LINGFIELD Racecourse Template
October 13th, 2025
The Racing Horse offers our LINGFIELD AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Thursday22 June 2023. The[...]
KEMPTON Racecourse Template (Wednesday 5 October 2022)
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The Racing Horse offers our powerful and insightful Kempton AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Wednesday 5 October 2022. There is an 8-race card containing 4 Handicaps, a Maiden Fillies' Race, 2 Novice Races and a Conditions Stakes Race. The Polytrack surface is expected to ride standard to slow.
Winning Favourites (5 Years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo 127-303 42% -32.53 40-129 31% -10.67 3yo 131-273 48% -14.48 163-534 31% -69.42 4yo+ 45-116 39% -21.13 260-817 32% -51.81 TOTAL 303-692 44% -68.15 463-1480 31% -131.90 TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for 2021 +/- E R Varian (20%) 17-54 31% +15.08 +11% 1 A Balding (15%) 17-97 18% +58.35 +3% 4 J & T Gosden (21%) 14-69 20% -23.78 -1% 2 C Appleby (29%) 12-45 27% -11.33 -2% 2 W Haggas (22%) 11-45 24% -0.88 +1% 1 TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- E J & T Gosden (21%) 78-330 24% -68.14 +3% 2 R Varian (20%) 67-281 24% -11.58 +4% 1 A Balding (15%) 62-412 15% +39.24 +0% 4 R Hannon (11%) 59-575 10% -175.65 -1% 3 C Appleby (29%) 52-148 35% -24.03 +7% 2 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for 2021 +/- R H Doyle (14%) 31-211 15% -57.14 +1% 0 D Probert (11%) 24-192 13% -4.56 +2% 8 O Murphy (19%) 23-91 25% +1.43 +6% 0 R Kingscote (14%) 22-163 13% -69.00 -1% 3 J Mitchell (16%) 18-109 17% +21.45 +0% 0 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- R O Murphy (19%) 96-513 19% -80.41 +0% 0 D Probert (11%) 85-820 10% -120.74 -1% 8 H Doyle (14%) 80-599 13% -129.85 -1% 0 T Marquand (14%) 78-662 12% -100.45 -2% 6 A Kirby (15%) 69-538 13% -178.23 -2% 0 TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years +/- E Godolphin (24%) 90-326 28% -66.48 +4% 5 Hamdan Al Maktoum (21%) 44-176 25% +47.66 +4% 0 King Power (14%) 25-139 18% -25.43 +5% 2 K Abdullah (25%) 21-89 24% -3.97 -1% 0 Ahmed Al Maktoum (24%) 16-68 24% -9.68 +0% 0 Hot Trainers 05/09/2022 to 04/10/2022 +/- E K Burke (12%) 3-5 60% -1.00 +48% 1 C Appleby (29%) 18-62 29% -0.51 +0% 2 R Varian (20%) 25-98 26% +8.51 +6% 1 S & E Crisford (20%) 10-40 25% +0.88 +5% 1 Cold Trainer SAW E R Hannon (11%) 42 3 Hot Jockeys 05/09/2022 to 04/10/2022 +/- R W Buick (22%) 27-84 32% +25.84 +10% 4 H Crouch (13%) 13-47 28% +9.07 +15% 4 J Fahy (8%) 7-26 27% +12.07 +19% 1 J Crowley (20%) 11-42 26% +6.21 +6% 3 FIXTURES Wednesday 5 October 2022 Wednesday 12 October 2022 Tuesday 18 October 2022 Wednesday 19 October 2022 Wednesday 26 October 2022 (%): NATIONAL AVERAGE SAW: Since a winner E: Entries R: Rides
FAVOURITES: The beauty of the Kempton Racecourse Template is the sample size. It is our biggest aggregation and one we can trust (relatively speaking). Winning favourites at Kempton over the past 5 years show 766-2172 for 35.27% (-200.05) so nicely above the national average. Favourites in non-handicaps win at 44% whilst just 31% in handicaps. The best category for winning favourites at this course is 3yos in non-handicaps showing 131-273 for 48% (-14.48).
TRAINERS: Charlie Appleby (29%) is currently treading ground never walked onto before! In the UK we have John Gosden and grateful for his contribution, now we have Appleby, and he is taking things to another level. We take a look at his Kempton AW figures bearing in mind he often has multiple runners in the same race thus diluting his strike rates:
Current Year: 12-33 for 36% (-10.80) Last 5 Years: 52-148 for 35% (-24.03) All Time: 122-408 for 30% (-18.90)
Appleby has 2 runners for Wednesday and our advice is always the same, if you are not backing one of his runners here, then best not to back against him!
John Gosden (21%) supplies 2 runners in the 4.40 including the favourite KENSINGTON to be ridden by the South African Collen Storey (8%) who is 0-1 at Kempton, this is his second ride for the Gosden team, a race to watch. That said, is the current price of 15/8 lay material?
At the other end of the scale, we have the disappointing Richard Hannon (11%). 
He is on another big losing run and currently 46 runners since a win over the past 14 days. His national average has dropped from 12% and his strike rate is at odds with his expensive ammunition. We can never understand why or how he gets away with it! At Kempton he shows 59-575 for just 10% and a massive loss of -175.65 to level stakes, no other top trainer in the UK has his lowly strike rate figures from a £ to horse ratio/perspective. He has 3 runners tomorrow and Supreme King 6.25 looks the one likeliest to end his dismal run!
JOCKEYS: Leading riders at the track David Probert (11%) has 8 rides whilst Tom Marquand (14%) has 6, one imagines winners coming from this duo. William Buick (22%) has just the 3 rides on this occasion with HIGHER LAW 5.50 looking his best chance of a winner!
OWNERS: Godolphin (24%) have 5 runners, they are FEEL THE MOMENT & BEDOUIN QUEEN 4.40, HIGHER LAW 5.50, TOMOUH 7.00 and MUTAFAWWIG 7.30
King Power (14%) has 2 runners in LIBER POWER 6.25 & SHINE SO BRIGHT 7.30 both trained by Andrew Balding, and a winner beckons.
BY THE WAY: We continually marvel at the skill of Charlie Appleby and what he has brought to Godolphin, but we remind ourselves of Saeed bin Suroor's numbers at this course. His all-time record is sensational showing 156-572 for a massive 27% (+21.74) winning £1,343,716 at the course. He has 3 runners today and should be involved at the business end with horses priced at bigger odds!
4.40
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| JASON WEAVER on KEMPTON
The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics. |