PACAFI (Thursday 16 April 2026)
April 15th, 2026
THE UNTAMED 2.00 Ripon at 2.68 (Betfair) 1pt win
Trainer Form: 5-34 for 15% (10)
National Aver[...]
DONCASTER RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Saturday 6 November 2021)
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The Racing Horse offers our powerful and insightful Doncaster Racecourse Template for Saturday 6 November 2021 where we have contextual and pertinent numbers collated on one page. There is an 8-race card including 4 handicaps (one of those an apprentice race), 2 maiden races and 2 Listed races. The going is expected to be soft.
DONCASTER FAVOURITES (5 years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo: 58-134 for 43% (+2.11) 10-31 for 32% (+1.44) 3yo: 50-105 for 48% (+0.68) 80-210 for 38% (+16.16) 4yo+: 19-47 for 40% (-5.76) 69-262 for 26% (-34.27) Total: 127-286 for 44% (-2.97) 159-503 for 32% (-16.67) TOP 5 TRAINERS at Doncaster for current year +/- E J & T Gosden (21%): 12-42 for 29% (+5.44) +8% 1 Richard Hannon (12%): 9-61 for 15% (+11.05) +3% 0 Roger Varian (20%): 8-35 for 23% (-6.48) +3% 1 Charlie Appleby (28%): 7-21 for 33% (+4.20) +5% 1 Charles Hills (13%): 6-15 for 40% (+26.75) +27% 0 TOP 5 TRAINERS at Doncaster last 5 years +/- E Roger Varian (20%): 40-172 for 23% (-29.02) +3% 1 Richard Hannon (12%): 35-303 for 12% (-57.35) +0% 0 Richard Fahey (11%): 27-353 for 8% (-127.05) -3% 6 William Haggas (23%): 23-112 for 21% (-4.68) -2% 7 Mark Johnston (15%): 23-171 for 13% (-34.27) -2% 1 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Doncaster for current year +/- R William Buick (21%): 11-34 for 32% (+4.51) +11% 0 Dane O'Neill (15%): 6-24 for 25% (+14.75) +10% 0 Ryan Moore (15%): 6-26 for 23% (-8.73) +8% 0 Jack Mitchell (15%): 6-30 for 20% (+12.10) +5% 2 Robert Havlin (16%): 5-18 for 28% (+2.97) +12% 1 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Doncaster last 5 years +/- R Andrea Atzeni (16%): 32-177 for 18% (-61.51) +2% 0 William Buick (21%): 30-136 for 22% (-3.45) +1% 0 Ryan Moore (15%): 29-119 for 24% (-9.99) +9% 0 P J McDonald (13%): 25-177 for 14% (+28.87) +1% 3 Daniel Tudhope (17%): 24-164 for 15% (-19.67) -2% 0 TOP 5 OWNERS at Doncaster last 5 years +/- E Godolphin (24%): 35-144 for 24% (-1.15) +0% 1 Hamdan Al Maktoum (20%): 26-119 for 22% (-14.24) +2% - M Obaid Al Maktoum (20%): 22-77 for 29% (+0.03) +9% 0 Shadwell Estate (21%): 11-33 for 33% (+26.99) +12% 2 Cheveley Park Stud (17%): 11-66 for 17% (-32.28) +0% 2 Hot Trainer 07/10/2021 to 06/11/2021 +/- E C Appleby (28%): 16-52 for 30.8% (-2.02) +3% 1 R Varian (20%): 13-62 for 21.0% (+1.74) +1% 1 H Candy (12%): 4-20 for 20.0% (+3.00) +8% 1 S & E Crisford (19%): 8-41 for 19.5% (+3.25) +1% 1 Trainers Cold List E D C Griffiths (8%): 61 1 M Channon (11%): 33 3 Sir M Prescott (17%): 25 1 J R Jenkins (5%): 22 2 T Kent (9%): 23 1 David Evans (10%): 22 2 Hot Jockey 07/10/2021 to 06/11/2021 +/- R Jim Crowley (19%): 11-40 for 27.5% (+51.53) +9% 4 C Rodriguez (13%): 10-48 for 20.8% (-3.88) +8% 2 Louis Steward (10%): 4-23 for 17.4% (+10.20) +7% 1 Cieren Fallon (13%): 9-53 for 17.0% (-6.00) +4% 2 Tom Marquand (13%): 19-117 for 16.2% (+8.25) +3% 6 Jockeys Cold List R Duran Fentiman (7%): 43 4 Robbie Colgan (5%): 39 2 Jane Elliott (9%): 30 1 Jack Mitchell (15%): 26 2 Lorenzo Atzori (4%): 26 1 Next fixtures Saturday 6 November 2021 Friday 26 November 2021 Saturday 27 November 2021 (%): National Average E: Entries R: Rides
- FAVOURITES: Overall winning favourites at Doncaster show 286-789 for 36.25% and a level stake loss of -19.64 so above the national average! Juvenile favourites in non-handicaps show 108-239 for 45.19% and make a profit to level stakes of +2.79, so good housekeeping could have improved those figures substantially and produced a profit. Worst category is the 4yos+ in handicaps showing 69-262 for 26% (-34.27) which is considerably below the national average.
- TRAINERS: William Haggas brings 7 horses to Doncaster and looks almost certain to score, Tim Easterby brings 10 with neighbour Richard Fahey running 6 - could be a big price winner amongst those 16?
- TRAINER COLD LIST: Two trainers on the cold list are Sir Mark Prescott (25) and David Evans (22) and the suggestion is they will come off the list within the next week or so.
- JOCKEYS: Most of our top jockeys are in America riding so these televised races are up for grabs. David Probert is 10-51 for 20% in the last 14 days (has 5 rides), but Tom Marquand is 11-51 for 21% (+25.25) in the same time frame (6 rides). More winners expected.
- JOCKEY COLD LIST: Jack Mitchell is currently 0-26 and has 2 rides tomorrow. Hollie Doyle is having a quiet time recently and now 0-17, she has 6 rides and could surprise at a big price! November shows 2-25 for just 8% against her national average of 14%. She will come back into form and ride a treble soon...
- OWNERS: Godolphin are 24% at the course (+0.84) over the past 5 years and 23% all time (147-651 for 23% -20.07 for 5 years, and 147-651 for 23% -20.07 for all time).
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11.50 12.20 12.55 1.25 2.05 2.40 3.10 3.45 |
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NATIONAL AVERAGE Please note the percentages in brackets, they are the national averages for each trainer, jockey or owner over the past 5 years. Comparing current form or course form against that of the national average is our preferred measuring tool, the math suggests a factual position, not one of bias. Besides, the higher the national average, with respect to the other trainers, the greater chance of success. The higher the trainer's success rate, the more likely the horse is to win. For example we look at the 3.10 Doncaster Maiden Stakes Race 6f (2yo) where 10 runners from 10 different trainers compete. We set aside the names of the horses for a moment and look at the trainer's national averages, they show: William Haggas 23%, Sir Mark Prescott 17%, Andrew Balding 15%, Ed Walker 14%, Eve Johnson-Houghton 12%, Mick Appleby 11%, Tim Easterby 10%, Bryan Smart 9%, Dominic Ffrench Davis 7%, and J R Jenkins 5%. Who would/could consider backing a 2yo juvenile trained by one who scores at less 11%? Of the 10 runners we can remove 5 of them as pretenders. The 1-2-3 of this race will come from the other 5 runners, from there we can search perceived win or place value or even exotics. It is our view the first three will come from 4 horses, they are HEBRIDES, KING ALFRED, OASIS GIFT and TARATARI. We will check the result at 3.20pm tomorrow... |
| JASON WEAVER - DONCASTER RACECOURSE
There are not many fairer courses than Doncaster, which is a lovely, virtually flat, galloping track. You do climb briefly, up and over Rose Hill, but, for the most part, it’s beautifully smooth to ride, a good, solid test of a horse. There can be one or two hard-luck stories, especially on the round course, when lots of runners are still in contention late on, and that’s where jockeyship comes in. I liked to be on the stands’ side on the straight course, but either side is fine, just as long as you’re not far off a rail. |
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