The Winning Angle
September 11th, 2024
THE WINNING ANGLE
The Winning Angle has no selections today.
For those who prefer to have th[...]
CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Monday 10 July 2023)
Posted by in Blog
Tagged Betting advice, Chepstow Racecourse, National Average, Pacafi, Racecourse Templates, The Racing Horse
2 Comments
|
The Racing Horse offers our Chepstow Racecourse Template for Monday 10 July 2023. There is a 7-race card containing 4 Handicaps, 2 Maiden Races and a Classified Stakes Race. The going is now expected to be good to soft, good in places. |
CHEPSTOW FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap Handicap
2yo 22-54 41% -3.95 6-16 38% +2.88
3yo 27-49 55% -0.56 37-103 36% -5.30
4yo+ 1-7 14% -1.50 63-193 33% +1.06
TOTAL 50-110 45% -6.00 106-312 34% -1.37
TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chepstow last 5 years +/- E
T Carroll (10%) 19-162 12% -2.30 +2% 7
R Millman (11%) 16-119 13% -34.62 +2% 1
J O'Shea (8%) 16-128 13% -27.37 +5% 1
D Evans (11%) 16-144 11% -23.55 +0% 1
R Beckett (17%) 15-48 31% +24.65 +14% 0
HOT TRAINERS 10/06/2023 to 09/07/2023 +/- E
B Millman (11%) 7-39 18% +11.67 +7% 1
E Dunlop (10%) 10-64 16% +13.89 +6% 3
COLD LIST TRAINERS SAW E
J G O'Shea (8%) 31 53 days 1
R Harris (9%) 23 68 days 2
TOP 6 JOCKEYS at Chepstow last 5 years +/- R
R Ryan (14%) 27-128 21% +28.65 +7% 5
D Probert (11%) 16-161 10% -61.47 -1% 4
G Mangan (10%) 14-88 16% -18.89 +6% 4
H Doyle (15%) 13-76 17% -26.18 +2% 6
R Kingscote (14%) 12-56 21% -19.64 +7% 0
T Marquand (15%) 12-71 17% +6.66 +2% 0
HOT JOCKEYS 10/06/2023 to 09/07/2023 +/- R
G Rooke (8%) 7-27 26% +2.50 +18% 1
D O'Neill (15%) 12-47 26% +16.31 +11% 2
T Fisher (13%) 12-50 24% +12.33 +11% 1
B Loughnane (16%) 18-98 18% -16.05 +2% 2
J Spencer (13%) 5-28 18% +109.60 +5% 1
H Doyle (15%) 17-101 17% +57.99 +2% 7
A Voikhansky (12%) 4-24 17% +1.88 +5% 1
COLD LIST JOCKEYS SAW R
L Morris (9%) 35 13 days 5
D Egan (12%) 15 6 days 1
TOP 6 OWNERS at Chepstow last 5 years +/- E
Cross Racing (10%) 7-41 17% -3.62 +7% 0
Tidball Millman (16%) 5-13 38% +10.00 +22% 0
James Llewellyn (16%) 5-15 33% +13.62 +17% 0
Int Plywood (19%) 4-12 33% +8.87 +14% 0
Pete Smith (12%) 4-13 31% +20.75 +19% 0
S R Whistance (14%) 4-14 29% +30.50 +15% 0
Next fixtures
Monday 10 July 2023
Friday 14 July 2023
Thursday 20 July 2023
Friday 28 July 2023
Upcoming Racecourse Templates:
Kempton AW (Wednesday)
Newmarket July Course (Thursday)
Newmarket July Course (Friday)
RACECOURSE TEMPLATES explained
What is a NATIONAL AVERAGE?
How to PROFIT from the PACAFI
CHEPSTOW CONFIGURATION: It is a left-handed, undulating, oval-shaped track, about two miles in extent, with a run-in of five furlongs. While not an out-and-out galloping course, owing to the pronounced undulations, the track puts the emphasis on stamina almost regardless of ground. All races up to a mile are run on the straight course.
FAVOURITES: The sample size is not big so beware a literal translation, but all numbers have value. Chepstow (Flat) is a good course for winning favourites. Over the past 5 years winning favourites score 156-422 for 36.97% (-7.37) so nearly +5% above the national average. Even those handicap favourites score 34% (-1.37) so also above the national average.
TRAINERS: The top 4 winning trainers at Chepstow are Tony Carroll (10%), Rod Millman (11%), John O'Shea (8%) and David Evans (11%) and they have won 67 races at the course over the past 5 years. Leading trainer at the course Tony Carroll has 7 runners as we go to post.
Ralph Beckett (17%) has strong figures at the course scoring at 31% (+24.65) so +14% above his national average, he has no runners on Monday.
JOCKEYS: Four of the top six jockeys have rides and look the best angle in to this meeting. Hollie Doyle (15%) has 6 rides, Rossa Ryan (14%) has 5 whilst David Probert (11%) has 4 rides. These 15 rides must produce multiple winners!
Arc-winner Luke Morris (9%) is on the cold list but with 5 rides today we can expect him to be typically competitive and go close to a winner.
OWNERS: None of the top 6 owners at Chepstow over the past 5 years have a runner for this meeting.
PERTINENCE5.20
|
Chepstow takes a fair bit of getting. Because it’s so up hill and down dale, stamina has to come into play and it’s also worth noting that the straight is quite long, meaning that some horses start to race a lot earlier than is ideal. If you’re on one that wants to make the running, for example, you’ll often get a few keen to take you on earlier than you might like, so patience is vital for a jockey. Long-striding horses can often go well on the straight track but, as it’s quite stiff, they definitely need to get home - Jason Weaver
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk, and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. |
2 Responses to CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Monday 10 July 2023)