The Racing Horse offers the Newmarket (July) Racecourse Template for Friday16 July 2021. There are seven races, including five handicaps and two novice races. The going is good to firm.

NEWMARKET (JULY) FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                     Handicap
2yo:    51-123 for 41%  (-1.32)   7-20  for 35%  (-5.03)
3yo:    25-60  for 42%  (-8.31)  72-231 for 31% (-41.24)
4yo+:    7-25  for 28%  (-7.81)  39-119 for 33%  (+2.69)
Total:  83-208 for 40% (-17.44) 118-370 for 32% (-43.58)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at NEWMARKET (JULY) for last 5 years
1 Charlie Appleby (28%):  46 wins from 173 for 27% (-11.02)
2 Richard Hannon (12%):   45 wins from 296 for 15%  (+9.46)
3 John Gosden (24%):      37 wins from 175 for 21%  (-8.26)
4 Mark Johnston (16%):    36 wins from 183 for 20%  (+4.66)
5 William Haggas (23%):   22 wins from 131 for 17% (-44.56)
* Saeed bin Suroor (21%): 18 wins from  64 for 28% (+13.75)

Other trainers of interest for last 5 years
David Menuisier (13%):    7 wins from  18 for 39% (+38.38)
Peter Charalambous (12%): 3 wins from  12 for 25% (+21.00)
Owen Burrows (19%):       5 wins from  22 for 23%  (-3.13)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at NEWMARKET (JULY) for last 5 years
1 James Doyle:   47 wins from 212 for 22% (-38.88)
2 William Buick: 34 wins from 151 for 23% (-27.60)
3 Oisin Murphy:  27 wins from 139 for 19% (+32.60)
4 Dane O'Neill:  21 wins from 110 for 19%  (+3.29)
5 Jim Crowley:   21 wins from 111 for 19% (-10.46)

TOP OWNERS at NEWMARKET (JULY) for last 5 years
Godolphin:           69 wins from 264 for 26%  (-0.80)
Hamdan Al Maktoum:   31 winS from 159 for 19%  (+6.50)
Cheveley Park:       15 wins from  68 for 22%  (-5.87)
Hamdan bin Mohammed: 14 wins from  54 for 26% (+29.50)
Al Shaqab Racing:     9 wins from  37 for 24% (+18.20)

TRAINERS COLD LIST
I Williams:   29
S C Williams: 25
R Cowell:     20
G Kelleway:   20
M Stoute:     14

JOCKEYS COLD LIST
Faye McManoman:    30
Sebastian Woods:   12
Paul Mulrennan:    12
Callum Hutchinson: 12
James Doyle:       11	

Fixtures:    
Friday   16 July 2021    
Saturday 17 July 2021
Friday   23 July 2021
Saturday 24 July 2021
Friday   30 July 2021

Trainers percentages in brackets show their national average over the past five years. Remember, every trainer has a career-to-date strike rate, this is called a NATIONAL AVERAGE, be aware of this figure in context before placing a wager. We tend to measure current and course form against this number.

What does the course template tell us? The sample is not huge in regards to winning favourites in non-handicaps, but the natural winning average of 40% is a fair bit below standard. Winning handicap favourites replicate national trends.

Winning favourites at the track in the last 12 months: 168-462 for 36.4%

It is the winning trainers that catch the eye, where only the top trainers need apply! Winners of the "punches above your height awards," albeit to a small sample, go to David Menuisier and Peter Charalambous who strike 19% and 17% respectively above their national average, whilst with some surprise, heavyweight William Haggas drops a big 8% on the July course, and 10% on the Rowley course, figures that are hard to explain.

Godolphin are clearly the top team at Newmarket and with Charlie Appleby at the helm, they will be for years to come. Their total of 69 winners is exactly the same as numbers two, three, four and five. Had you backed the two Godolphin trainers blind at Newmarket (past 5 years) it would have provided a level stake profit with just a modicum of housekeeping, this is a system all of its own and one without those harrowing losing runs! The last 5 years show a combination figure of 64-237 for 27% (+2.73), figures that must be acknowledged if not necessarily acted upon!

For the record, Charlie Appleby shows a huge 68-231 for 29% (+44.20) at Newmarket (Rowley) so totalling 114-404 for 28.22% and a level stake profit of +33.18 to SP (past 5 years) at the two courses of Newmarket.

MORE PERTINENCE:

5.40: BRUNNERA is a course and distance winner. RENAISSANCE ROSE (C Appleby & W Buick combo)
6.10: WITH THE MOONLIGHT (C Appleby & W Buick combo). KAWIDA to beat?
6.45: MAGICAL LAND (C Appleby & W Buick combo) wears cheekpieces and drops back in trip
7.20: STORM DAMAGE (Saeed bin Suroor) drops from Group 3 to Class 4. VALIANT PRINCE (C Appleby & W Buick) to beat?
7.50: BALLINTOY HARBOUR drops from Class 2 to Class 4
8.20: GALA FORCE MAYA (M DODS) is longest traveller 214m. MISS JINGLES (C Appleby & W Buick combo) drops from Listed to Class 3
8.50: EXTRODINAIR drops from Class 3 to Class 5

The course is two miles and a furlong in extent with a right-handed bend at halfway, the first mile being part of the Cesarewitch course, the last the straight Bunbury mile. There are undulations for the first three quarters of a mile of the straight, the course then runs downhill for a furlong before climbing to the line. As with the Rowley Mile course, ability to see out the trip thoroughly is essential. The long straight means it’s a very fair course, with no pace bias, and it’s ideally suited to class horses, our template reflects the point as the top tier of trainers tend to dominate.

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