CHEPSTOW Racecourse Template (Thursday 14 August 2025)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our Chepstow Racecourse Template for Thursday 14 August 2025. There is a 6-race card, containing 5 Handicaps and a Maiden Fillies' Race. The going is expected to be good.

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE WHAT'S ON

CHEPSTOW FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                   Handicap
2yo	17-42	40%   -4.90    5-16	31%    -0.30
3yo	22-43	51%   -5.27    39-96	41%    +6.73
4yo+	3-9	33%   +3.25    75-227	33%    -5.09
TOTAL	42-94	45%   -6.92    119-339	35%    +1.34
TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chepstow last 5 years      +/-   E
John O'Shea (9%)    19-145   13%   -24.62    +4%   5
Chris Mason (15%)   16-88    18%    -4.66    +3%   1
David Evans (11%)   16-107   15%    +8.75    +4%   0
Archie Watson (14%) 15-61    25%   +18.71   +11%   1
Rod Millman (12%)   14-100   14%   -11.50    +2%   3
  
TOP 6 JOCKEYS at Chepstow last 5 years       +/-   R
Hollie Doyle (14%)   25-89   28%   +19.79   +14%   5     
Gina Mangan (11%)    25-157  16%    +3.28    +5%   3
Saffie Osborne (12%) 14-60   23%    -1.80   +11%   0
Charles Bishop (9%)  12-76   16%    +1.00    +7%   0    
Cal Hutchinson (9%)  12-91   13%    -4.04    +4%   1
David Probert (13%)  12-114  11%   -58.24    -2%   0  
    
TOP 5 OWNERS at Chepstow last 5 years        +/-   E 
Cross Racing Club (10%)	8-50   16%   -5.12   +6%   1 
P & A de Weck (8%)      6-46   13%  -20.95   +5%   0  
Mrs E Evans (16%)       4-12   33%  +26.50  +17%   0
C Mason Racing (16%)    4-14   29%   +7.37  +13%   0
Hannah Jones (16%)      4-16   25%   +1.50   +9%   0
   
Upcoming Chepstow Fixtures:
Tuesday 19 August 2025 
Monday 25 August 2025
Tuesday 2 September 2025

CHEPSTOW CONFIGURATION: Left handed, undulating. Oval-shaped track, about two miles in extent, with a run-in of 5 furlongs. All races at up to a mile are run on the straight course. While not an out-and-out galloping course, owing to the pronounced undulations, the track puts the emphasis on stamina almost regardless of ground.

FAVOURITES: It's official, Chepstow is a punter-friendly racecourse and we have the receipts. Over the past 5 years winning favourites at the course show 159-426 for 37.32% so around +5% above the national average. Best category for winning strike rate are 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps who show 22-43 for 51% (-5.27).  Worst category for strike rate are 4yo winning favourites in handicaps showing 13-40 for 33% (-6.47).

TRAINERS: Leading trainer John O'Shea trains at 9%, a figure not conducive to our style of betting, but he scores 13% at Chepstow. He has 5 runners including PUNCHBOWL FLYER and SOME NIGHTMARE 2.30, TRULY GLAMOROUS 3.00, LETTER OF THE LAW 4.10 & ROMANOVICH 4.45

Archie Watson (14%) sends SUMMERTIMEBLUES 5.15 to Chepstow on a recovery mission, to a course he scores at 25%. Should go close.

Rod Millman (12%) has 3 runners including SILENT FLAME 2.30, WHITE ISLAND 3.35 & ARJAD 4.10. Worth reminding Chepstow readers he scores 7-37 for 19% with his 2yos this year and +25.22 to level stakes. In reference to the 2yo filly White Island we note the jockey William Carson has not even rode a place from 9 rides for Millman. so the jockey booking doesn't shout win! The paddock will tell us more...

JOCKEYS: Chepstow has become a stronghold for female jockeys, with the top 3 performers over the past 5 years all women.

  • Hollie Doyle (14%) scores 25-89 for 28% (+19.79), a remarkable +14% above her national average
  • Gina Mangan (11%) scores 25-157 for 16% (+3.28), an uplift of +5%
  • Saffie Osborne (12%) scores 14-67 for 21% (-8.80), an impressive +9% boost

Backing all 3 blind over the past 5 years yields 64-302 for 21% and a level stake profit of +£14.27. Saffie Osborne drew a blank from her 7 Racing League rides at the last meeting, which hampered our figures.

Cieren Fallon (14%) has hit a rich vein of form over the past month scoring 18-77 for 23% (-5.79). He has 3 rides to be processed including ELARA MAY 3.00, SHOTGUN 3.35 & TONAL 4.10.

OWNERS: Only Cross Racing Club of our top owners have a runner tomorrow in the 8yo C&D winner PUNCHBOWL FLYER to be ridden by Jay Mackay (6%).

RED FLAG: Hollie Doyle (14%) has 5 rides tomorrow including MISS AYALA 3.00, CLOUDBUSTER 3.35, STORMY LADY 4.10, BELLA TESLINA 4.45 & SUMMERTIME BLUES 5.15. We noted she had a number of rides at Beverly lined up, but has decided to come here instead. The fact she is riding at Ffos Las today might have influenced the decision somewhat. But, it could be she needs to win on the well bred sort SUMMERTIMEBLUES for Archie Watson. The 3yo Pinatubo gelding was expected to win at Windsor in July when backed into the 7/4 favourite under William Cox but finished second.

He opened up at 7/2 that day and 4/1 was available, so connections took a hit! This result was compounded next time out, when under Hollie he was backed again from 5/2 into 13/8 but finished second again! One can only imagine the disappointment and now he has to beat 2 last time out winners. The feeling is there is more in the locker and if we get a price, likely to place a win bet with a stake saver on PURE ARTISTRY, so opposing Lima Sierra. He is also entered up at Windsor on Monday.

2.30: dragonbet.co.uk "Training Series" Apprentice Handicap (Class 6) 6f16y

  • SOME NIGHTMARE (J O'Shea) weighted to win 58 > 54, Elizabeth Gale rides 2nd at 4/1
  • PUNCHBOWL FLYER (J O'Shea) C&D winner, Jay Mackay (5) rides WINNER at 11/4
  • Ex: £16.70 CSF: £14.36

3.00: Richard And Louise Fox Wedding Anniversary Nursery Handicap (Class 6) 5f16y

  • ELARA MAY (P McBride) showed improved form last time out when getting off the mark in good style at Yarmouth 8 days ago, progressive filly should prove hard to beat under a penalty. Cieren Fallon rides and 35% on favourites WINNER at 8/13
  • SHETAKESTHEGOLD (R Hannon) 17 2yo winners this year over 6f, now drops back to 5f, Alec Voikhansky (3) rides

3.35: Dragonbet / EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakesdicap (Class 5) 6f16y

  • CLOUDBUSTER (Newland & Insole) top rated, trainer 5 2yo winners this year, has 2 in the race, back up in trip, retains potential. Hollie Doyle rides WINNER at 11/4
  • WHITE ISLAND (R Millman) best watched unless market speaks, advised but trainer excellent with 2yos this year, William Carson rides
  • MELODICAL (E Walker) trainer 4 2yo winners this year but 13 second places, market check advised, George Downing rides

4.10: Phil Saunders Miracle 70th Handicap (Class 6) 1m14y

  • AJRAD (R Millman) won readily by 3½l over C&D winner last time out, form figures of 3152 before thatl. Should go well again. Lewis Edmunds rides WINNER at 10/3
  • FACT OR FABLE (J S Moore) C&D winner. Won at Bath 2 runs back and performs well at this track with 4 course wins, weighted to win 54 > 48, Millie Wonnocott rides
  • UP THE ANTI (T Carroll)  can bounce back returning to her winning distance after not being seen to best effect at Lingfield since changing stables. Looks best of the 3yos. Jack Doughty rides

4.45: Dragonbet Proud Supporter Of Autism In Racing Handicap (Class 6) 7f16y

  • KING OF THE DANCE (B Llewellyn) won over C&D 34 days ago, ran well when 2 of 10 in Salisbury handicap 19 days ago despite not getting a clear run. Returns to the scene of last win with solid prospects.
  • ROMANOVIC (J O'Shea) C&D winner and course specialist, top rated, 2 wins from last 4, William Carson rides

5.15: Racing Post Supports Autism In Racing Handicap (Class 6) 6f16y

  • SUMMERTIMEBLUES (A Watson) beaten favourite last time out and race before that, Hollie Doyle rides WINNER at 11/8
  • PURE ARTISTRY (M Bell) improved and last time out winner, top rated, Jack Doughty rides 2nd at 7/2
  • LIMA SIERRA (N Tinkler) long traveller 225-miles, last time out winner. Alex Jary rides
  • Ex £8.60 CSF £6.12 

Chepstow takes a fair bit of getting. Because it’s so up hill and down dale, stamina has to come into play and it’s also worth noting that the straight is quite long, meaning that some horses start to race a lot earlier than is ideal. If you’re on one that wants to make the running, for example, you’ll often get a few keen to take you on earlier than you might like, so patience is vital for a jockey. Long-striding horses can often go well on the straight track but, as it’s quite stiff, they definitely need to get home - Jason Weaver

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *