The Racing Horse offers our Sandown Racecourse Template for Friday 7 July 2023. There is a 7-race card including 3 Listed Races, 3 Handicaps and a Novice Race. The going is expected to be good.
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WINNING FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap Handicap
2yo 34-78 44% -2.96 8-13 62% +7.08
3yo 18-41 44% -0.36 47-159 30% -29.41
4yo+ 12-27 44% -1.53 32-95 34% +5.59
TOTAL 64-146 44% -4.85 87-267 33% -16.74
TOP 5 TRAINERS at SANDOWN for past 5 years +/- R
C Appleby (29%) 22-78 28% -7.78 -1% 2
A Balding (15%) 22-169 13% -53.60 -2% 2
W Haggas (23%) 18-81 22% +12.12 -1% 0
J & T Gosden (21%) 16-75 21% -29.01 +0% 1
M Stoute (20%) 13-74 18% -5.04 -2% 2
HOT TRAINERS 07/06/2023 to 06/07/2023 +/- E
M Prescott (17%) 10-27 37% -1.56 +20% 1
C Appleby (29%) 17-51 33% -5.32 +4 2
O Burrows (20%) 4-16 25% +3.21 +5% 1
H & R Charlton (16%) 10-44 23% +4.93 +7% 1
COLD TRAINERS SAW E
M Loughnane (8%) 37 42 days 1
S C Williams (11%) 23 19 days 1
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at SANDOWN for past 5 years +/- R
O Murphy (19%) 34-172 20% -32.37 +1% 0
W Buick (22%) 33-150 22% -2.19 +0% 4
R Moore (18%) 22-112 20% -11.00 +2% 5
F Dettori (23%) 20-60 33% +5.39 +10% 0
T Marquand (15%) 20-124 16% +14.85 +1% 3
HOT JOCKEYS 07/06/2023 to 06/07/2023 +/- R
R Moore (18%) 20-72 28% -3.18 +10% 5
G Rooke (8%) 7-28 25% +1.50 +17% 1
COLD LIST JOCKEY SAW R
L Morris (9%) 30 10 days 1
TOP 5 OWNERS at SANDOWN for past 5 years +/- E
Godolphin (25%) 27-115 23% -10.90 -2% 2
Shadwell Estate (24%) 8-31 26% +8.16 -2% 0
Juddmonte (23%) 6-22 27% +10.00 +4% 2
Cheveley Park (17%) 6-33 18% +13.50 +1% 0
King Power (14%) 6-48 13% -25.25 -1% 2
FIXTURES
Friday 7 July 2023
Saturday 8 July 2023
E: Entries R: Rides SAW: Since a win
RACECOURSE TEMPLATES explained
What is a NATIONAL AVERAGE?
COURSE: Right handed, oval-shaped course 13f in length with a straight of ½ a mile. Essentially a fair, galloping course which places the emphasis on stamina courtesy of a gradual climb from the home turn. On soft ground the jockeys sometimes tack across to the stand side in the straight and this can lead to horses racing wide apart. The 5f track runs across the main circuit and rises steadily throughout.
FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Sandown over the past 5 years show 151-413 for 36.56 (-21.59) so at around 4% above the national average. Winning favourites in non-handicaps score 64-146 for 44% and a loss of -4.85 whilst those in handicaps score 87-267 for 33% (-16.74).
TRAINERS: Four of the top five trainers at the course have runners and multiple winners beckon.
JOCKEYS: Three of the top UK jockeys look to dominate the meeting and an aspect we find very intriguing. Ryan Moore (18%) has 5 rides, William Buick (22%) has 4 and Tom Marquand (15%) has 3. The next two days at this course could be the Buick v Moore show! Arc winning jockey Luke Morris might disagree and goes to Sandown for one ride on MISS CYNTHIA 4.50 for Mark Prescott.
OWNERS: Godolphin (25%) have 2 runners in YIBIR 3.05 & ARABIAN CROWN 3.40 both trained by Charlie Appleby.
Juddmonte (23%) have 2 runners in STARLORE 3.40 & LIABLE 4.50 and both trained by Michael Stoute.
King Power (14%) also have 2 runners in SERGEANT WILKO 2.30 & NOTRE BELLE BETE 4.15 and trained by Kevin Ryan and Andrew Balding respectively.
RED FLAG: The Racing Horse believes William Buick is the best jockey in the UK. His national average is 23% and in the past 5 years and in the UK alone he has won a staggering £18,192,921 for his owners. Over the course of the two-day meeting at Sandown he has 11 rides, 4 on Friday and a full book of 7 on Saturday, and he is going to ride winners! Some members will not like the prices and some will oppose him, we will not oppose! A conservative estimate is for him to ride 4 winners over the 2 days. His rides on Friday include BORN TO ROCK 2.30, YIBIR 3.05, ARABIAN CROWN 3.40 & NOTRE BELLE BETE 4.15. On Saturday he rides EQUALITY 1.50, SILENT FILM 2.25, BRIDESTONES 3.00, EMILY UPJOHN 3.40, HONITON 4.15, NEW BUSINESS 4.50 & ORCHESTRA 5.25
At Sandown his 5-year record shows 33-150 for 22% (-2.20). He is riding beautifully at the moment winning 15 of his last 43 rides for 35%. Yes, but at what prices we hear some say? At 8/1, 3/1, 7/1, 4/1, 5/6, 11/8, 4/1, 4/5, 5/6, 2/1, 7/4, 11/2, 13/8, 5/2 & 6/4. The shortest price was 4/5.
The Racing Horse also believes the vast majority of bettors do not factor or fully appreciate the importance of jockey bookings, we express our views here.
PERTINENCE
1.55
KORKER (K Burke) back to his smart best when second at Newcastle last week, Tom Marquand rides
CLARENDON HOUSE (R Cowell) pulled too hard in Listed event at Haydock last time, first time tongue strap, Billy Loughnane (3) rides
2.30
BORN TO ROCK (J Chapple-Hyam) cost plenty at the breeze-ups, good time figure when making winning start in Yarmouth Maiden back in May, William Buick rides and 21% at Sandown and 39% on favourites
KYLIAN (K Burke) stepped forward with Newcastle AW win, more to come, red hot jockey Ryan Moore rides
3.05
YIBIR (C Appleby) drops from Group 1 to Listed, trainer 29% national average and 28% at Sandown, should be too good for these, William Buick rides and 21% at the course and 39% on favourites. PACAFI STATUS!
OCEAN WIND (R Teal) beaten favourite last time out, first time blinkers, Jim Crowley rides
3.40
ARABIAN CROWN (C Appleby) trainer 29% national average and 28% at Sandown, William Buick rides and 21% at the course
HAPPY CHANDLER (O Burrows) trainer +£10.03 when one runner at a meeting, Jim Crowley rides
4.15
NOTRE BELLE BETE (A Balding) red hot trainer, now a 5yo but highly tried as a 3yo, William Buick rides and 21% at the course
SAGA (J & T Gosden) not straightforward and yet to win above a Class 3 and now 1-11, red hot jockey Ryan Moore rides
4.50
PERCY JONES (M Loughnane) weighted to win 80 > 76, Billy Loughnane rides
MISS CYNTHIA (M Prescott) trainer 25% with horses 10f+ and 24% in mid-season, Luke Morris rides
LIABLE (M Stoute) pedigree suggests he's better than shown, so notable handicap debutant, red hot jockey Ryan Moore rides.
5.25
LUNA MAGIC (A Watson) weighted to win 72 > 63, Brodie Hampson rides
GOLDSMITH (A Haynes) dual AW winner during winter though 0-5 on turf, represents last year's winning trainer and jockey combinations so cannot discount, Fern O'Brien rides
BRILLIANT BLUE (G Moore) 0-14 but shaped well on his first 2 starts of the season, chance on those runs, Georgina Gibson rides
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| There’s no doubt it’s a big advantage being on the far rail up Sandown’s sprint course and a lot of horses drawn badly, even in medium-sized fields, fail to get into contention. It can be tricky in a finish, too, with a lot happening in the final furlong, and there’s no surprise that it lends itself to front-runners. They always seem to go quick down the back on the round course, and it’s quite a long way from the bottom of the hill to the winning post, but horses really stretch out on that kind final rise to the line - Jason Weaver |
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