The Racing Horse offers our KEMPTON AW (Polytrack) RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Wednesday 5 August 2026. Details to follow...

WINNING FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo   115-263	44%   -22.17	35-82	  43%	  +6.40
3yo   151-296	51%    -9.64	149-446	  33%	 -21.77
4yo+   35-82	43%    -6.46	236-750   31%	 -57.88
TOTAL 301-641	47%   -38.28	420-1278  33%	 -73.24

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON AW 5 years            +/-   R
Andrew Balding (16%)  90-549   16%   -138.69    +0%   
Charlie Appleby (30%) 76-202   38%    -22.62    +8%   
J & T Gosden (22%)    61-291   21%    -62.39    -1%    
Roger Varian (19%)    54-243   22%    -57.05    +3%   
Ralph Beckett (18%)   49-273   18%    -60.16    +0%

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON AW 5 years             +/-   R
Oisin Murphy (21%)   114-506  23%    -86.80     +2%
Danny Muscutt (13%)   85-592  14%   -171.44     +1%
Rossa Ryan (17%)      79-530  15%    -82.90     -2%
William Buick (24%)   73-238  31%    -35.21     +7%
Billy Loughnane (16%) 65-407  16%    -47.18     +0%   

TOP 5 OWNERS at KEMPTON AW 5 years              +/-   E
Godolphin (27%)	     91-296  31%   -22.80       +4%   
Juddmonte (23%)      23-80   29%   -13.19       +6%          
Opulence Thoro (18%) 17-66   26%    +1.48       +8%          
King Power (13%)     17-98   17%   -13.92       +4%        
Shadwell Est (23%)   15-64   23%   -10.97       +0%

FIXTURES:
Wednesday 5 August 2026
Monday 10 August 2026
Wednesday 12 August 2026
Wednesday 19 August 2026
Wednesday 26 August 2026

WHAT are RACECOURSE TEMPLATES?

UNDERSTANDING NATIONAL AVERAGES

CONFIGURATION: Kempton switched to an all-weather track in 2006 and the surface in use is Polytrack. Kempton is a flat, oval-shaped course with two loops. The inner circuit, used for races over five, nine and ten furlongs is sharp and has a finishing straight of just under two furlongs, favouring the speedy, handy type, particularly over the minimum trip. The turn on the outer course is more sweeping and the straight is almost three furlongs, making for a more straightforward test. Over both five and six furlongs, there is a relatively short run to the first bend.

THE DRAW: The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics - Jason Weaver

FAVOURITES: Our Kempton Racecourse Template offers a substantial sample size, giving the figures genuine weight. Over the past five years, favourites have won 721-1919 for 37.57%, which sits almost 5% above the national average. In non‑handicaps, winning favourites return 301-641 for 47%, while in handicaps they record 420-1278 for 33%, a notable differential of 14%. The strongest category is 3yo favourites in non‑handicaps, scoring 151-296 for a big 51%, whereas the weakest is 4yos and upwards in handicaps, returning 236-750 for 31%.

TRAINERS: Saeed bin Suroor looks likely to be involved at this meeting so a need to differentiate his intentions against that of Charlie Appleby. Details to follow.

Charlie Appleby’s runners at Kempton demand serious consideration. His five‑year record at the track is exceptional, returning 76 winners from 202 runners, a strike‑rate of 38%. The depth of his consistency is even clearer when second places are included: with 36 runners‑up, Appleby has produced 109 first‑ or second‑place finishes from 202, an impressive 54% in the top 2. Incredibly, Appleby has a national average of 30% yet scores 38% on the Kempton AW.

The Racing Horse has operated a system built around these Kempton figures for many years, and there has been no sign of decline or fatigue in the data. Appleby’s performance across the 6 UK all‑weather racecourses this year reinforces the point, offering a reminder of just how potent his string is on synthetic surfaces.

Chelmsford: 0-1 for 0% (-1.00)
Kempton: 5-7 for 71% (+1.95)
Lingfield: 1-1 for 100% (+2.75)
Newcastle: 0-3 for 0% (-3.00)
Southwell: 3-11 for 27% (-3.74)
Wolverhampton: 2-6 for 30% (-2.40)
Total: 11-29 for 38%

As we go to post he has 3 entries for this meeting and we are already digesting our own information. The runners include AL WATHBA 6.50, CERRO BLANCO 7.20 & FORTITUDINE 7.50. Interesting Fortitudine has James Doyle provisionally booked to ride.

JOCKEYS: TBC

OWNERS: Godolphin reign supreme at this racecourse and record more winner than the next 20 owners combined. Details to follow...

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