The Racing Horse offers our Chepstow Racecourse Template for Wednesday 27 December 2023. There is an 8-race card and we note ITV4 are covering the 1.05, 1.40, 2.10 (Grade 2 Juvenile Hurdle) and the 2.50 (Welsh Grand National). It promises to be a great day's racing. The going is to be confirmed...

CHEPSTOW Racecourse Template - FREE sign up!

CHEPSTOW FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                   Handicap
Hurdle 64-129   50%   +1.44    33-118   28%   -21.67
Chase  8-17     47%   -2.57    51-152   34%    -6.31
NHF    14-47    30%  -11.66    0-0	 	
TOTAL  86-193   45%  -12.79    84-270   31%   -27.98

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chepstow last 5 years      +/-   E
Paul Nicholls (24%)  57-217   26%   -35.85   +2%   
Evan Williams (11%)  25-243   10%   -30.37   -1%   
Fergal O'Brien (19%) 16-122   13%   -33.52   -5%   
Jonjo O'Neill (15%)  16-125   13%   -44.04   -2%  
Ven Williams (17%)   15-94    16%    -2.62   -1%  

CURRENT SEASON at Chepstow                   +/-   E
Paul Nicholls (24%)  7-24   29%	   -6.61     +5%
Sam Thomas (21%)     5-12   42%	   +5.85    +21%   6
Nigel T-Davies (15%) 4-9    44%	   +6.12    +29%   2
Kim Bailey (16%)     3-10   30%	   +1.00    +14%   1
Rob Stephens (11%)   2-3    67%	   +6.25    +56%   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chepstow last 5 years       +/-   R
Harry Cobden (23%)  39-149   26%   -45.95    +3%     
Adam Wedge (13%)    19-172   11%   -18.37    -2%   
Ben Jones (14%)     16-76    21%   +16.58    +7%   0
Jonjo O'Neill (16%) 15-104   14%   -29.63    -2%   
Paddy Brennan (20%) 14-72    19%    +3.47    -1% 

CURRENT SEASON at Chepstow                   +/-   R
Sam T-Davies (15%)    5-15   33%    +4.65   +18%   5
Ben Jones (14%)	      4-15   27%    +1.47   +13%   0
Harry Cobden (23%)    4-17   24%    -8.36    +1%
Lorcan Williams (12%) 2-4    50%    +2.50   +38%   0
Finn Lambert (12%)    2-4    50%    +3.37   +38%   0  

TOP 6 OWNERS at Chepstow last 5 years        +/-   E 
William Rucker (14%) 11-63   17%    -4.87    +3%      
John P McManus (17%) 10-67   15%    +3.40    -2%      
Colm Donlon (25%)    6-14    43%   +11.93   +18%   
Walters Plant (19%)  6-38    16%   -11.05    -3%     
K & A Brooks (19%)   5-12    42%   +10.87   +23%   
David Brace (12%)    5-23    22%    +8.00   +10%    

Chepstow Fixtures:
Wednesday 27 December 2023 - WELSH GRAND NATIONAL
Sunday 7 January 2024

CHEPSTOW CONFIGURATION: Chepstow is a left-handed, undulating, oval course, nearly two miles around with eleven fences to a circuit, a five-furlong home straight and a run-in of 250 yards. Conditions can be very testing. With five fences in the straight, the first part of which is downhill, front runners - or those leading into the straight - do well here, especially over shorter distances, and the fences don't claim the number of casualties that might be expected.

FAVOURITES: Chepstow is a punter friendly racecourse. The last 5 years show 170 winning favourites from 463 races for 36.72% (-40.77) so around +4% above the national average. Non-handicap winning favourites score 86-193 for 45% whilst handicap winning favourites score 84-270 for 31% for a 14% differential. Best category for strike rate are winning favourites in non-handicap hurdles who score at 50%.

TRAINERS: Paul Nicholls (24%) is easily top trainer at the course with 57 winners at a strike rate of 26% over the past 5 years. He is always well represented here.

JOCKEYS: Harry Cobden (23%) mirrors the figures of the Nicholls stable scoring 26% at the course.

OWNERS

Record times for Chepstow are very quick, which shows how slick it can be when the ground is fast, but horses can finish strung out like washing when it gets soft. Punters really must take note of conditions then, if they’re having a bet, because horses with stamina limitations can get home when the going is right for them, while it can be a real slog when it’s heavy. The other things to consider seriously are the undulations and the downhill run from the last. If you walk round the course, for example, you’ll be aware that, from several places out in the country, you can’t see the stands. The run-in, on the other hand, is quite steeply downhill, very quick on fast ground, and that’s why you often see horses make a mistake at the final jump - Mick Fitzgerald