The Racing Horse offers our Ascot Racecourse Template for Friday 1 October 2021. There is a 6-race card including 3 Handicaps, a Classified, a Novice and a Listed Race. The ground is currently good to soft (good in places) but rain is due today and all tomorrow morning, so care needed, the ground might be soft at 1.55pm.

WHAT are RACECOURSE TEMPLATES?

ASCOT RACECOURSE TEMPLATE

NON-HANDICAP (5 years)           HANDICAP (5 years)
2yo:   24-94  for 26% (-29.50)     3-6  for 50%  (+0.33)
3yo:   31-79  for 39%  (+0.13)   44-131 for 34% (+11.56)
4yo+:  36-94  for 38%  (+0.98)   45-144 for 31% (+32.33)
Total: 91-267 for 34% (-30.36)   92-281 for 33% (+44.21)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at ASCOT (current year)            +/-   E
J & T Gosden (22%):   11-48 for 23% (+50.40)      -1%   4 ✓
A Balding (15%):       7-56 for 13%  (-1.30)      -2%   7
C Appleby (28%):       5-25 for 20%  (-1.00)      -8%   0
W Haggas (23%):        5-27 for 19% (-10.25)      -4%   2 ✓
Muir & Grassick (17%): 4-7  for 57% (+33.50)     +40%   4

TOP 5 TRAINERS at ASCOT (past 5 years)            +/-   E
J Gosden (24%):  41-241 for 17%  (-43.10)         -7%   4 ✓
C Appleby (28%): 26-151 for 17%  (-23.30)        -11%   0
A O'Brien (13%): 26-268 for 10% (-130.83)         -3%   0
R Varian (20%):  25-187 for 13%  (-58.97)         -7%   3
A Balding (15%): 25-242 for 10%  (-68.30)         -5%   7

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at ASCOT (current year)             +/-   E
William Buick (21%):   8-43 for 19% (+62.50)      -2%   0
Ryan Moore (19%):      8-53 for 15%  (-7.55)      -4%   3
Oisin Murphy (18%):    7-39 for 18% (+22.50)      +0%   4
Jim Crowley (19%):     6-31 for 19%  (-9.93)      +0%   2
Frankie Dettori (24%): 6-36 for 17%  (+0.75)      -7%   2 ✓

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at ASCOT (past 5 years)             +/-   E
Ryan Moore (19%):      42-276 for 15% (-86.40)    -4%   3
Frankie Dettori (24%): 39-178 for 22% (+26.57)    -2%   2 ✓
William Buick (21%):   35-208 for 17% (+61.35)    -4%   0
Jim Crowley (19%):     27-233 for 12% (-29.89)    -7%   2
Oisin Murphy (18%):    26-230 for 11% (-18.12)    -7%   4

TOP 5 OWNERS at Ascot (past 5 years)                    E 
Godolphin (13%):          37-273 for 14% (-78.46)       1    
Hamdan Al Maktoum (13%):  22-166 for 13% (-15.51)       -
K Abdullah (23%):         19-84  for 23% (+16.28)       -
M Obaid Al Maktoum (20%): 18-91  for 20% (+14.35)       0
B E Nielsen (43%):        10-23  for 43% (+16.70)       0

HOT TRAINERS 01/09/2021 to 01/10/2021             +/-   E
E Walker (14%):      11-40 for 27.5% (+10.43)    +14%   2
J & T Gosden (22%):  21-77 for 27.3% (-12.90)     +5%   4 ✓
Sir M Prescott (17%): 9-36 for 25.0%  (-5.45)     +8%   1
W Haggas (23%):      22-96 for 22.9% (-23.38)     +0%   2 ✓
C Cox (14%):         14-66 for 21.2% (+16.43)     +7%   1

TRAINERS COLD LIST      E
B Millman (11%):   31   1
D Elsworth (12%):  28   2
D Steele (5%):     13   1
M Channon (11%):   20   3
Joseph Parr (14%): 17   1

HOT JOCKEYS 01/09/2021 to 01/10/2021             +/-   E                     
Frankie Dettori (24%): 12-29 for 41.4%  (+6.62) +17%   2 ✓
Dougie Costello (7%):   6-27 for 22.2%  (-0.76) +15%   1
Jim Crowley (19%):      9-41 for 22.0% (+26.00)  +3%   2
Cieren Fallon (13%):   14-64 for 21.9%  (+6.70)  +9%   2 ✓
 
JOCKEYS COLD LIST           E
Laura Pearson (11%):   22   1
Kieran Shoemark (11%): 16   1
Oisin Murphy (18%):    14   4  
Joe Fanning (15%):     14   2
N Callan (7%):         13   1
 
MEETINGS
Friday 1 October 2021
Saturday 2 October 2021
Saturday 16 October 2021

• FAVOURITES: Favourites in non-handicaps at Ascot have a poor strike rate compared to most other UK racecourses, in fact 2yo favourites in non-handicaps have a miserable conversion, the lowest from any racecourse. Conversely, winning favourites in handicaps win at the national average and return a level stake profit to SP of £44.21. Favourites across the board at Ascot show 183-548 for 33% and a level stake profit of +13.85
• TRAINERS: The template shows how hard it is even for our top trainers to have regular winners at Ascot, most of them are considerably down on their national averages. From our 5 year leader board J & T Gosden 2, Roger Varian 1 and Andrew Balding 4 have runners, but Muir & Grassick also send 4 and this year at the course show 4-7 for 57% (+33.50) so +40% above their national average. ✓
• Other trainers of interest with runners include Saeed bin Suroor 1, William Haggas 2, Richard Hannon 2 and Mark Johnston 1. ✓
• Johnston has awful figures at Ascot and hard to explain! His 5 year figures show 21-243 for 9% (-115.88) and this year is even worse 2-40 for just 5% (-27.00). Conversely, he has won 3 of the last 10 runnings, travels 243 miles with King's Advice 4.15.
• JOCKEYS: Interesting 4 of our top 5 jockeys on both leader boards have 11 rides including Ryan Moore 3, Oisin Murphy 4, Jim Crowley 2 and Frankie Dettori 2. There must be winners from this grouping! ✓
• OISIN MURPHY has just started a losing run (14), he has 4 rides at Ascot. We are mindful of his accident at Salisbury on Thursday, will he be 100% at Ascot with a ride on Japanese contender Chrono Genesis in Sunday's Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe?
• NEIL CALLAN has a ride tomorrow and we are fascinated to see how he gets on, not this year but next! We are reminded of his 282 winners in Hong Kong winning £37.1m for connections. His return shows 5-68 for 7% (-21.67)
• OWNERS: Godolphin have just the one runner on Friday, the only entry on our leader board
• DID YOU KNOW: Some interesting numbers for trainers at Ascot over the past 5 years, not all of which are relevant for today. Richard Hannon 18-281 for 6%, Archie Watson 4-80 for 5%, Richard Fahey 6-132 for 5%. By the way Mick Quinn is 3-5 for 60%, how did that happen? Jockeys to include Tom Marquand 9-144 for 6%, Silvestre De Sousa 17-225 for 8%, Sean Levey 4-80 for 5%, and Ray Dawson 6-26 for 23%. Does these numbers matter? Of course they do!