WOLVERHAMPTON AW Racecourse Template (Saturday 20 September 2025)

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The Racing Horse offers our WOLVERHAMPTON AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Saturday 20 September 2025. There is a 9-race card containing 7 Handicaps and 2 Maiden Stakes Races. The going for the Tapeta Surface is expected to be standard. FIRST DRAFT and final edit 08.30 Saturday...

 

Winning favourites (last 5 years)
Non-handicaps                     Handicaps
2yo    95-228	42%    -30.69	  36-110     33%     -3.96
3yo   171-339	50%     -9.21	  240-710    34%    -76.75
4yo+   77-194	40%	+1.86	  452-1439   31%   -139.79
TOTAL 343-761	45%    -41.76	  728-2259   32%   -220.49

Top Trainers last 5 years                          +/-   E
Tony Carroll (10%)	97-1034	  9%	-275.58    -1%   5
Mark Loughnane (10%)	83-696	 12%	 -66.51    +2%   0
Michael Appleby (11%)	72-547	 13%	 +42.13    +2%   4
George Boughey (16%)	64-397	 16%	 -42.86    +0%   0
David Evans (11%)	58-465	 12%	-119.87    +1%   2

Top 5 Jockeys last 5 years                         +/-   R
Rossa Ryan (16%)	139-666	 21%	 +35.86    +5%   0
Luke Morris (9%)	114-969	 12%	-235.23    +3%   0
Billy Loughnane (15%)	94-543	 17%	 -15.79    +2%   0
David Probert (13%)	82-657	 12%	 -99.84    -1%   0
Hollie Doyle (14%)	79-564	 14%	-184.81    +0%   7

Top 5 Owners last 5 years                          +/-   E
Godolphin (26%)	        44-148	 30%	 -27.29    +4%   0
Saeed Manana (18%)	19-86	 22%	  +7.43    +4%   0
Amo Racing (15%)	18-107	 17%	 -22.52    +2%   1
Power Geneva (12%)	17-124	 14%	 -24.05    +2%   0
Sheikh A Maktoum (22%)	16-50	 32%	  +8.16   +10%   0                             

Upcoming fixtures:
Saturday 20 September 2025		
Monday 22 September 2025		
Saturday 4 October 2025	
Monday 6 October 2025	
Saturday 11 October 2025 

CONFIGURATION: The all-weather course at Wolverhampton forms a flat, left-handed oval circuit of just under a mile in length. The bends are fairly sharp and with a straight of under 2f in length it favours horses with the ability to hold a good position as opposed to those who need time to find full stride.

JASON WEAVER: Wolverhampton’s 5f, 7f and extended 1m starts can be tricky from a jockey’s point of view, because they’re very much draw-dependent. It’s a big advantage being among the low, left-hand numbers. The 1m 4f start can also be a slight problem, but at least from there you’ve got a longer trip to get sorted out. Nobody went round the inside in the early days and, while I’m not sure it’s a disadvantage to be there now, most jocks still shy away from that rail. It’s a tight course, but well laid-out and very fair.

WINNING FAVOURITES:  Despite the poor quality of racing at Wolverhampton, winning favourites generally have high strike rates, particularly in non-handicap, low-tier races. The wisdom of the crowd is clearly in play and working at this racecourse, and it certainly pays to wager late here or even better just before the off. It's important to note that the 5f, 7f, and extended 1m starts can be challenging for jockeys, and the 1m4f start may also present difficulties. Nevertheless, the high strike rate persists despite these adverse draw conditions. The substantial sample size at this course lends much credibility to the data, with absolutely no signs of fatigue!

 Over the past 5 years, winning favourites at Wolverhampton show 1071-3020 for 35.46% so around 3% above the national average, though a level stake loss to SP of -£262.25 to a £1 win stake.

    • Winning favourites in non-handicaps score at 45%
    • Winning favourites in handicaps score at 32%
    • Best category are 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps 171-339 for 50% (-9.21)
    • Worst category are 4yo+ winning favourites in handicaps 452-1439 for 31% (-139.79)
    • Differential between best and worst category is a big 19%
    • Top trainer at the course is Tony Carroll (9%) based on volume
    • Top jockey at the course is Rossa Ryan (16%) where he scores at 21% so +5% above his national average.
    • Godolphin (26%) are the leading owners at the course scoring at 31% so +5% above their national average.

TRAINERS: David O'Meara (12%) sends a Ten Sovereigns filly and beaten favourite last time out in TEN SIXTY SIX 5.25 to be ridden by Hollie Doyle and we are on red alert.

JOCKEYS: All eyes will be on Hollie Doyle (14%). She has 7 rides at the course tomorrow and almost certain to ride a winner. Her rides include DAKOTA DAWN 4.50, TEN SIXTY SIX 5.25, MADAME KOKO 5.55, BLUE EMPRESS 6.30, VALADERO 7.00, PARISIAN PHOENIX 7.30 & JIMMY MARK 8.00
 
OWNERS: Only Amo Racing (15%) from our leader board has an interest tomorrow in top rated MISTER NUGGET 8.00 a 4yo gelding sired by Oasis Dream and now having second run since a wind operation from the perfect draw. This one trained by David Simcock and to be ridden by Darragh Keenan.
 
GREEN FLAG: tbc
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