Chepstow Racecourse Template (Saturday 2 April 2022)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our Chepstow Racecourse Template for Saturday 2 April 2022. There is an 8-race card and the going is expected to be good.

FAVOURITES (5 years)
NON-HANDICAP                     HANDICAP
Hurdle 69-132 for 52%  (+8.61)   40-120 for 33% (+0.35)
Chase   9-27  for 33% (-10.18)   50-152 for 33% (+8.79)
NHF    16-45  for 36%  (-9.24)   0-0
Total  94-204 for 46% (-10.81)   90-272 for 33% (+9.14)

TOP TRAINERS at Chepstow for 2020/2021          +/-   E
P Nicholls (23%): 18-52   35%  (+23.87)        +12%   1   
E Williams (11%):  7-60   12%  (-27.50)         +1%   6   
V Williams (16%):  6-24   25%   (-4.50)         +9%   0    
N Henderson (24%): 4-14   29%   (-0.12)         +5%   1    
D Pipe (12%):      4-17   24%   (+8.25)        +12%   0   

TOP TRAINERS at Chepstow for last 5 seasons     +/-   E
P Nicholls (23%) 50-192   26%  (-14.32)         +3%   1   
E Williams (11%) 29-242   12%  (+16.95)         +1%   6
C Tizzard (13%)  24-190   13%  (-76.21)         +0%   3
P Hobbs (16%)    21-139   15%   (-1.33)         +0%   2 
D Pipe (12%)     17-98    17%   (+7.73)         +5%   0   

TOP JOCKEYS at Chepstow for 2020/2021           +/-   R
H Cobden (20%):   12-36   27%   (-2.41)         +7%   0         
T Scudamore (12%): 7-24   29%  (+10.12)        +17%   0      
J Bowen (14%):     7-31   23%   (+0.45)         +9%   0     
B Carver (14%):    4-21   19%   (-7.67)         +5%   0    
L Pinchin (11%):   3-7    43%   (+5.52)        +32%   0

TOP JOCKEYS at Chepstow for last 5 seasons      +/-   R
H Cobden (20%)    33-145   23%  (-33.35)        +3%   0   
T Scudamore (13%) 21-124   17%   (-6.39)        +4%   0 
A Wedge (12%)     21-171   12%  (+39.08)        +0%   0
S T-Davies (16%)  12-89    13%  (-36.81)        -3%   0
G Sheehan (16%)   11-60    18%   (-9.08)        +2%     

TOP OWNERS for last 5 seasons                   +/-   E     
Mr W Rucker (14%)   13-60  22%  (+57.08)        +8%   0
J P McManus (17%)    8-62  13%   (-8.20)        -4%   0      
K & A Brooks (22%)   7-21  33%   (+5.47)       +11%   0
G Thompson (9%)      5-17  29%  (+16.12)       +19%   0 
D Brace (12%)        5-18  28%  (+14.95)       +16%   0           

HOT TRAINERS 03/02/2022 to 02/04/2022           +/-   E
C Boultbee-Brooks (44%) 5-9   56%   (+7.63)    +12%   1 
R Walford (10%)        4-12   33%  (+17.50)    +23%   2
T Lacey (18%)          9-31   29%   (-4.00)    +11%   5
N Twist-Davies (14%)  16-57   28%  (+10.04)    +14%   1
Dr R Newland (20%)     9-33   27%   (+9.62)     +7%   1

COLD LIST TRAINER  SAW   E
P Hobbs (16%)       24   2

HOT JOCKEYS 03/02/2022 to 02/04/2022            +/-   R
F Lambert (13%)	   4-11	 36%	(+4.80)        +23%   2
L Williams (13%)   4-17	 24%	(+2.00)        +11%   1
C Hammond (11%)	   6-29	 21%	(-2.00)        +10%   3
J O'Neill Jr (16%) 8-40	 20%	(+1.50)         +4%   6
D Bass (16%)	   5-29	 17%	(+3.50)         +1%   3
  
FIXTURES 
Saturday 2 April 2022
Monday 18 April 2022

(%): National Average SAW: Since a win E: Entries R: Rides

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Chepstow show 184-476 for 38.66% and a small loss of -1.67 (last 7 have lost). Best category are winning non-handicap favourites over hurdles, they score 69-132 for 52% (+8.61). Winning favourites in handicaps show 90-272 for 33% (+9.14) so a profit without filtration and a strike rate just above the national average. 

TRAINERS: Five of the top trainers at the track have runners, they include Evan Williams 6, Colin Tizzard 3, Philip Hobbs 2, Paul Nicholls 1 and Nicky Henderson having 1. Evan William (11%) is currently in decent form with 3-11 for 27% which includes a 28/1 winner whilst Colin Tizzard (13%) is 5-17 for 29%.

Philip Hobbs is currently 2-35 for 6% over the past 14 days and now 0-24 over the past 11 days.

Tom Lacey has his horses in great form, March showed 9-31 for 29% (+0.46) and he sends 5 to Chepstow - he must surely have a winner? His record at the course over the past 5 years show 14-58 for 24% (+34.63). His chasers score 5-13 for 38%.

JOCKEYS: Top jockeys at the course are riding elsewhere so we look at those jockey on the hot list and note Jonjo O'Neill has 6 rides! David Bass has 3 rides and so does Charlie Hammond, one imagines a winner or two coming from this trio!

Ben Jones (13%) is 6-21 for 29% (+32.33) at the course this season, he has 3 rides tomorrow.

OWNERS: None of the top owners at the course have an entry.

1.08
HERMES BOY (Mrs J Williams) beaten favourite last time out, Chester Williams rides
TARAHUMARA (E Lavelle) trainer shows profit of £54.98 when one runner on the card and 20% with hurdlers up to 2m2f

1.42
WAYFINDER (R Curtis) trainer shows profit of £35.82 when one runner on the card, winning form on soft ground, Ben Jones rides
CLEMENCIA (T Vaughan) trainer shows profit of £31.87 when using first time headgear, best form on soft ground

2.17
HERON CREEK (Dr R Newland) drops from Class 3 to Class 5, had wind surgery 14 Feb, Charlie Hammond rides
YOU NAME HIM (T Lacey) trainer shows profit of £42 when using first time headgear, well treated on best form, William Kennedy rides

2.52
BENITO (T Lacey) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 21% with hurdlers between 2m2f and 2m6f, Tom Bellamy rides
FLOY JOY (C Tizzard) Bumper winner, signed off last term with improved handicap debut second at Newton Abbot. J O'Neill rides

3.27
TRUMPS BENEFIT (R Potter) 
beaten favourite last time out, fitness to prove, Ben Poste rides
BOLD CONDUCT (R Walford) formerly with C Tizzard, last 4 runs read P3PP, J O'Neill rides

4.02
FILE ILLICO (J O'Neill) 3-6 over fences, up 5lbs but progressive, J O'Neill rides

4.37
GREAT OCEAN (P Hobbs) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 21% with hurdlers up to 2m2f and a profit of £13.50 with hurdling favourites, 
Ben Jones rides
GLORY AND HONOUR (T Lacey) trainer shows profit of £42 when using first time headgear, Tom Bellamy rides
COAL STOCK (C Tizzard) formerly with Harriet Brown, weighted to win 112 > 103, Fergus Gillard rides

5.07
TRACK AND TRACK (J O'Neill) formerly with S Doyle, J O'Neill rides
GINNY'S DESTINY (T Lacey) closely related to God's Own, trainer 9-31 for 29% in March, William Kennedy rides

CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE - MICK FITZGERALD

Record times for Chepstow are very quick, which shows how slick it can be when the ground is fast, but horses can finish strung out like washing when it gets soft. Punters really must take note of conditions then, if they’re having a bet, because horses with stamina limitations can get home when the going is right for them, while it can be a real slog when it’s heavy. The other things to consider seriously are the undulations and the downhill run from the last. If you walk round the course, for example, you’ll be aware that, from several places out in the country, you can’t see the stands. The run-in, on the other hand, is quite steeply downhill, very quick on fast ground, and that’s why you often see horses make a mistake at the final jump.

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose

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