CHEPSTOW Racecourse Template (Friday 12 July 2024)

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The Racing Horse offers our Chepstow Racecourse Template for Friday 12 July 2024. There is a 7-race card containing 6 Handicaps and a Maiden Stakes Race. The going is expected to be good to soft.

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE WHAT'S ON

CHEPSTOW FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                   Handicap
2yo	17-46	37%   -8.36    5-15	33%    +0.75
3yo	25-47	53%   -3.31    40-93	43%   +14.88
4yo+	2-7	29%   +2.00    65-190	34%    +9.46
TOTAL	44-100	44%   -9.67    110-298	37%   +25.09

CHEPSTOW FAVOURITES (current year)
Non-handicap                   Handicap
2yo	1-3	33%   -0.38    0-0      00%    +0.00
3yo	2-4	50%   -0.72    3-7	43%    -1.66
4yo+	0-0	00%   +0.00    9-21	43%    +2.87
TOTAL   3-7	43%   -1.10    12-28	43%    +1.21

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chepstow last 5 years      +/-   E
Tony Carroll (9%)   18-174   10%   -25.30    +0%   6
Rod Millman (12%)   16-110   15%   -23.12    +3%   2
Ralph Beckett (18%) 13-41    32%    +7.58   +14%   0
Archie Watson (14%) 13-58    22%   +16.98    +8%   2
David Evans (11%)   13-119   11%   -22.05    +0%   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chepstow last 5 years       +/-   R
Hollie Doyle (15%)   23-93   25%    +8.29   +10%   0
Gina Mangan (10%)    17-112  15%   -32.64    +5%   0
Rossa Ryan (16%)     13-79   16%   -30.10    +0%   0
William Cox (5%)     13-111  12%   +20.95    +7%   4
David Probert (12%)  13-128  10%   -79.61    -2%   0

TOP 5 OWNERS at Chepstow last 5 years        +/-   E 
Cross Racing Club (10%)	7-44   16%   -6.62   +6%   1
Tidball & Millman (16%)	5-13   38%  +10.00  +22%   0
P & A de Weck (8%)      5-42   12%  -19.33   +4%   0
James & Llewellyn (15%)	4-12   33%   +6.62  +18%   0
S R Whistance (15%)     4-13   31%  +31.50  +16%   0    

Upcoming Chepstow Fixtures:		 
Friday 12 July 2024
Thursday 18 July 2024	
Friday 26 July 2024	
Thursday 8 August 2024

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATES - FREE of CHARGE!

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATES (16 June 2024 to 12 July 2024

CHEPSTOW CONFIGURATION: Left handed, undulating. Oval-shaped track, about two miles in extent, with a run-in of 5 furlongs. All races at up to a mile are run on the straight course. While not an out-and-out galloping course, owing to the pronounced undulations, the track puts the emphasis on stamina almost regardless of ground.

FAVOURITES: It's official, Chepstow is a punter-friendly racecourse and we have the receipts. Over the past 5  years winning favourites at the course show 154-398 for 38.69% so +5% above the national average. Note, all 3 categories (age-groups) of winning favourites in handicaps produce a profit to level stakes and score well above the national average of 29%, something very unusual in a Racecourse Template! Best category for winning strike rate are 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps who show 25-47 for 53% (-3.31). 

BY THE WAY: Of the 35 races ran this current year the favourites continue to win more than their share showing 15-35 for 43% (+0.11). The advice is to take a long look at the favourite before opposing.

TRAINERS: Leading trainer at the course Tony Carroll has a national average of just 9% whilst scoring 10% at Chepstow. He has 6 runners including SUB THIRTEEN 5.15, LA MER GRISE 5.50, NEPTUNE LEGEND 6.25, VERONA STAR 7.00, BOUJEE GOLD & ROYAL TOAST 7.35.

Second top trainer at the course is Rod Millman (12%) and he has a couple of interesting runners in BAMA LAMA 6.25 & MULLINS BEACH 8.10.

JOCKEYS: From our leader board only William Cox (5%) has rides at Chepstow on Friday. His 4 rides include CAPTAIN CESS 5.50, HOWZAK 6.25, PORTERINTHEJUNGLE 7.35 & ADRIAN 8.45

Luke Morris (9%) could be the jockey to follow, he has 5 rides including GLITTERATI 5.50, BANTRY 7.00, FACT OR FABLE 7.35, RINNOVATI 8.10 & WALTER HARTRIGHT 8.45

Jack Doughty (14%) has made a great start to his career since December 2013 and June saw him score 10-47 for 21% (+13.44). His 14% national average is quite something and he has 5 interesting rides again tomorrow including SUB THIRTEEN 5.15, BAMA LAMA 6.25, ROYAL TOAST 7.35, MULLINS BEACH 8.10 & LHEBAYEB 8.45, another winner beckons.

OWNERS:  The Cross Racing Club (10%) are the top owners at the course over the past 5 years albeit from a small sample, and they run the 5yo ROMANOVICH 7.00 who is 1 win from 4 at the course, trained by John O'Shea (8%) and ridden by William Carson. NON-RUNNER.

PERTINENCE & PERTAINING

5.15 (Winning favs: 43%)
PHOENIX OF DREAMS (J & S Quinn) long traveller 225-miles and new team's first runner at the course, Gianluca Sanna rides (11%) 7/2 SECOND
SUB THIRTEEN (A Carroll) has won 3 from 4 on good to heavy ground for new stable, Jack Doughty rides (14%)

5.50 (Winning favs: 37%)
INVINCIBLE CROWN (R Hughes) beaten favourite last time out showing best form so far, form reads 322 though trainer 0-27 on Turf with 2yos this year. Finley Marsh rides
GLITTERATI (A Watson) showed benefit of debut experience whilst still looking work in progress off the bridle when 2 of 16 in Nottingham Maiden 15 days ago, when clear of rest. Can progress again. Luke Morris rides 11/4 WINNER
KILPATRICK PRINCE (A Haynes) trainer excellent with 2yos showing 15% on Turf, measured against national average 12%. Darragh Keenan rides

6.25 (Winning favs: 34%)
SOVEREIGN SLIPPER (H Candy) coming to hand based on last run at Windsor, Trevor Whelan rides 7/2 WINNER
BETWEENTHESTICKS (J Channon) C&D winner, weighted to win 70 > 64, George Bass (3) rides

7.00 (Winning favs: 34%)
KALAMA SUNRISE (J Channon) 2-2 at the course and winner in the last 7 days, now seeking 5-timer, Rose Dawes (5) rides
LETTER OF THE LAW (J O'Shea) weighted to win 50 > 47, Georgia Dobie (3) rides 11/1 WINNER
RIVAL (J Flint) weighted to win 66 > 56, Taylor Fisher (3) rides

7.35 (Winning favs: 34%)
BELIEVE YOU ME (H Main) beaten favourite last time out, Trevor Whelan rides 7/2 WINNER
LADY WINGALONG (P Evans) beaten favourite last time out, George Downing rides
MONSIEUR PATAT (A Wintle) winner in the last 7 days now seeking hat-trick, Finley Marsh rides £71.90 TRIFECTA
FACT OR FABLE (J Moore) weighted to win 54 > 51, Luke Morris rides

8.10 (Winning favs: 43%)
MAVERICK STYLE (P & O Cole) beaten favourite last time out, Trevor Whelan rides 12/1 SECOND
MULLINS BEACH (R Millman) last time out winner, only 2lb rise must go close, Jack Doughty (5) rides
RINOVATTI (A Watson) last time out C&D winner, Luke Morris rides

8.45 (Winning favs: 34%)
WALTER HARTRIGHT (E Dunlop) improving at a rate of knots now seeking hat-trick, Luke Morris rides 11/8 WINNER
CUBANA HABANA (B Llewellyn) drops from Class 4 to Class 6, Joe Bradnam (7) rides

 Chepstow takes a fair bit of getting. Because it’s so up hill and down dale, stamina has to come into play and it’s also worth noting that the straight is quite long, meaning that some horses start to race a lot earlier than is ideal. If you’re on one that wants to make the running, for example, you’ll often get a few keen to take you on earlier than you might like, so patience is vital for a jockey. Long-striding horses can often go well on the straight track but, as it’s quite stiff, they definitely need to get home - Jason Weaver

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk, and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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