KEMPTON Racecourse Template
April 29th, 2024
Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (Class 1) 4m2f74y |
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There is one thing we can confirm ahead of time (Sunday 24 March 2019 08.22) is Tiger Roll is trading at the most ridiculous price we have seen in recent times regarding this race!Bookmakers are offering 7/2 about this little horses chances and as we go to post only Bet365 and SkyBet are paying best price guaranteed of the major bookmakers! Betfair are currently trading at 5.5 to lay and our suggestion is to lay, lay, lay at that price because two things are certain. One, he will start bigger than 4/1 on the day and two, there is absolutely no value in that price, and the chances of him following up are slim. The price is nonsense, there is so much that can go wrong in this race! Do NOT get sucked in even if you, like us, admire the horse and want him to win! This is CRAZY, bookmakers are generating this hysteria and do not believe stories about them losing millions of pounds if Tiger Rolls win, with 40 runners racing in a handicap this is the one casino race of the year they have the perfect overround. |
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Today's Pacafi: click here |
Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a maths-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge. ~ The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit. |
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