KEMPTON AW Racecourse Template (Saturday 6 September 2025)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our KEMPTON AW Racecourse Template for Saturday 6 September 2025. There is a 7-race card containing 2 Groups 3s and 4 Handicaps. The Polytrack surface is expected to ride standard to slow.

ALL the WINNERS HERE!

Winning Favourites (5 Years) 
Non-handicap                    Handicap 
2yo   108-276  39%   -44.55     40-95    42%   +12.54 
3yo   148-297  50%   -18.71     158-469  34%   -24.67 
4yo+   43-99   43%    -3.00     242-753  32%   -58.49 
TOTAL 299-672  44%   -66.26     440-1317 33%   -70.63

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years        +/-   E
Andrew Balding (16%)  87-549   16%   -60.11   +0%   3  
Charlie Appleby (30%) 68-212   32%   -39.78   +2%   1
Roger Varian (20%)    64-255   25%   -28.70   +5%   1
J & T Gosden (21%)    62-309   20%   -75.32   -1%   0
Ralph Beckett (18%)   50-269   19%   -32.77   +1%   2

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years         +/-   R
Oisin Murphy (21%)  106-488    22%   -94.76   +1%   7
Daniel Muscutt (13%) 93-629    15%  -170.17   +2%   0 
David Probert (13%)  85-676    13%    -7.57   +0%   0
Rossa Ryan (16%)     73-503    15%   -76.02   -1%   6
R Kingscote (13%)    72-530    14%  -110.03   +1%   0
  
TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years          +/-   E
Godolphin (26%)	     92-331    28%   -78.50   +2%   1
Juddmonte (23%)      23-84     27%   -14.15   +4%   2
Shadwell Est (22%)   22-91     24%    -3.11   +2%   0
King Power (13%)     20-113    18%   -29.27   +5%   0
Opulence Thoro (19%) 18-66     27%    +4.10   +9%   0

Upcoming Fixtures:
Saturday 6 September 2025
Monday 15 September 2025
Thursday 18 September 2025

CONFIGURATION & DRAW: Kempton is a right-handed, flat Polytrack course, uniquely the only all-weather surface in the UK with a right-handed configuration. The track is oval-shaped and features two distinct loops, facilitating a critical draw bias in most of the races: KEMPTON AW DRAW BIAS

FAVOURITES: Kempton Racecourse Template provides a huge sample giving the figures weight and substance! Winning favourites at the course over the past 5-years show 739-1989 for 37.15% and a level stake loss of -136.89, so +3% above the national average. Non-handicap winning favourites score at 44% as opposed to handicap favourites who score at 33% for a significant 11% differential.

TRAINER: Top trainer at the course Andrew Balding (16%) runs 3 including KALPANA 1.35, FIVE WAYS 3.10 & CANDYMAN STAN 4.50 and another winner beckons.

JOCKEY: Oisin Murphy (21%) is easily top jockey at Kempton for this year and the last 5 years and he has a full book of rides. They include GIAVELLOTTO 1.35, SKY SAFARI 2.05, RUBY'S ANGEL 2.35, BECKFORD'S FOLLY 3.10, DRAMA 3.35, CAPRELO 4.20 & HAKU 4.50. Stop at a winner?

Rossa Ryan (16%) has 6 rides including CANDLEFORD 1.35, KINGDOM COME 2.05, EGOLI 3.10, LEADENHALL STREET 3.45, DINO BELLAGIO 4.20 & WISPER 4.50

OWNER: Juddmonte (23%) run 2 at the course tomorrow and they should win the opening race with course and distance winner KALPANA 1.35 to be ridden by Colin Keane. After some deliberation as to what is perceived value, we have taken the 4/7 with Unitbet at 2pts win.

Charlie Appleby (30%) scores 32% at Kempton and if we are not backing his runners at this course, we do not oppose them! This current year he scores 6-15 for 40% (+3.87) at Kempton. Tomorrow he runs the 2yo Lope De Vega colt BECKFORD'S FOLLY 3.10 to be ridden by Oisin Murphy. The colt was hooded and ran green throughout on debut over 6f at Lingfield in June 2025 and showed the benefit of that experience, gaining a pair of Class 4 Novice wins on Newmarket's July Course, minus the headgear. He does not set the standard in this Group 3 but is the one to beat. What price is perceived value, I hear you ask? William Hill open with 11/4 (07.02am) to small money, if we could secure 7/2 then he looks an each way to nothing wager!

UPDATE 08.08: TRH has decided to wager 1pt win Beckford's Folly at 11/4 (general bpg) and ¼pt stake saver plus on Five Ways at 4/1 (general bpg) on the basis these two will improve past the other runners!

Our template isn’t just informative - it’s a tactical map. It encourages disciplined betting by anchoring decisions in data, pertinence and context.

What are RACECOURSE TEMPLATES?

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