The Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m3f200y

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment
13February2021

The Close Brothers Mares' Hurdle was known as the David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle until 2011 and is a Grade 1 race open to mares of 4yo and older. It is to be ran on the Old Course over a distance of 2m3f200y with nine hurdles to be jumped.

There is not very much information we can share regarding this race and because of Quevaga (won the race six times), there is not an average profile for the winner. In addition to Quevega’s six wins, five of which were first time out, meaning we are struggling for worthwhile race guides.

2021 CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL (Home Page)

3.40: (Old) Close Brothers Mares' Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m3f200y

13/13: Raced in Graded company (100%)
13/13: No more than 5 runs that season (100%)
12/12: At least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs (100%)
12/12: At least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs (100%)
11/11: Rated 142+ (100%)
11/11: Top 4 in the betting (100%)

11/12: At least 5 previous runs over hurdles (92%)
11/12: Came from top 3 in betting (92%)
11/12: At least 3 previous wins over hurdles (92%)
10/11: Trained in Ireland (92%)

10/12: Aged 5-7yo (83%)
10/12: Rated 150 or higher (83%)
10/12: Won in a Grade 1-3 race (83%)
10/12: At least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs (83%)
10/12: At least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs (83%)
..9/12: Won last race (75%)
..7/12: Winning favourites (58%)..

  • Willie Mullins has won the race 7 times in the last 10 for 70%
  • Willie Mullins has won this race 9 times from 12 for 75% 
  • Winning favourites in non handicap hurdles: 44-113 for 39% ACE TYPE

 Recurrence Factor

The top 6 trends show a recurrence factor of 72/72 for 100% whilst the top 10 show 115/119 for 96.64%.
  Today's Pacafi: click here

The Racing Horse Verdict

Concertista is the current favourite and she won the Mares Novice at the Festival last year and is 2 from 2 this year in graded company. She looks the most likely of the Mullins horses to take her place in the line up for this but she does also have Champion Hurdle and Mares Chase entries.

1: CONCERTISTA 5/4 (2nd)
2: Dam De Compagnie 12/1 (9th)
3: Roksana 3/1 (3rd) 

Concertista is on an upward curve and she should prove too speedy and talented for her rivals. She is a top price of 5/4 and the suggestion is that is a great price, she must start as the odds-on favourite.

She’s in great form. The way she handled the track last year was fantastic. We changed how we worked her just before Cheltenham last year and so we’ve done that from the start this year. We’ve probably got the right way to train her  Willie Mullins
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