The Racing Horse offers our NEWBURY RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Saturday 29 April 2024. There is a 7-race card containing 3 Group 3s, 2 Handicaps and 2 Maiden Races. The going is expected to be good to soft.

Newbury FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                   Handicap
2yo    61-170	36%   -29.08   6-20	30%    -3.65
3yo    33-98	34%   -23.76   49-140   35%    +0.00
4yo+   18-43	42%    +0.70   31-151   21%   -51.61
TOTAL 112-311	36%   -52.14   86-311	28%   -55.26

TOP 5 TRAINERS at NEWBURY past 5 years       +/-   E 
Richard Hannon (11%) 39-360   11%   -94.54   +0%   9  
William Haggas (22%) 35-160   22%   -21.15   +0%   5   
Andrew Balding (15%) 23-209   11%   +38.43   -4%   5 
Ed Walker (14%)	     20-138   14%   -30.52   +0%   1   
J & T Gosden (21%)   19-104   18%   -29.60   -3%   2   

HOT TRAINERS 21/03/2024 to 19/04/2024        +/-   E
Harry Charlton (25%)   4-8     50%   +1.50  +25%   1
Richard Hughes (14%)  15-38    40%   +8.00  +26%   2
Richard Spencer (11%)  5-17    29%   -3.00  +18%   1
Charlie Appleby (29%) 10-38    26%   -8.50   -3%   1
Ed Walker (14%)	       6-24    25%  +25.82  +11%   1
George Scott (13%)     4-16    25%   +1.50  +12%   2
Eve J-Houghton (12%)   5-21    24%   +3.50  +12%   2

COLD TRAINERS       SAW                            E
Marco Botti (12%)    32   21 days                  1
Julie Camacho (11%)  18   34 days                  1              

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at NEWBURY past 5 years        +/-   R
Tom Marquand (15%)  38-219   17%   -19.49    +2%   7   
Oisin Murphy (19%)  29-161   18%    +7.25    -1%   4  
James Doyle (19%)   27-146   18%   -14.57    -1%   4
William Buick (23%) 27-152   18%   -13.07    -5%   7  
Jim Crowley (19%)   26-141   18%   +29.32    -1%   3   

HOT JOCKEYS 21/03/2024 to 19/04/2024         +/-   R
Finley Marsh (14%)  11-26   42%	   +24.32   +28%   2   
William Buick (23%)  9-36   25%	    -7.50    +2%   7
Oisin Murphy (19%)  13-65   20%	    -4.00    +1%   4

COLD JOCKEY             SAW                        R             
Richard Kingscote (13%)  49   37 days              4              

TOP 5 OWNERS at Newbury for past 5 years     +/-   E
Godolphin (25%)	     21-105   20%   -16.65   -5%   2  
Shadwell Est (24%)   13-74    18%    +5.23   -6%   1  
Amo Racing (17%)      9-48    19%   -14.62   +2%   2  
Ahmed A Maktoum (24%) 8-40    20%    +3.83   -4%   2   
Juddmonte (23%)	      8-51    16%   -16.29   -7%   3  

Friday Results not included

Fixtures
Saturday 20 April 2024

CONFIGURATION: Left handed, galloping. The straight mile course is undulating throughout. One of the fairest courses in the country, though its galloping nature makes it ideal for the big, long-striding type, and the track becomes testing in inclement weather. Whilst the majority of the action on the straight course usually takes place on the stand rail, those who choose to come down the centre of the track instead can find themselves at an advantage.

FAVOURITES: Newbury Flat Racecourse provides as many non-handicap races to handicap races and this is very unusual. Over the past 5 years winning favourites at the course show 198-622 for 31.83% for a level stake loss of -107.46 so a strike rate below the national average. This is clearly not a great course for favourites! This negative is in contradiction to the quality of the race track and quality of races generally held there, but these are the organic facts and cold mathematics!

Winning favourites in non-handicaps show 112-311 for 36% and a level stake loss to SP of -52.14, whilst winning favourites in handicaps score 86-311 for 28% and a loss to level stakes of -55.26.

TRAINERS: Richard Hannon (11%) had 10 runners at the course and landed 3 winners, Saturday he has 9 runners and he could score again. His runners include SON 2.40, TALIS EVOLVERE & SIERRA BLANCE 3.15, SHEILA'S PARADISE, SEDGEMOOR & WAISTCOAT 3.50, EASY DANCER 4.25 & GRAHAM 5.00

JOCKEYS: Tom Marquand (15%) and William Buick (23%) both have a full book of 7 rides and their collective 14 rides must produce winners! Tom Marquand's rides include HAMISH 1.30, RELIEF RALLY 2.05, EL BODON 2.40, GODWINSON 3.15, ECONOMICS 3.50, MYCOLOURSORYOURS 4.25 & GALILEO'S COMPASS 5.00

William Buick's rides include CHESSPIECE 1.30, STAR MUSIC 2.05, MISTER SKETCH 2.40, RAADOBARG 3.15, AMPHIUS 3.50, HIDDEN LAW 4.25 & PRINCE MAXI 5.00

Oisin Murphy (19%) and James Doyle (19%) both have 4 rides whilst Jim Crowley (19%) has 3.

OWNERS: TRH suggested a long look at the runners of the top owners at Newbury on Friday and they found 3 winners, there could be more for Saturday and these runners must be processed.

Godolphin (25%) have 2 runners including CHESSPIECE 1.30 & HIDDEN LAW 4.25, the latter trained by Charlie Appleby.

Shadwell Estate (24%) have a single entry in MUJTABA 1.30, whilst Amo Racing (17%) have a single entry also in RAADOBARG 3.15.

Sheikh Ahmed Al Maktoum (24%) has 2 runners including ELMALKA 2.05 & TERWADA 3.15.

Juddmonte (23%) have 3 runners including ARREST 1.30, AMPHIUS & CLOVE HITCH 3.50.

RED FLAG: Richard Kingscote has a national average of just 13%, this Derby winner (2022) is much better than that. His two main source of winners have been Michael Stoute and Tom Dascombe. Stoute is nearer retirement than a Group 1 winner and Dascombe lost his big job and struggled to make an impact since, Kingscote needs his agent to get him rides from other stables! Yesterday we flagged up Luke Morris who was 0-63 and he came off the cold list with a 25/1 winner, paid £34 on the Tote and one of our members Sara was on at 40/1.

Richard Kingscote has miserable UK figures of 2-55 for 3.64% (-49.95) for 2024, these must be desperate times for him. However, he is almost certain to bounce back to form sooner rather than later. Filter and follow is the clear advice! He has 3 rides today including JAMES'S DELIGHT 2.40, NAVAGIO 3.15, PASHA 3.50 & MARHABA MILLION 4.25.

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BY THE WAY: Sincere apologies but there will not be a rationale for out 2 Pacafis tomorrow. Just to recap we have staked ARREST 1.30 Newbury at 13/8 but because of the drift (suggesting he may need the run) we have staked AL QAREEM at 6/1 (0.20pt win advised) in the belief he will reverse his form with HAMISH on today's better ground. Maureen Haggas told us candidly her horse does not like Newbury and needs testing ground so we are taking that one on!

GRAIN D'OUDARIES 2.15 Bangor at 6/4 has ticked all our boxes and the price looks attractive, looks an even money shot to us!