FAVOURITES
NON-HANDICAP RACES               HANDICAP RACES
Hurdle 23-55	42%	-7.26	 19-53	  36%	 +4.69
Chase  11-26	42%	-1.06	 20-72	  28%	 -5.29
NHF     5-20	25%	-3.71	
TOTAL  39-101	39%    -12.03	 39-125	  31%	 -0.60

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Aintree (last 5 years)       +/-   E
D Skelton (19%)	  22-141   16%	  +60.50       -3%   4
P Nicholls (24%)  12-86	   14% 	  -19.71      -10%   4
N Henderson (22%) 12-98	   12%	  -58.30      -10%   4
O Murphy (17%)	  10-60	   17%	  -11.75       +0%   1
N T-Davies (13%)   7-62	   11%	  -27.75       -2%   2

HOT TRAINERS 14/03/2023 to 12/04/2023          +/-   E
T Ellis (28%)   17-32	53%	+2.89         +25%   1
G L Moore (16%)	23-78	30%	-0.17         +14%   2
O Murphy (17%)	23-88	26%	-1.75          +9%   1
S Thomas (18%)	6-24	25%	-3.38          +7%   3

COLD LIST TRAINERS   SAW                             E
H De Bromhead (15%)   25   13 days                   4
J Scott (13%)	      23   40 days                   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Aintree (last 5 years)        +/-   R 
H Skelton (22%)	 22-118	  19%	 +80.50        -3%   1
A Coleman (18%)	 13-64	  20%	 +25.00        +2%   1
S T-Davies (15%) 11-80	  14%	 -19.29        -1%   3
S Bowen (17%)    10-65	  15%	  -9.75        -2%   1
B Hughes (19%)	 10-86	  12%	  -6.62        -7%   3

HOT JOCKEYS 14/03/2023 to 12/04/2023                 R
J Codd (26%)	 6-14	 43%	+14.80               1
W Biddick (26%)	10-24	 42%	 +5.98               1
D O'Connor (15%) 9-31	 29%	 +1.97               1
B O'Neill (15%)	11-38	 29%	 -2.82               1      

COLD LIST JOCKEYS       SAW                          R
S Houlihan (6%)	         20   15 days                1
R Blackmore (15%)	 19   12 days                3
B Hughes (19%)           16   11 days                3

TOP 5 OWNERS at Aintree (last 5 years)         +/-   E
J P McManus (17%)   14-91   15%	   -0.71       -2%   4
T Hemmings (15%)     7-34   21%	  +14.80       +6%   0
Munir & Souede (18%) 5-40   13%	  -17.20       -5%   2
P & C Rooney (14%)   4-10   40%	   +8.94      +26%   0
B Barrett (21%)	     3-5    60%	   +6.10      +39%   0

Fixtures
Thursday 13 April 2023
Friday 14 April 2023
Saturday 15 April 2023

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites across the board at Aintree show 78-226 for 34.51% and a level stake loss of -£12.63 to a £1 stake. Winning favourites in non-handicaps score 39-101 for 39%, whilst winning favourites in handicaps record 39-125 for 31% and a small level stake loss of -£0.60. Tomorrow looks a good day for first and second favourites, at least on paper!

TRAINERS: Placing horses to win at Aintree is not an easy task according to the figures. Both Paul Nicholls (24%) and Nicky Henderson (22%) score 10% lower than their respective national averages. In the past 14 days Nicholls shows 7-22 for 32% whilst Henderson shows 4-20 for 20%.

Only Olly Murphy (17%) manages to replicate his national average at Aintree, albeit from a small 60-runner sample. He scores 8-34 for 24% over the past 14 days and SHE'S A FINE WINE 5.15 runs tomorrow for a place chance.

Paul Nicholls (24%) and Nicky Henderson (22%) are certain to have winners tomorrow and provide at least 3 of the 7 winners. Willie Mullins (12% UK) has 6 runners and could get on the scoresheet also. These look the 3 trainers to follow for this 7-race card!

JOCKEYS: Harry Cobden (23%) now has 3 good rides and will be seeking a win, whilst Harry Skelton (22%) is top jockey at Aintree but conspicuously has just 1 ride.

Nico de Boinville (22%) has 4 rides and a glorious chance of a fabulous win double in a 35-minute time frame, but he will have to get the tactics right on Shishkin. His figures of 7-51 for 14% at Aintree over the past 5 years must be considered disappointing, especially if we compare them against his peers! In part-mitigation his all-time figures at the course show 18-106 for 17% and an easier figure to look at. Shishkin has been nominated as a Pacafi, but we urge a positive ride from Nico. Surely he will take an early sit, relax his horse, find a rhythm, then go for a home and use his stamina at the appropriate time. BUT - within this remit Shishkin wants room, he does not want to be crowded and Nico must forget the rail. We are absolutely convinced he does not enjoy bustle. If Nico took the rail it would render our words worthless and -1pt in our profit and loss account!

A Plus Tard has a tough task to overcome figures of PP, an interrupted campaign, not a course winner and no win since March last year, then win despite that. Ahoy Senor fell last time, can be hit and miss, and has been solidly beaten in his last two Grade 1s. He is a course winner and a genuine stayer and if his jumping under pressure holds up, looks sure to be involved at the business end and just rates the danger.

It is going to be a great race, we just need the commensurate ride! Within our rationale the 2/1 looks north of perceived value. Henderson confirmed: "Shishkin is in good form and I've been very happy with the way he's come on. He didn't jump very well at Cheltenham but he's certainly schooled very well. I'm very happy with him and I'm looking forward to going three miles. I hope it will be ideal for him."

OWNERS: J P McManus (17%) has 4 entries including SAINT ROI 1.45, ZENTA 2.20, EPATANTE 3.30 & JOLIE COUER ALLEN 5.15. All four could be placed at least.

RED FLAG: When is a trainer deemed to be on the cold list? The last 14 days show Henry De Bromhead (15%) just 1-30 for 3%. He is currently 0-22 for April with just one second place, and 0-25 over the past 13 days. Generally speaking, these numbers would be of some concern, but those figures are in sharp contrast to March, which showed 8-37 for 22% and 7 second places.  He has 4 runners tomorrow and hard to spot an obvious winner, they include A PLUS TARD 2.55, DANCING ON MY OWN & DEFAN  4.40 and JULY FLOWER 5.15. Consequently, this losing run has contributed to Rachael Blackmore's losing run of 0-19 over a period of 12 days.