125,000gns yearling, Supremacy colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, dam 2yo 5f winner, has stall 3 to help debut. Jim Crowley rides

6.50: Unibet/British Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap (Class 4) (Div 2) 1m

  • Winning favourites: 42%
  • STEEL DRUM (E Johnson Houghton) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, forget last run in heavy ground, capable of better upped to 1m. Charles Bishop rides
  • ROYAL BODYGUARD (M Bell) improved with each run, step up in trip to suit, Hector Crouch rides (WINNER at 7/4)

7.20: Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (Class 4) 1m

  • NIMINY PIMINY (O Sangster) beaten favourite last time out, returned to form here last week after a breathing operation. Trevor Whelan rides (2nd at 9/2)
  • SHERRIF'S COURT (M Prescott) beaten favourite last time out, Poppy Scott (7) rides
  • DRAGON ICON (R Varian) course winner, stall 5, trainer 25% at the course, Silvestre De Sousa rides, and his only ride of the day, strange he is not used more? (3rd at 11/4)

7.50: Unibet More Extra Place Races Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 4) 1m4f

  • FINALISE (W Haggas) beaten 2/5 favourite last time out, hung left on both starts to date. Cieren Fallon rides and 35% on favourites (WINNER at 11/8)
  • SHRIMP SHADY (A Balding) bred for this distance, drops from Class 2 to Class 4, winner last time out but 352-days break since. Jason Watson rides (3rd at 6/5)
  • GNOMON (R Beckett) bumper winner and 2 promising flat runs since, place chance at best. Hector Crouch rides (2nd at 11/2)
  • Exacta £8.20  CSF £9.97  Trifecta £16.30

8.20: Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Class 5) (Div 1) 7f

  • Winning favourites: 34%
  • SOLDIERS STAR (H Palmer) C&D winner, weighted to win 73 > 70, Liam Wright rides (WINNER at 13/2)
  • I'M WORKING ON IT (R Millman) C&D winner last time out with plenty in hand, first race after wind surgery so 8lb rise might not stop him, Lewis Edmunds rides
  • TOKEN GESTURE (M Usher) C& D winner, runner-up behind I'm Workin On It here last time so place claims. Tyler Heard rides

8.50: Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Class 5) (Div 2) 7f

  • Winning favourites: 34%
  • MOBY QUICK (G Scott) beaten favourite last time out, had excuses. Callum Shepherd rides
  • SILCA BAY (E Johnson Houghton) maiden following 8 starts but turned in another creditable display when 3 of 9 in C&D handicap 14 days ago, running on. Eased further in the weights, Charles Bishop rides
  • TAKTEEK (J Owen) drop to 7f with visor on, stable debut last time and now stall 2, Paddy Bradley rides
The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics - Jason Weaver
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