PACAFI (Wednesday 23 August 2023)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

NAQEEB 7.22 Kempton

 Unibet More Extra Place Races Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 4) 1m3f219y

Pedigree

Seventh foal; half-brother to winners Baaeed (1m-1m2f inc Group 1; RPR 136), Hukum (1m 2yo-1m6f inc AW/Group 1; 128) and Kasbaan (1m-1m2f AW; 105); dam French 1m2f winner (inc Listed; 101), out of 1m3f BC Filly and Mare Turf winner from family of Nashwan

The Racing Horse Composite

Trainer Form: 9-36 for 25%         (10)
National average: 23%              (10)
Course Strike Rate: 18%            (10)
OR & RPR: 92 & 95                  (10)
Optimum Ground: Good               (10)         
Optimum Distance: 1m4f             (10)
Jockey: James Doyle                (10)
National Average: 18%              (10)
Course Strike Rate: 22%            (10)
Trainer & Jockey Combo: 17%        (10)  
Total:                            (100)

Confidence booster

Superbly-bred colt (closely related to top-class pair Baaeed and Hukum) who's going the right way, showing useful form when just edged out at Newmarket last month. This looks an excellent opportunity.

Timeform

  A very thin novice and an excellent opportunity for the progressive NAQEEB. Atlantis Blue is the only realistic threat.

Value

No apologies for taking the 1/3 as the colt will probably start at 1/4

Atlantis Blue traded at a low of 1.18 and Betfair SP of 19.91 when losing last time, a race in which it raced prominently: Naqeeb traded at a low of 1.20 and Betfair SP of 1.66 when losing last time, a race in which it raced prominently.

***

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk, and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *