The Racing Horse offers our Ascot Racecourse Template for Saturday 15 October 2022. There is a 6-race card containing 4 Group 1s, a Group 2 and a Handicap. The going is currently good to soft, soft in places.

Winning favourites (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo	23-90   26%   -29.13	2-7	 29%    -2.55
3yo	32-82   39%    +4.12	54-136   40%   +37.34
4yo+	40-101  40%    -0.02	43-151   28%    +9.63
TOTAL	95-273  35%   -25.03	99-294   34%   +44.42

Ascot Top Trainers past 5 years               +/-   E 
J & T Gosden (21%) 49-277   18%   -15.56      -3%   5
W Haggas (22%)     31-199   16%   -66.56      -6%   9
A Balding (15%)    30-286   10%   -61.31      -5%   3
C Appleby (29%)    28-160   18%   -25.74     -11%   5
R Varian (20%)     24-188   13%   -45.55      -7%   6

Ascot Top Jockeys past 5 years                +/-   R 
F Dettori (23%) 38-201   19%    -9.87         -4%   4
R Moore (18%)   37-279   13%   -87.19         -5%   6
W Buick (22%)   32-213   15%   +18.56         -7%   6
J Crowley (20%) 31-209   15%   +13.56         -5%   5   
J Doyle (20%)   24-201   12%   -51.34         -8%   5

Ascot Top Owners past 5 years                 +/-   E
Godolphin (24%)	      38-265  14%   -49.00   -10%   6
H Al Maktoum (21%)    18-123  15%   +12.91    -6%   0
Obaid A Maktoum	(20%) 16-89   18%    +9.89    -2%   2
Shadwell Estate (22%) 14-62   23%    +1.27    +1%   3
K Abdullah (25%)      14-62   23%   +21.18    -2%   0  

Fixtures
Saturday 15 October 2022
Saturday 29 October 2022

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Ascot over the past 5 years show 194-567 for 34.22% yielding a level stake profit of +£19.39. The sample size is robust but contrary at the same time. For winning favourites in handicaps to out-perform those in non-handicaps is very unusual in regard to UK Racecourses but it happens here!

The template reminds us to be wary of backing 2yo favourites in non-handicaps returning a miserable 26% strike rate (way down from the national average), whilst winning 3yo favourites return 86-218 for 39.45% for a profit of +41.46 in both categories. 

TRAINERS: Our +/-% figures prove how hard it is for trainers and jockeys to have winners at this course. Not one of our esteemed top 5 trainers produce a level stake profit at the track and each of them are massively down compared to their national averages!

Tomorrow is a day for the top trainers, opposing them is not a good idea when we talk about Group 1 races. Aidan O'Brien (12%) and Joseph O'Brien (8%) bring 11 runners to Ascot. Many other Irish trainers have also brought runners. Our top 2 trainers Charlie Appleby (29%) and J & T Gosden (21%) both have 5 runners each. As we go to post (2pm Friday), so things could change, Roger Varian (20%) has 6 runners, but William Haggas (22%) has 9. We doubt all of those will race. The top 5 trainers from our leader board have 28 entries.

JOCKEYS: Our top 5 jockeys from the leader board have 26 rides, how many winners from these 5 jockeys from the 6 races?

OWNERS: Our 3 big owners are certain to feature heavily tomorrow. Goldphin (24%) has 6 runners including TRAWLERMAN 1.25, CREATIVE FORCE & NAVAL CROWN 2.00, ETERNAL PEARL 2.40, MODERN GAMES 3.20 and ADAYAR 4.00.

Shadwell Estate (22%) have 3 runners including ESHAADA 2.40, BAAEED 4.00 and MONTATHAM 4.40 and Sheikh Obaid Al Maktoum (20%) has 2 runners, both big outsiders.

BY THE WAY: What chance David O'Meara winning the 4.40 Balmoral Handicap (Class 2)? He has 5 runners they include ESCOBAR, ORBAAN, SHELIR, RHOSCOLYN & BLUE FOR YOU.