Coral Marathon (Listed) 2m50y
Trainer Form: 9-24 for 38% (10)
National Average: 29% (10)
Course Strike Rate: 28% (10)
OR & RPR: 116 & 127 (10)
Distance: 1m6f+ (10)
Optimum Ground: Good, good to firm (10)
Jockey: William Buick (10)
National Average: 23% (10)
Course Strike Rate: 22% (10)
Trainer/Jockey Combo: 31% (10)
Total: (100)
GODOLPHIN COMMENTS: Brother to 1m-1m2f winner Wild Illusion (including 2yo/Group 1/Oaks second; RPR 116); distant third of four in 7f novice stakes at Newmarket in June 2020 but then finished closer up on next outing and came good at third time of asking when winning a 7f maiden at Sandown in August; followed up in Newbury conditions race in very fast time (1m, good) a month later; encouraging third in Group 3 Classic Trial at Sandown (10f) in April 2021 but a bit disappointing when a well-beaten fourth in 10f Listed race in cheekpieces at Chester in May; clear second in 1m3f Listed race at Goodwood next time (headgear removed) and posted smooth success in Group 3 Bahrain Trophy at Newmarket (13f) in July; disappointing under a penalty in Group 3 Gordon Stakes (12f) next time, finishing a well held sixth having failed to settle but bounced back to form when winning the Group 2 Great Voltigeur Stakes at York (1m4f) in August and followed up in good style in a valuable conditions race at Belmont Park (12f) in September; posted a career best when winning the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Turf on his next start at Del Mar (firm) in November; ran another cracker on first start of 2022, finishing second of fifteen in the Sheema Classic over 1m4f, beaten a neck; finished second again in Group 2 Jockey Club Stakes (12f) at Newmarket when next seen in April.; unlucky third in Grade 1 Man O'War Stakes in May 2022 (missed break, hit gate); got his career firmly back on track by winning Group 2 Princess of Wales's Close Brothers Stakes in July; not at his best after 317-day break at Newbury in May 2023; fair sixth in Ascot Gold Cup (2m 4f) without threatening principals; needs a strong pace to aim at and prefers quick ground.
SPOTLIGHT: Best on good or firmer; 2021 victories included the Breeders' Cup Turf but there were mixed messages (he looked less than straightforward) in his abbreviated 2022 campaign; 317 days off before below form in his two starts this term but the latest was the 2m4f Gold Cup at Royal Ascot (7f further than he'd gone before) and he showed enough, passing some fading rivals, to suggest he is still very much the one to beat over 2m at this much lower level.
Timeform View
It's tough to look beyond YIBIR, who was unable get competitive in the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot just over a fortnight ago but back in much calmer waters, Charlie Appleby's 5-y-o should prove tough to beat. Ocean Wind has a lengthy absence to overcome, but he put up a few smart performances in defeat back in 2021 and he could give the selection most to think about sporting first-time headgear. Aaddeey and Sleeping Lion can do battle for third spot.
Value
Not sure about perceived value on this occasion. We believe we have nominated the winner but our notepad had 4/7bpg circled in red which meant we would not back at shorter odds. On reflection we think we might have been a little silly in asking for that price...
5 Yibir 1.50 WIN 1.00 +0.50 +2.07 S/R 80%
4 Bobby Socks 1.80 WIN 1.00 +0.80 +1.57 S/R 75%
3 Labalaba 1.40 WIN 1.00 +0.40 +0.77 S/R 67%
2 New London 2.10 LOSE 1.00 -1.00 +0.37 S/R 50%
1 Star Of Mystery 2.37 WIN 1.00 +1.37 +1.37 S/R 100%
July: 5 WIN: 4 LOSE: 1 S/R: 80% PROFIT: +2.07
(13111) FINISHED First or Second (80.00%)
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16 Shadan Joy 1.56 LOSE 1.00 -1.00 +5.68 S/R 75%
15 Imperial Emperor 1.40 WIN 1.00 +0.40 +6.68 S/R 80%
14 Tahiyra 1.62 WIN 1.00 +0.62 +6.28 S/R 79%
13 Theatre Honours 1.91 WIN 1.00 +0.91 +5.66 S/R 77%
12 Tax For Max R4 1.83 WIN 1.00 +0.62 +4.75 S/R 75%
11 Royal Mila 1.57 WIN 1.00 +0.57 +4.13 S/R 73%
10 River Tara 1.53 WIN 1.00 +0.53 +3.46 S/R 70%
9 Unbreak My Heart 1.91 WIN 1.00 +0.91 +2.93 S/R 67%
8 Blinded'lights R4 2.50 WIN 1.00 +1.35 +2.02 S/R 63%
7 Aurora Vega 1.36 WIN 1.00 +0.36 +0.67 S/R 57%
6 Mojeyrr 1.91 LOSE 1.00 -1.00 +0.31 S/R 50%
5 Wind In Your Sail 2.25 WIN 1.00 +1.25 +1.31 S/R 60%
4 Basford 1.67 LOSE 1.00 -1.00 +0.16 S/R 50%
3 Je Ne Sais Quoi 2.37 WIN 1.00 +1.25 +1.16 S/R 67%
2 Military Order 6.00 LOSE 1.00 -1.00 -0.09 S/R 50%
1 Ghara 1.91 WIN 1.00 +0.91 +0.91 S/R 100%
June: 16 WIN: 12 LOSE: 4 S/R: 75% PROFIT: +5.68
(1L121L1111111112) FINISHED First or Second (87.50%)
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