KEMPTON AW Racecourse Template (Wednesday 1 May 2024)
April 30th, 2024
The Racing Horse offers our Kempton AW Racecourse Template for Wednesday 1 May 2024. There is a 7-ra[...]
KEMPTON AW Racecourse Template (Wednesday 17 January 2024)
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The Racing Horse offers our Kempton AW Racecourse Template for Wednesday 17 January 2024. There is currently a 6-race card containing 5 Handicaps and a Maiden Race. The Polytrack surface is expected to ride standard to slow.
Winning Favourites (5 Years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo 104-265 39% -47.86 38-104 37% +3.21 3yo 118-239 49% -8.38 125-412 30% -53.93 4yo+ 41-97 42% -7.89 200-660 30% -83.96 TOTAL 263-601 44% -64.13 363-1176 31% -134.68 TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- E Andrew Balding (15%) 69-436 16% -3.11 +1% 1 Charlie Appleby (29%) 60-185 32% -36.23 +3% 0 Roger Varian (20%) 58-238 24% -18.35 +4% 0 Richard Hannon (11%) 45-404 11% -94.75 +0% 0 J & T Gosden (21%) 40-196 20% -38.32 -1% 0 TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON 2023 +/- E Andrew Balding (15%) 25-142 18% -14.90 +3% 1 Charlie Appleby (29%) 16-46 35% +2.27 +6% 0 Roger Varian (20%) 16-66 24% -6.81 +4% 0 James Fanshawe (14%) 14-61 23% +0.75 +9% 0 J & T Gosden (21%) 14-65 22% -12.26 +1% 0 HOT TRAINERS 18/12/23 to 16/01/24 +/- E J R Jenkins (6%) 4-12 33% +12.50 +27% 1 G Scott (13%) 3-9 33% +17.00 +20% 1 B Millman (12%) 4-15 27% +32.00 +15% 1 H Palmer (14%) 6-23 26% -1.00 +12% 1 Jack Jones (16%) 4-16 25% +6.75 +9% 1 Dylan Cunha (12%) 3-13 23% -0.38 +11% 3 O Murphy (17%) 14-64 22% -2.56 +5% 1 G Boughey (17%) 8-37 22% -1.00 +5% 2 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- R David Probert (12%) 84-692 12% -29.26 +0% 3 Oisin Murphy (19%) 71-364 20% -43.22 +1% 0 Daniel Muscutt (13%) 69-521 13% -106.13 +0% 2 Hollie Doyle (15%) 67-471 14% -100.80 -1% 0 William Buick (23%) 65-294 22% -67.69 -1% 0 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON 2023 +/- R Oisin Murphy (19%) 32-156 21% -15.86 +2% 0 David Probert (12%) 23-147 16% +75.85 +4% 3 Daniel Muscutt (13%) 22-147 15% -48.67 +2% 2 William Buick (23%) 21-89 24% -15.07 +1% 0 Rossa Ryan (16%) 18-128 14% -29.53 -2% 3 HOT JOCKEYS 18/12/23 to 16/01/24 +/- R Finley Marsh (13%) 9-47 19% +147.83 +6% 1 David Probert (12%) 10-55 18% -4.68 +6% 3 Callum Shepherd (11%) 13-73 18% +17.00 +7% 2 Rossa Ryan (16%) 15-86 17% -16.86 +1% 3 COLD JOCKEY SAW R Harry Burns (10%) 51 144 days 2 Christian Howarth (8%) 42 67 days 1 Josephine Gordon (7%) 33 52 days 2 Joey Haynes (6%) 31 55 days 2 Rob Hornby (11%) 20 26 days 3 TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years +/- E Godolphin (25%) 88-318 28% -67.40 +3% 0 King Power (13%) 20-118 17% -31.19 +4% 0 Shadwell Est (24%) 18-62 29% +10.88 +5% 0 Hamdan Maktoum (21%) 14-66 21% +57.68 +0% 0 Amo Racing (17%) 13-53 25% +23.30 +8% 0 FIXTURES: Wednesday 17 January 2024 Monday 22 January 2024 Wednesday 24 January 2024 Saturday 27 January 2024 FORTHCOMING RACECOURSE TEMPLATES: Wolverhampton AW (Friday 19 January 2024) Lingfield AW (Saturday 20 January 2024)
Making a profit from betting on horses is a most difficult undertaking and makes particular demands of individuals. A mentality equipped with good information, attitude, determination, repeatable mathematical processes and probabilities are still not enough, if you do not have the discipline, emotional and money management skills needed to underpin them. |
CONFIGURATION: Kempton is a right-handed, Polytrack, flat, oval-shaped course with two loops. The inner circuit, used for races over 5f and 10f is sharp and has a finishing straight of just under 2f, favouring the speedy, handy type, markedly so over the minimum trip. The turn on the outer course is more sweeping and the straight is approximately 3f long, making for a fairer test. Over both 5f and 6f, there is a relatively short run to the first bend.
FAVOURITES: Kempton Racecourse Template offers us a huge sample giving the figures some substance! Winning favourites at the course over the past 5-years show 626-1777 for 35.23% and a level stake loss of -209.81. Non-handicap winning favourites score at 44% as opposed to handicap favourites who score at 31% for a 13% differential.
BEST CATEGORY: 3yo NON-HANDICAPS 116-236 for 49% (-9.96)
WORST CATEGORY: 3yo HANDICAPS 125-410 for 30% (-51.93)
TRAINERS: Only Andrew Balding (15%) from our leader board has an interest at this meeting and he sends SUPERB FORCE 6.30 to run in the Maiden Race where the advice is to dismiss his debut run.
Interesting we have 8 hot trainers scoring 22% to 33% over the past month or so and they combine to have 11 entries and this looks a source of winners for this meeting and our angle into the meeting!
JOCKEYS: David Probert (12%) is top jockey at the course and he has 3 rides including LIBERTY BAY 5.30, MACANUDO 6.30 & FITZROVIA 7.30.
Rossa Ryan also has 3 rides including SECRET ATTACK 6.30, HAND JIVE 7.00 & WADACRE GRACE 8.00
There are 5 jockeys on the cold list now showing an aggregate of 0-177 over periods ranging from 20-144 days and they have 10 rides between them.
OWNERS: None of our top owners at Kempton have a runner tomorrow.
BY THE WAY: Our horse PENTLAND HILLS has been entered on Saturday in the 2.50 Taunton Stables Business Park Seniors' Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) over 2m3f so more news on Friday night...
PERTINENCE5.30 (Winning favs: 30%)
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| The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics - Jason Weaver |