LEADING TRAINER:

HENRY DE BROMHEAD 6
WILLIE MULLINS 5
GORDON ELLIOTT 5
NICKY HENDERSON 2
PAUL NICHOLLS 0
TOTAL: 18

GAVIN CROMWELL 2
SUE SMITH 1
NOEL MEADE 1
PAUL HENNESSY 1
JONJO O'NEILL 1
PAUL NOLAN 1
EMMET MULLINS 1
P FAHEY 1
W BIDDICK 1
TOTAL: 10

Last year, we told members: "It is not a secret who the best National Hunt trainers are, and confidently predict that Willie Mullins, Nicky Henderson, Gordon Elliott and Paul Nicholls will train at least half of the winners. We also predicted continued success for Henry De Bromhead and added him to the elite."

We continued: "Reality dictates they will be SUCCESSFUL in 12 to 16 of the 27 RACES, these numbers are concrete and irrelevant of media noise. The number 12 is a conservative estimate or a worst-case scenario figure."

So how accurate was our forecast? The Big Four won 19 of the 27 bona fide races for 70.37%. We also predicted continued success for fifth seed Henry De Bromhead and he saddled 2 more winners, so in effect finding the winning trainers for 21 of the 27 races for a 77.78% strike rate.

This year the trainers only won 18 of the races for 64% because there was disappointments, with the biggest being Paul Nicholls who did not have a single winner. Nicky Henderson under-achieved with just 2 winners. One would have expected those two to have registered 3 or 4 winners. For us Willie Mullins fell short also due to a number of seconds and one or two poor rides. The runners from the Gordon Elliott and Henry De Bromhead yards held up.

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2021 CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL (Home Page)

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