LINGFIELD RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Monday 3 January 2022)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our LINGFIELD RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Monday, Tuesday, Friday & Saturday next week. We will also offer one template from another meeting (to be decided). Tomorrow there is a 7-race card containing 5 handicaps and 2 maidens. The going is expected to be standard.

Winning favourites (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo    62-141 for 44%  (+4.21)	  9-42   for 21%  (-16.73)
3yo   115-240 for 48% (-12.11)	122-391  for 31%  (-52.28)
4yo+   67-130 for 52% (+13.23)	240-753  for 32%  (-65.04)
Total 244-511 for 48%  (+5.33)	371-1186 for 31% (-134.05)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at LINGFIELD for 2021                +/-   E
Mark Johnston (15%)   13-78 for 17% (-7.48)         +2%   0
Archie Watson (17%)   12-54 for 22% (-8.01)         +5%   0
Stuart Williams (12%) 11-45 for 24% (+9.60)        +12%   1
Gary Moore (14%)      11-65 for 17% (+3.36)         +3%   1
Roger Varian (20%)    10-31 for 32% (-8.91)        +12%   0

TOP 5 TRAINERS at LINGFIELD for past 5 years        +/-   E 
Archie Watson (17%)  60-271 for 22%  (-9.08)        +5%   0
Mark Johnston (15%)  57-300 for 19% (-10.13)        +4%   0
John Gosden (21%)    47-161 for 29%  (+3.27)        +8%   0
Richard Hannon (12%) 46-325 for 14% (-68.84)        +2%   3
Gary Moore (14%)     32-254 for 13% (-37.56)        -1%   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at LINGFIELD for 2021                 +/-   R 
Adam Kirby (15%)        26-106 for 25%  (+24.34)   +10%   0
Richard Kingscote (14%) 22-104 for 21%   (-3.76)    +7%   0
David Probert (11%)     21-132 for 16% (+135.62)    +5%   7
Hollie Doyle (14%)      21-147 for 14%  (-30.15)    +0%   7
Luke Morris (9%)        18-199 for  9%  (-29.57)    +0%   5

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at LINGFIELD for past 5 years         +/-   R
Luke Morris (9%)    73-687 for 11% (-119.98)        +2%   5   
Adam Kirby (15%)    71-429 for 17%  (-98.44)        +2%   0
Hollie Doyle (14%)  70-444 for 16%  (-90.20)        +2%   7
Tom Marquand (14%)  59-385 for 15%  (-24.83)        +1%   0
David Probert (11%) 59-469 for 13%  (+30.00)        +2%   7 
 
TOP 5 OWNERS at LINGFIELD for past 5 years          +/-   E 
Godolphin (24%)         37-138 for 27% (-27.07)     +3%   0
Hamdan Al Maktoum (21%) 22-85  for 26% (-10.72)     +5%   0
S bin A Maktoum (15%)   17-66  for 26% (+25.67)    +11%   0
King Power Racing (14%) 14-75  for 19% (-32.17)     +5%   0
J Dalmook Maktoum (19%) 13-45  for 29% (+48.25)    +10%   1
 
HOT TRAINERS 01/12/2021 to 30/12/2021               +/-   E 
W Haggas (22%)     8-22 for 36% (+1.07)            +14%   2
S C Williams (12%) 5-23	for 22% (-4.87)            +10%   1
G L Moore (14%)   15-77	for 20% (-2.00)             +6%   1

TRAINERS COLD LIST   E
L Carter (5%)   63   1
M Attwater (5%) 51   3
J-R Auvray (5%) 46   1
Emma Owen (5%)  43   1
R Ingram (3%)   38   2

HOT JOCKEYS 04/12/2021 to 03/01/2022                +/-   R
Hollie Doyle (14%)  9-52 for 17%  (+1.15)           +3%   7
Jason Watson (13%) 12-70 for 17% (+13.88)           +4%   6
    
JOCKEYS COLD LIST         E
Charlie Bennett (6%) 74   2
William Carson (6%)  44   6
Darragh Keenan (8%)  35   5
Liam Browne (10%)    33   2
George Rooke (7%)    22   1

FIXTURES
Monday 3 January 2021
Tuesday 4 January 2021
Friday 7 January 2021
Saturday 8 January 2021

(%): National Average  E: Entries  R: Rides

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Lingfield over the past 5 years show 615-1697 for 36.24% and a level stake loss of -128.72. The strike rate is above the national average and this is because of the fabulous figures of winning favourites in non-handicaps 244-511 for 48% (+5.33). Best category is 4yos+ in non-handicaps 67-130 for 52% (+13.23) and though not a big sample, it is big enough for relevance. Winning favourites in handicaps at Lingfield score at just below the national average with 371-1186 for 31% (-134.05).

The 2 maiden races (non-handicaps) will probably be won the two favourites further enhancing the 48% strike rate and +5.33 profit to level stakes...

TRAINERS: From our leader board Stuart Williams (24% at the course for 2021) and Gary Moore each have an entry but Richard Hannon has 3.

HOT TRAINER: Our hot trainers include William Haggas who has 2 entries, he is more likely than not to score a winner. 

TRAINER COLD LIST: Looking at our trainer cold list we cannot see an obvious winner from their 8 entries. All 5 trainers have national averages of 5% and below, on most occasions those numbers tend to be filtered out.

JOCKEYS: Tomorrow's meeting looks to centre around 4 jockeys who have 25 rides between them. David Probert (7) will surely be top jockey tomorrow, winning both the maidens at least, but Hollie Doyle (7), Jason Watson (6) and Luke Morris (5) will surely be involved. One imagines these four jockeys will totally dominate proceedings, and one or two could score at big prices!

JOCKEY COLD LIST: Our cold list jockey have 16 rides between them. Between them they are currently 0-208, will they total 0-224 by the end of racing tomorrow?

OWNERS: Of our top 5 owners only Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum with aa 29% strike rate at the course for +48.25 has an entry, and his runner is PINK CRYSTAL 1.40 who looks a banker!

12.40
RAINBOW MIRAGE (M Rimmell) C&D winner, trainer shows profit of £17.25 when one runner at meeting
SPRING ROMANCE (M Appleby) weighted to win 76 > 63, hot jockey Jason Watson rides

1.10
AL MARMAR (A Balding) 140,000gns half-brother to 6 winners, well backed 11/2 for C&D maiden in November. Highest RPR 82, David Probert rides

1.40
PINK CRYSTAL (W Haggas) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 25% in winter, David Probert rides

2.10
BEAUZON (D O'Meara) longest traveller 259 miles, hot jockey Jason Watson rides

2.40
TOM HAZELGROVE (P McEntee) drops from Class 4 to Class 6, first time cheek piece
VAXHOLM (J S Moore) drops from Class 4 to Class 6

3.10
MAYSONG (A Haynes) beaten favourite last time out
BEOULF (M Bell) formerly with E Walker, first time visor
MY TARGET (M Wigham) weighted to win 77 > 68

3.40
MICK'S SPIRIT (C Allen) beaten favourite last time out
SHAMSHON (S Williams) weighted to win 68 > 65
STRONG POWER (A Haynes) weighted to win 75 > 65

NATIONAL AVERAGE

Please note the percentages in brackets for the Top 5 Trainers at Lingfield show their national averages over the past 5 years. Comparing current form or course form against that of the national average is our preferred measuring tool, the math suggests a factual position and not one of bias. Besides, the higher the national average, with respect to the other trainers, the greater chance of success. The higher the trainer's success rate, the more likely the horse is to win.

JASON WEAVER on LINGFIELD

Lingfield’s 1m 2f all-weather start is a tough one, very draw-dependent. The same is true of the 5f and 6f starts. I always think it’s a track that lends itself to riding in the ‘third wave’. In races over 1m, for example, the first wave will go with maybe 5f left, round the initial turn, while the second wave will kick into the home straight. The third wave - the George Baker wave - usually attacks at the 1f pole and often comes out best. You don’t want to be way out of your ground, but patience can pay.

Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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